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Moody's Talks - Inside Economics cover image

Bonus Episode: Assessing the Macroeconomic Consequences of Biden vs. Trump

Moody's Talks - Inside Economics

NOTE

Predicting Volatility in Economic Forecasting

The speaker highlighted that under a certain scenario, the volatility of economic forecasts would significantly increase, requiring daily adjustments. The discussion revealed that predictions align with other firms and economists, foreseeing an inflationary trend in case of a Trump win due to tax cuts and tariffs. The potential increase in tariffs proposed is seen as much more significant than previous policies, leading to the expectation of inflation.

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