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MacroVoices #436 Tian Yang: Left & Right Tails

Macro Voices

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Balance Caution with Opportunity

China's current economic situation presents significant negative risks, making it an outlier compared to the growth observed in other global economies. While negative headlines from China might affect overall market sentiment, a broader stabilization in global economies could bode well for commodity markets. It suggests maintaining core commodity allocations while adopting a strategy of buying dips on adverse news from China. The emphasis is on waiting for clearer signs of stabilization in China's economy before committing more aggressively to long positions in commodities. Additionally, visual tools like variant perception heat maps can aid in identifying opportunities in growth and inflation trends, helping to spot outlier trades.

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