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Hold Your Fire! cover image

Military Rule and Russian Mercenaries in the Sahel

Hold Your Fire!

NOTE

Choosing Between Authoritarianism and Rebalancing Partnerships

The regime is at a crossroads, facing the choice between heightened repression and doubling down on authoritarianism, risking a decline in political support, or opting to reestablish partnerships with different countries. While the link with France is severed, there is still a possibility to balance relationships with Western actors, emphasizing the need for the ruling elite to display a willingness to pursue a more balanced approach. External bodies like ECOWAS and the EU can play a role by maintaining communication channels, backing moderate voices within the regime, and fostering connections with these moderate factions.

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