Intuition: A Double-Edged Sword

Intuition varies significantly across different domains, with its effectiveness largely dependent on the environment being stable and linear. It operates efficiently in areas like chess, where expertise allows for rapid decision-making based on extensive experience and predictive models. However, intuition can be misleading in unstable, non-linear situations where expertise does not equate to an effective predictive model. To hone intuition, particularly within organizations, it is crucial to engage in deliberate practice complemented by feedback, enabling individuals to refine their decision-making skills. Additionally, employing a 'disciplined intuition' approach—starting with statistical models before incorporating intuition—helps mitigate the biases inherent in gut feelings, countering the tendency to only seek confirmation for pre-existing beliefs.