This chapter delves into the concept of probabilistic thinking, illustrating its everyday applications and the ways individuals unconsciously assess probabilities in social and routine scenarios. It emphasizes the need to embrace uncertainty in decision-making, particularly in ambiguous situations like elections.
Today, Nate Silver explains why most people should take bigger risks, reveals the big thing everyone misunderstands about Sam Bankman-Fried, and makes the case that there’s anywhere from a 2 to 20 percent chance that AI will take over the world.
🎙️ This is the second episode in our two-part series with Nate Silver. To hear Part 1, click here