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BG2 with Bill Gurley, Brad Gerstner & Aaron Levie | Software Valuations, Earnings, AI, Immigration & More | E02

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley

NOTE

The Problem with Rule of X in Valuing Companies

Valuing companies using the rule of X, such as the rule of 40, fails to account for the unequal importance of growth and margin. The rule of X emphasizes understanding that growth and margin are not equal, as growth could be a larger multiplier over time. The current method of valuing companies based on the rule of 40 overlooks crucial factors, like when a high-growth company will generate cash flow. This approach leads to overvaluing companies with high growth rates but low cash flow potential, compared to companies with steady margins. It suggests the need for a more comprehensive analysis of individual company dynamics, pricing pressure, and market conditions to accurately determine a company's value, as these aspects are not adequately covered by traditional valuation models like the rule of X.

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