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276 | Gavin Schmidt on Measuring, Predicting, and Protecting Our Climate

Sean Carroll's Mindscape: Science, Society, Philosophy, Culture, Arts, and Ideas

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The Dichotomy of Scientific Predictions

Scientific predictions often present a dichotomy where researchers face the tension of having accurate predictions that they hope will not come true. This conflict is exemplified by Nobel laureate Shirley Roland, who questioned the value of waiting for predictions to materialize, particularly in fields like ozone depletion research. Scientists dealing with troublesome areas wrestle with the uncertainty of successful predictions that carry negative implications, highlighting the complex ethical and moral considerations inherent in scientific endeavors.

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