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Barry Eichengreen on the New Era of High Government Debt

Odd Lots

NOTE

The Relationship Between High Public Debt and Global Savings Surpluses

High public debt in the US may be offset by countries like China with large savings surpluses./nThe liquidity of the US dollar and US Treasury bonds plays a significant role in their safe haven status./nThe real risk to the standing of the US dollar and US Treasury bonds is primarily political./nFor an alternative currency to challenge the US dollar, there needs to be global political confidence in the leadership of the issuing country./nChina lacks both open financial markets and confidence in its political system to provide a credible alternative to the dollar.

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