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The Megyn Kelly Show cover image

Elon Musk Goes All In On Trump, and Predicting the 2024 Election, with Nate Silver, Bethany Mandel, and Karol Markowicz | Ep. 860

The Megyn Kelly Show

NOTE

Polling Nuances Reveal Electoral Complexity

Polling averages incorporate various sources yet do not directly predict election outcomes, as national polls do not determine elections. State-specific results, like those in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, show close margins within the error range, indicating potential volatility. Despite current leads for candidates like Kamala Harris, historical patterns suggest competitive races, especially considering past elections' close outcomes. The electoral college dynamics present a very competitive scenario, where both parties should temper expectations based on polling trends and historical performance.

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