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Identifying Potential Sources of Inflation
The speaker discusses the tightness in the labor market driven by the services sector, which saw worker displacement followed by pent up demand upon their return. However, with a potential decline in services market tightness, the speaker questions where additional tightness may arise. They dismiss the possibility of AI investment leading to tightness and highlight the slowing wage growth in service industries like retail trade and leisure, traditionally associated with low-wage service work. The speaker ponders the source of inflation, pointing out the slowdown in wage growth and questioning whether it could be attributed to factors like oil.