Call Me Back - with Dan Senor cover image

A new (and bolder) approach to Iran? – with Mark Dubowitz

Call Me Back - with Dan Senor

NOTE

Timing is Everything in Geopolitics

The narrative surrounding Iran's nuclear program is often simplified, linking Trump's withdrawal from the nuclear agreement directly to Iran's escalation. However, a detailed analysis reveals that Iran delayed significant nuclear advancements for a year after the U.S. withdrawal. The pivotal moment came with the assassination of Qassem Soleimani, which stunned the Iranian regime and temporarily halted their nuclear expansion for ten months. The subsequent election of Joe Biden shifted Iran's strategy, as the regime perceived a lack of pressure from the new administration, leading to rapid growth in their nuclear capabilities. This underscores the complexity of geopolitical events, where reactions are influenced by specific actions and decisions rather than a linear cause-and-effect relationship.

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