What Are the Attributes of Super Forecasters?

Sceptics argue that if you toss enough coins enough time, some of them are bound to come up heag. So let's treat that as son of the default sceptical hypothesis. There's nothing special about super forcast s. O best prediction is that the super coin predictories in year one will be essentially around the average in year two. The worst predictories will progress upward, toward the mean, of course. That's what ure that's what a pure chance environment would look like.