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How to Be a Good Intelligence Analyst

Statecraft

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Selling the Value of Thinking Time

  • Rob Johnston highlights the difficulty in convincing stakeholders to invest in providing analysts more time for deep thinking and learning.
  • Stakeholders often prioritize tangible outputs like more reports or innovative presentations, rather than the intangible benefits of enhanced cognitive processing.
  • Congressional committees want to see demonstrable improvements in crisis management, forecasting, or negotiation skills as a result of this extra thinking time.
  • Easily measurable KPIs are needed to justify the value of increased thinking time, despite them not being particularly flashy.

this ties recommender systems problems to intelligence community - the valuable nuggets do come from deeper meaningful connections in the margins but are hard to measure and get budget for. The finders are looking for flashy outcomes, and this is true of flashy consumer products too

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