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Outlook for Private Credit in Higher Rate Environment
Private credit markets may face distress, but not at a systemic level. Challenges are cyclical and not a significant threat to financial stability. Differences in lender-borrower relationship make the default cycle in private debt markets potentially more benign. Expectations of rising defaults in private markets if interest rates don't decline. The growth of private credit industry and tightening lending standards may indicate potential risks for the broader economy.