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Robert Service on Lenin, Trotsky & Stalin | Secrets of Statecraft | Andrew Roberts | Hoover Institution

The Secrets of Statecraft

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Historical Narratives Shape Modern Conflicts

Denial of Ukraine's historical identity highlights a flawed narrative that undermines the existence of Ukrainian governance prior to Soviet influence. The recognition of Ukraine by the provisional government in 1917 and subsequent Ukrainian administrations illustrates its established identity. Lenin's decision to maintain a Ukrainian entity was strategic, aimed at garnering support from ethnic Ukrainians amidst a tumultuous civil war. Putin's references to Ukraine and Lithuania reveal a consistent historical rationale for territorial claims, endangering Baltic states that fear similar aggression. The presence of ethnic Russians in these regions, often manipulated by Moscow, raises questions about loyalty and sovereignty, echoing past conflicts such as the Sudeten Germans. Ultimately, local populations desire peace, despite geopolitical tensions.

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