2min snip

Flirting with Models cover image

Bill Gebhardt - Replicating Discretionary Commodity Trading Systematically (S7E9)

Flirting with Models

NOTE

Stability and Skepticism in Financial and Energy Markets

The instability of statistical relationships in financial markets was exemplified by the long-term capital disaster, showcasing the importance of stable relationships for optimization. The event highlighted the skepticism needed towards seemingly stable market relationships that can become highly unstable. In energy and commodity markets, relationships can be unstable due to substitution effects, causing correlations to shift drastically with minor price changes.

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