Understanding American Voter Preferences Based on Demographics

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A statistical model was created to predict how American voters might cast their ballots based on demographic traits. Data from UGov was used to build a voter generator tool that predicts voting preferences based on demographic information. The key insight is that religion, not race, is a significant predictor of voting behavior, with a high percentage of Mormons and Evangelicals supporting Trump, while atheists are less likely to support him. These relationships have remained stable since 2020.

We have combined polling data to make a detailed portrait of the American electorate. Have a tinker with our interactive model: plug in their age, sex, religion, and more, and let us estimate how your hypothetical voter will vote in the presidential election. Allegations of extortion at the Rafah crossing out of Gaza (09:57). And, a tribute to an heiress-turned-IRA bombmaker (20:17).

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