3min snip

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The Big Trade Underneath the Strangely Calm Surface of the S&P 500

Odd Lots

NOTE

Clarity in Financial Trades

In financial trades, having clarity is crucial for understanding the potential risks and outcomes. The example of the Balmageddon ETF from 2018 demonstrates the importance of being able to track the growth and movements of an investment product. In contrast, the current dispersion trade lacks such transparency, making it challenging to quantify the associated risks accurately. The case of the inverse VIX ETF highlights how a previously existing trade was commercialized, leading to the sudden visibility of its assets under management and daily volume. The concept of the SIBO three-month implied correlation index indicates the expected level of dispersion among outcomes for the top 50 stocks in the index, emphasizing the relevance of market capitalization in today's discussions.

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