The Intelligence from The Economist The Intelligence: America’s deeply divided electorate
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Apr 12, 2024 
Dan Rosen heck, Data Editor at The Economist, delves into the complexities of the American electorate, revealing how factors like age, sex, and religion influence voting preferences. John Joe Devlin discusses the troubling challenges faced by Palestinians escaping Gaza, highlighting systemic corruption and personal stories of desperation. Meanwhile, Catherine Nixie pays tribute to Rose Dugdale, a fascinating figure who transformed from heiress to IRA bombmaker, shedding light on her revolutionary journey amidst political upheaval.
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A Close Race
- The 2024 US presidential race between Joe Biden and Donald Trump is exceptionally close, with Trump narrowly leading.
- Trump's current polling position is the strongest of his political career, even surpassing his standing in previous elections.
Religion's Impact
- Religion is the most influential demographic factor in US voting preferences, outweighing race.
- Evangelical and Mormon voters overwhelmingly favor Trump, while atheists lean heavily towards Biden.
Trump's Support
- Trump's support base comprises his 2020 voters and new voters from three groups.
- These groups include those drifting from major parties, first-time/returning voters, and swing voters.