The Next Big Idea

ON THE EDGE (Part 2): How to Get Ahead by Thinking Probabilistically

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Aug 15, 2024
Nate Silver, a renowned statistician and author, delves into the art of probabilistic thinking. He encourages listeners to embrace bigger risks for greater rewards, particularly in financial and career pursuits. Silver critiques the rise and fall of Sam Bankman-Fried, questioning the accountability in philanthropy and the pitfalls of over-relying on probability. He also explains how mental and physical conditions affect decision-making in high-stakes environments, stressing the importance of composure and calculated choices for success.
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