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Coinbase Institutional Market Call

Latest episodes

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Mar 11, 2025 • 44min

Navigating Volatile Markets: Man AHL's Crypto Strategy, Macro Shifts & Key Catalysts

This week, host Ben Floyd is joined by David Duong, David Han, and Greg Sutton to break down the latest market action and what’s on the horizon. We kick off with insights from our interview with Man AHL (Part of Man Group's Systematic Investment Business), exploring their approach to trend following and their evolving crypto strategy. From there, we dive into the macro landscape, reviewing the market movers of the past week, key support and liquidation levels, and what they signal for future price action. Onchain, we cover Ethereum’s Pectra upgrade, stablecoin supply growth, and the surprising decline in DEX volumes.To wrap up, we outline the most important upcoming catalysts that could shape market sentiment — plus, we’ve linked some essential reading from Man AHL and Coinbase Institutional Research in the show notes.Topics Covered:Man AHL Insights: Trend following strategies and crypto adoption.Macro & Market Movers: What’s been driving volatility and key levels to watch.Ethereum & DeFi: The Pectra upgrade, stablecoin expansion, and DEX activity.Catalyst Watch: Upcoming events and protocol changes that could move markets.Special GuestsTarek Abou Zeid, Partner at Man AHL and Global Head of Client Portfolio ManagementAndre Rzym, Partner and Portfolio Manager at Man AHLHost:Ben Floyd, Head of Execution ServicesSpeakers:David Duong, Head of Institutional ResearchDavid Han, Research AnalystGreg Sutton, Senior CES Sales TraderLinks:An Investors Guide to Crypto - Man AHLIn Crypto We Trend - Man AHLCoinbase Institutional Research
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Feb 26, 2025 • 26min

Crypto Under Pressure: ETF Outflows, Market Weakness & New Onchain Launches

This week, host Ben Floyd is joined by David Han and Georg Toropov to navigate a tough crypto landscape. We break down Solana’s sharp decline—down nearly 50% from its highs—Ethereum nearing a death cross, and extreme fear gripping the market amidst over $1B in ETF outflows and widespread liquidations. We also cover the Bybit hack and its ripple effects across trading activity.On the onchain side, we dive into the drop in Solana DEX volumes, Pump.fun’s plan to launch its own AMM, and a wave of more recent mainnet launches from the likes of Berachain and Story, as well as Monad’s testnet debut.Meanwhile, macro factors add to the uncertainty, with rate cuts unlikely before summer. Client conversations reveal a lack of clear near-term catalysts with significant legislation potentially taking months to materialize. But we finish on a high note—Ethereum’s RWA market is growing in both value and adoption, even as the Pectra testnet hits delays.Links:Coinbase Research2025 Crypto OutlookTopics Covered:Market Weakness: SOL’s drop, ETH’s death cross risk, ETF outflows, and liquidations.Security Incident: The Bybit hack and market response.Onchain Activity: Solana DEX struggles, Pump AMMs, and major protocol launches.Macro & Sentiment: Delayed Fed cuts, client sentiment, and regulatory hurdles.Ethereum Outlook: Pectra testnet hiccups, but RWA growth as a bright spot.Host:Ben Floyd, Head of Execution ServicesSpeakers:David Han, Research AnalystGeorg Toropov, Senior CES Sales Trader
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Feb 18, 2025 • 21min

Solana, FTX, and ETFs

This week, we discuss bitcoin's range-bound trading and what upcoming option expiries might mean for price action. Additionally, the episode covers Solana's recent selloff, driven by concerns over memecoin launches and upcoming unlocks. FTX will begin repaying smaller creditors this week, which could have a positive impact on markets. We also review recent ETF applications and what their impact on spot trading flows may be. Lastly, David Han takes us through staking ETFs and potential changes at the CFTC.Links:Coinbase Research2025 Crypto OutlookTopics Covered:BTC option expiriesSolana price actionFTX repaymentsStaking ETFsHost: Joshua Pak, Senior CES TraderSpeakers:David Han, Research AnalystGregory Sutton, Senior CES Trader
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Feb 11, 2025 • 29min

AI Agents with Ejaaz Ahamadeen

In this engaging discussion, Ejaaz Ahamadeen, founder of 26 Crypto Capital and former Coinbase Product Manager, explores the transformative role of AI agents in the crypto space. He dives into their potential to streamline operations and enhance user experience. David Han, a Research Analyst at Coinbase, joins in, shedding light on recent market volatility and corporate cryptocurrency investments. They also discuss innovations like Uniswap Lab’s new Layer-2 solution and Lido’s vault upgrades, illuminating the future of decentralized finance.
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Feb 6, 2025 • 31min

Crypto & Macro: Tariffs, Fed Signals, and Onchain Evolution

This week, host Ben Floyd is joined by David Duong, David Han, and Greg Sutton to break down the latest macro and crypto market movements. We’ll dive into the impact of new tariffs on crypto, how the Fed might respond, and the key data points policymakers are watching next. We’ll also analyze weekend trading activity and BTC’s continued outperformance, alongside ETH’s relative weakness and overall funding rate trends.David Sacks’ press conference on a potential Bitcoin strategic reserve continues discussion on the role of BTC in national reserves, and we’ll also explore the broader implications of a potential U.S. sovereign wealth fund.On the onchain front, we’ll refresh on Ethereum’s Pectra upgrade, the implications of increasing validator balances, and the recent gas limit vote. We’ll also cover ETH’s inflation rate nearing BTC’s, Uniswap V4’s structural improvements, and the growing stablecoin supply, with $3B added this week—$2B on Ethereum alone. Finally, we compare DEX volumes to gauge onchain liquidity shifts.Links:Coinbase Research2025 Crypto OutlookTopics Covered:Macro & Markets: Tariff impact, Fed expectations, and key economic signals.Trading Trends: BTC strength on pullbacks, ETH underperformance, and weekend activity.Onchain Updates: Ethereum’s Pectra upgrade, validator changes, and gas limit vote.Stablecoin & DEX Activity: Supply growth and liquidity trends.Uniswap V4: Programmable hooks, improved routing, and liquidity migration patterns.Host: Ben Floyd, Head of Execution ServicesSpeakers:David Duong, Head of Institutional ResearchDavid Han, Research AnalystGreg Sutton, Senior CES Sales Trader
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Jan 29, 2025 • 33min

Crypto Markets and Macro Moves: SEC Updates, Deepseek, and Corporate Buys

This week, we explore the evolving crypto landscape with regulatory updates, major market movements, and macroeconomic insights. The SEC sees changes with Mark Uyeda and Hester Peirce taking center stage, while the SAB 121 repeal opens new opportunities for banks holding crypto. The CME teases potential futures for SOL and XRP, and BlackRock files for in-kind redemptions on its spot BTC ETF (IBIT).We analyze the market reaction to Deepseek's launch, which topped Apples's U.S. App Store and led a repricing of many AI- linked assets. Corporate crypto buying also continues as Metaplanet announces a $745M raise to purchase BTC and MicroStrategy adds $1.1B in BTC, supported by a bold $2B perpetual strike preferred stock offering. ETF inflows surge to $1.9B, showcasing sustained institutional interest.On the macro front, we preview tariff updates, the FOMC meeting, and December PCE data. In the Ethereum ecosystem,  the Ethereum Foundation has allocated 50K ETH to DeFi protocols, with Paradigm calling for quicker network upgrades. The Pectra upgrade also receives a tentative March 11 release date. Finally, we spotlight Jupiter's market outperformance driven by its buyback plans and Moonshot acquisitions.Links:Coinbase Research2025 Crypto OutlookTopics Covered:Regulatory Updates: SEC leadership changes and SAB 121 repeal implications.Market Movers: Deepseek's impact, CME futures possibilities, and IBIT's filing for in-kind creation and redemptions.Corporate Activity: Metaplanet's raise, MicroStrategy's BTC purchase, and ETF inflows.Macro Overview: Tariff and FOMC previews, PCE data implications.Ethereum Update: Pectra update and Paradigm's push for faster upgrades.Jupiter's Surge: Buyback plans and Moonshot investment.Host:Ben Floyd, Head of Execution ServicesPanelists:David Han, Research AnalystGeorg Toropov, Senior CES Sales Trader
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Jan 22, 2025 • 30min

$TRUMP Launch, Crypto Shifts, BTC & SOL ATHs and ETF Volumes

We unpack the explosive market moves as Bitcoin hits a new all-time high of $110K and Solana reaches $293 as crypto welcomes President Trump. TRUMP Coin’s debut contributed to the market frenzy, while COIN50 posted an impressive 8.74% weekly gain, signaling strong momentum as new users flood into the crypto space.We provide a financing overview, highlighting DeFi lending growth on Solana, funding rate fluctuations, and weekend liquidations. Onchain activity breaks records with DEX volumes at all-time highs, despite some network degradation and Ethereum’s leadership reshuffle. The team also runs through Coinbase’s partnership with Morpho in the U.S. that now allows clients to take USD loans using DeFi protocols secured by their Bitcoin, marking a significant innovation in crypto-backed lending.ETF inflows soar with $2B in Bitcoin ETFs and $213M in Ethereum ETFs, alongside MicroStrategy’s bold addition of $1.1B in BTC.On the macro front, we preview the upcoming Fed meeting and discuss its implications for crypto markets.Topics Covered:Market Highlights: BTC & SOL ATHs, Trump Coin launch, and COIN50’s strong performance.Financing Trends: DeFi lending on Solana and funding rate insights.On-Chain Activity: Record DEX volumes, network challenges, and Ethereum’s leadership changes.ETF and Corporate Moves: Large inflows and MicroStrategy’s BTC holdings.Macro Preview: Key updates ahead of the Fed meeting.Links:Coinbase Research2025 Crypto OutlookLiquid Staking WebinarHost: Ben Floyd, Head of Execution ServicesPanelists: David Duong, Head of Institutional Research David Han, Research AnalystZaid Khan, Head of EMEA Financing 
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Jan 15, 2025 • 28min

Fresh Corporate BTC Demand, Macro Shifts, Regulatory Trends, Acquisitions and the New Corporates Onchain

This episode unpacks the latest developments in crypto markets as corporates like Intesa Sanpaolo and Genius Group join the Bitcoin buying wave, with MicroStrategy’s premium holding steady at 1.91. We also highlight Tether’s move to El Salvador and the growing traction of IBIT options, now capturing 50% of Deribit’s open interest, signaling surging institutional demand. An ETF flow update and client strategies reveal how the big players are positioning themselves for 2024.We analyze funding rates, the Ondo unlock, and how to interpret these trends in relation to market dynamics. Recent aggressive crypto acquisitions reflect growing confidence in the new regulatory environment, paired with an update on Coinbase’s Third Circuit Court of Appeals filing.On the macro front, we discuss last week’s CPI, PPI, and employment data and we explore fiscal policy outlooks, debt sustainability, and potential policy shifts shaping the economic landscape. Additionally, we discuss China’s 10Y yield dropping from 2.1% to 1.65% and it's potential impact on global liquidity.In the on-chain segment, we break down stablecoin borrow rates, with Aave at 10-11% and Sky peaking at 12.5%, alongside a surge in USDS growth (25% in the past week). Finally, we examine Sony’s L2 launch on the OP stack, signaling a shift in how corporates leverage blockchain for Web3 adoption, and the interplay between public and permissioned chains.Topics Covered:Corporate Moves: New entrants into BTC buying, MicroStrategy premium analysis.Institutional Trends: IBIT options, ETF flows, and client strategies.Funding Rates & Unlocks: How market dynamics shape strategies.Regulatory Environment: Crypto acquisitions and Coinbase court updates.Macro Update: Key data reflections, China’s stimulus, and fiscal policy outlook.On-Chain: Stablecoin borrow rates, USDS growth, and Sony’s L2 launch for Web3 corporates.Host:Ben Floyd, Head of Execution ServicesPanelists: David Duong, Head of Institutional Research David Han, Research Analyst Georg Toropov, Senior CES Sales Trader
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Jan 8, 2025 • 33min

Bitcoin's Next Wave: Institutional Growth, Regulatory Shifts, and Onchain Innovations

This week, we explore Bitcoin’s increasing institutional adoption, with MicroStrategy expanding its holdings and other companies considering BTC for their balance sheets. We analyze ETF flows over the past two weeks and provide a Q1 market outlook, focusing on key drivers and emerging trends. In the macro segment, we examine pro-crypto regulatory appointments, potential legislation from a crypto-friendly Congress, and the Fed's rate outlook for H1. We also discuss the implications of economic data volatility and what Canada’s potential new leadership could mean for Bitcoin. Additionally, we highlight global moves toward Bitcoin as a strategic reserve.Onchain, we delve into the growth of protocols like Morpho, Babylon, and Pendle, alongside AI agents gaining traction, with Eliza ai16z’s GitHub surpassing Google Gemini in stars. We also explore the significance of high DEX volumes and Backpack’s acquisition of FTX's EU operations, shedding light on its impact on European derivatives markets.Topics Covered:Market: Institutional BTC adoption, ETF flows, and Q1 market outlook.Macro: Pro-crypto regulatory changes, potential legislation, Fed rate trajectory, and global BTC reserves.On-Chain: Protocol growth, AI agent innovation, and European market developments through Backpack’s FTX acquisition.Host: Ben Floyd, Head of Execution ServicesPanelists: David Duong, Head of Institutional Research David Han, Research Analyst Georg Toropov, CES Sales Trader
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Dec 18, 2024 • 25min

Bitcoin Hits ATH, Onchain Insights, and 2025 Crypto Outlook

Joshua Pak, a CES Sales Trader at Coinbase, shares insights on Bitcoin reaching new heights, driven by institutional investments from companies like MicroStrategy. He discusses the increasing confidence in BTC, highlighted by BlackRock's recommendation for a 2% allocation. The conversation shifts to onchain trends, including the rise of stablecoins and AI-driven memes, and features the momentum of Pudgy Penguins' token launch. Lastly, Pak offers a glimpse into Coinbase's outlook for 2025, anticipating regulatory impacts and market dynamics.

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