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French Friday: The Trump Verdict, Flawed Heroes, & Shogun
The Holy Post
Analysis of Political Base and Voter Dynamics
The speaker points out that a conviction of a political figure might not alter the perception of the figure being a martyr against the system to their base, emphasizing that the actual MAGA base may not be significant enough to ensure electoral victory. Interestingly, current polling data suggests that Trump is not winning solely because of his base but due to disengaged voters, including young black and Hispanic voters who are not firmly aligned with the Democrats. The speaker highlights a segment of voters who are discontent due to vague feelings of unease about the state of the country, despite the economy performing well. This group, characterized as low-information voters, feels the country is in distress even though they are content with their personal lives. Their perceptions are influenced by nostalgia for a period before the current geopolitical issues and inflation, as well as a desire to return to a previous era. The insight indicates that this segment, rather than the MAGA base, represents a key vulnerability for Biden's administration.
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