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Performance is not always predictable by traditional metrics
Relying solely on exam scores, written papers, and recommendation letters to evaluate candidates may not always predict their success accurately. Factors like determination, work ethic, and the ability to adapt to feedback can be crucial in identifying top performers. Despite graduating from a strong but not top-tier school, success is still achievable, although becoming a top-tier historian might be more challenging in today's competitive academic environment due to the decreasing job opportunities within the field.