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Flirting with Models cover image

Bill Gebhardt - Replicating Discretionary Commodity Trading Systematically (S7E9)

Flirting with Models

NOTE

Balance Long-term Gains with Short-term Protection

Focusing on long-term timeframes yields the highest returns per unit risk. However, incorporating short-term signals can be beneficial, especially during drawdowns of long-term trends. Short-term trends can hedge against short-term losses in long-term positions, reducing drawdowns even when the short-term signal itself has low expected returns. This strategy allows traders to capture structural movements in longer-term charts while effectively managing risk, thus maintaining a balance between returns and drawdown control.

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