4min snip

Top Traders Unplugged cover image

GM55: What Investors Need to Know about 2024 ft. Dave Dredge & Cem Karsan

Top Traders Unplugged

NOTE

The importance of long volatility and owning convexity in investment strategy

Understanding the significance of long volatility and owning convexity in investment strategy can lead to better returns, as demonstrated by the example of S&P compounding over 40 years. Missing the 10 best months reduced the total return significantly, while missing the 10 worst months resulted in an even greater impact on returns. This challenges the traditional financial approach of focusing on the expected center of the outcome and ignoring the extreme percentile wings. In the current economic climate, there is a growing concern about the risk of stagflation during a recession, which could lead to a challenging financial landscape.

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