
Will China’s policy stimulus be enough?
Goldman Sachs Exchanges
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China's Policy Stimulus Challenges
- China is employing four problematic policies to stimulate its economy: subsidizing manufacturing, stabilizing the housing market, boosting the stock market, and boosting consumption directly.
- Subsidizing manufacturing worsens imbalances by focusing on production instead of boosting consumption relative to production.
- Stabilizing the housing market is challenging due to excess housing and a declining population.
- Boosting the stock market offers limited impact due to a small float, wealthy speculators, and market volatility.
- Direct consumption boosts through consumer coupons and other transfers are minimal due to decentralized spending and local government cash flow constraints.
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