Odd Lots

The Big Trade Underneath the Strangely Calm Surface of the S&P 500

21 snips
Jun 17, 2024
Michael Purvis, CEO of Tallbacken Capital Advisors, and Josh Silva, CIO of Passaic Partners, delve into the intriguing concept of the dispersion trade in the stock market. Despite the S&P 500's calm surface, individual stocks are experiencing significant volatility. They discuss how traders are capitalizing on this disparity, exploring the intricacies of balance between stability and volatility, and the influence of macroeconomic factors on risk management strategies. Additionally, AI's role in shaping trading dynamics becomes a focal point in their analysis.
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ANECDOTE

Dispersion Trade Origins

  • The dispersion trade originated as a risk management tool in the 90s, used by Chicago pit traders.
  • Traders bought calls on individual stocks and sold index options to offset risk.
INSIGHT

Dispersion Trade Evolution

  • Originally a nimble trading strategy, dispersion evolved into a longer-term investment in the 2000s.
  • This shift mirrors the XIV's trajectory, raising concerns about potential systemic risks.
INSIGHT

Measuring Dispersion Trade Popularity

  • Measuring the dispersion trade's popularity is difficult due to a lack of direct data.
  • However, the CBOE implied correlation index reaching record lows suggests its growing popularity.
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