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FiveThirtyEight Politics cover image

Super Tuesday Brings A Couple Surprises

FiveThirtyEight Politics

NOTE

Understanding Primary Votes and General Elections

Evaluating primary votes in the context of the general election is vital, especially in crucial seats like California's 22nd district. Low voter turnout in primaries can misrepresent actual voter engagement, as seen in Michigan where 22% voted in the primary compared to 70% in the presidential election. Analyzing these dynamics can provide insights into potential outcomes in the upcoming general elections.

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