The David Lin Report

Bart Smith, CEO of Avalanche Treasury Company and a former institutional trader, dives deep into the recent 30% Bitcoin drop. He emphasizes whale selling and market pressure, exploring the long-term effects of crypto concentration. Bart discusses how treasury companies can provide permanent capital, and he highlights Avalanche's role in tokenization and DeFi. He also touches on stablecoins' potential to reshape banking, retail adoption challenges, and the macro factors that could push crypto to new highs in 2026.

In this discussion, Chris Vermeulen, Chief Market Strategist at TheTechnicalTraders.com, shares his insights on current market corrections versus bear markets. He analyzes sector performance, the risks of the S&P 500, and the implications of his FOMO indicator on volatility. Chris explains his unique approach combining price, time cycles, and sentiment to assess market behavior. He also examines Bitcoin's support levels and predicts gold's potential upside, while advising caution in today’s trading environment.

Jim Welsh, founder of Macro Tides and seasoned macroeconomic analyst, discusses his predictions for a secular bear market fueled by extreme valuations and weakening consumer sentiment. He reflects on his early warnings from 2007 and critiques the inflation narrative. Welsh emphasizes the difference between market declines and economic recessions, while spotlighting the risks of the yen carry trade unwinding, which could trigger significant selling pressure. He also shares insights on gold's potential pullback and the dollar's surprising resilience.

Sam Burns, Chief Strategist at Mill Street Research, dives into the shifting labor market and economic growth dynamics. He discusses the shift from speculative investments to earnings-driven companies. Burns highlights concerns over rising unemployment and potential layoffs against a backdrop of mixed labor signals. He emphasizes the arms race in AI spending and warns of the risks involved. Lastly, he provides insights on positioning within tech, encouraging investments in resilient equities while navigating inflation complexities.

Matthew Sigel, Head of Digital Assets Research at VanEck, dives deep into the tumultuous world of Bitcoin and its future. He explains how Bitcoin's underperformance this year relates to AI trade dominance and the pivot of miners from ASICs to AI GPUs. Sigel highlights intriguing on-chain data revealing that miners, not long-term holders, are primarily selling. He discusses the potential for a final correction before a rally and explores the macro forces behind the recent crypto sell-off. Sigel also introduces their On-Chain Economy ETF, NODE, emphasizing its innovative approach to market exposure.

Steve Hanke, a Professor of Applied Economics at Johns Hopkins University, dives into the economic risks facing New York City. He warns that ambitious policies like free transit and a $30 minimum wage could lead the city to bankruptcy. Hanke links inflation and ineffective municipal plans to growing wealth disparities while critiquing rent freezes and proposed public housing projects. He draws parallels with historical examples of socialism, emphasizing the importance of market-driven solutions for fiscal stability.

Danielle DiMartino Booth, an economist and CEO of QI Research, delves into the troubling state of the economy. She warns of rising layoffs and consumer delinquencies, advocating for aggressive Fed rate cuts amidst contrasting consumer spending trends. Danielle scrutinizes the Fed's optimistic market perception and discusses potential vulnerabilities in equities and credit. She emphasizes the importance of defensive investment strategies and highlights the ongoing issues in commercial real estate and youth unemployment. Tune in for a candid analysis of today's economic challenges.

Joanne Hsu, Director of the Surveys of Consumers at the University of Michigan, dives into alarming trends in consumer sentiment, now at levels not seen since 1981. She discusses the fear of job losses amid inflation worries, how recent government shutdowns have affected SNAP recipients, and rising reports of weaker incomes. Hsu contrasts inflation expectations with consumer confidence and explores the Fed's dilemma of balancing inflation against rising unemployment. The conversation also touches on the potential long-term impact of AI on jobs.

John Tamny, Editor at RealClearMarkets and president of Parkview Institute, dives into economic growth and inflation dynamics. He argues that dollar devaluation is the root cause of inflation, while growth can actually lower prices. Tamny critiques the misconception of deficits as crises, labeling them 'deficit delusions.' He offers insights on how wealth creation democratizes goods and discusses the risks of a weak dollar. With a focus on low taxes and fewer regulations, he outlines his vision for sustainable growth and warns against government interventions leading to a potential depression.

Rep. Marlin Stutzman, a U.S. Representative from Indiana, dives into the fallout of a recent 43-day government shutdown and its economic implications. He explains the challenges faced by federal workers and highlights his Streamlining Rural Housing Act, which aims to align HUD and USDA standards for quicker housing development. Stutzman also discusses the need for reevaluating the federal workforce and touches on the complexities of SNAP funding and crypto legislation. His insights into government efficiency and market solutions make for a compelling conversation.