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The Next Big Idea cover image

ON THE EDGE (Part 2): How to Get Ahead by Thinking Probabilistically

The Next Big Idea

NOTE

Trust Your Gut in Indifferent Choices

Experience shapes decision-making, especially in areas like poker and writing, where understanding the true value of choices matters. Many individuals overthink trivial decisions while significant choices, like career paths, demand more careful consideration. Randomizing small decisions can free mental space, allowing for more thoughtful engagement with pivotal life choices. Our gut feelings, influenced by prior knowledge and cognitive pattern recognition, tend to be reliable in important situations, revealing that instinctual responses stem from deep-seated intelligence.

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