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TLT ETF Down 43% as Interest Rates Rise
Long-term bonds are experiencing significant losses while short-term treasury bonds remain stable. This past month, all the action has been in the long end. It's like long-term bonds are finally catching up to what short-dated bonds have known for a year and a half. There's a feeling that an actual recession is overdue, especially in 2024. Eventually, if you predict a recession long enough, it's bound to happen. It feels like we've been dancing in the rain for so long, with the wins slowly hitting us in the face. But to shake things up, we need a shock because people won't willingly choose to curtail their lifestyle due to a recession.