PERSPECTIVES Weekly: The Investment podcast

Markets are looking for clarity on what the baseline tariff rates will ultimately be among key trading partners – and the recent U.S.-U.K. trade deal offers a promising sign, says Deepak Puri, the Private Bank’s Chief Investment Officer for the Americas. "It might be sort of a blueprint for other trade agreements”, Deepak says, adding that purchase agreements and market access will be closely watched, in addition to the tariffs themselves.In the week ahead, U.S. inflation figures will be a key consideration, but Deepak says investors should also pay attention to retail sales data, which could show a moderating trend.For more investing insights, please visit deutschewealth.com.In Europe, Middle East and Africa as well as in Asia Pacific this material is considered marketing material, but this is not the case in the U.S. No assurance can be given that any forecast or target can be achieved. Forecasts are based on assumptions, estimates, opinions and hypothetical models which may prove to be incorrect. Past performance is not indicative of future returns.Performance refers to a nominal value based on price gains/losses and does not take into account inflation. Inflation will have a negative impact on the purchasing power of this nominal monetary value. Depending on the current level of inflation, this may lead to a real loss in value, even if the nominal performance of the investment is positive. Investments come with risk. The value of an investment can fall as well as rise and you might not get back the amount originally invested at any point in time. Your capital may be at risk.The services described in this podcast are provided by Deutsche Bank AG or by its subsidiaries and/or affiliates in accordance with appropriate local legislation and regulation. Deutsche Bank AG is subject to comprehensive supervision by the European Central Bank (“ECB”), by Germany’s Federal Financial Supervisory Authority (BaFin) and by Germany’s central bank (“Deutsche Bundesbank”). Brokerage services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Securities Inc., a broker-dealer and registered investment adviser, which conducts investment banking and securities activities in the United States.Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. is a member of FINRA, NYSE and SIPC. Lending and banking services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Trust Company Americas, member FDIC, and other members of the Deutsche Bank Group.The products, services, information and/or materials referred to within this podcast may not be available for residents of certain jurisdictions. © 2025 Deutsche Bank AG and/or its subsidiaries. All rights reserved. This podcast may not be used, reproduced, copied or modified without the written consent of Deutsche Bank AG. 030620 030121

Markets have been in a period of relative calm since the significant moves that followed ‘Liberation Day’, but "I'd be a brave man to predict no volatility", says Markus Müller, the Private Bank's CIO for sustainability. "I do hope the worst is over for now, at least until we approach the end of the 90-day pause at the end of July", Markus says, noting that markets will be looking for progress on trade deals in the meantime.In the week ahead, Markus says a rate cut is unlikely from the Federal Reserve, though a cut may come from the Bank of England. He also notes that Chinese economic figures could be an important sign of the impact of the tariff debate. "Keep an eye on the Chinese data. And don't forget earnings season is still going on", Markus says.For more investing insights, please visit deutschewealth.com.In Europe, Middle East and Africa as well as in Asia Pacific this material is considered marketing material, but this is not the case in the U.S. No assurance can be given that any forecast or target can be achieved. Forecasts are based on assumptions, estimates, opinions and hypothetical models which may prove to be incorrect. Past performance is not indicative of future returns.Performance refers to a nominal value based on price gains/losses and does not take into account inflation. Inflation will have a negative impact on the purchasing power of this nominal monetary value. Depending on the current level of inflation, this may lead to a real loss in value, even if the nominal performance of the investment is positive. Investments come with risk. The value of an investment can fall as well as rise and you might not get back the amount originally invested at any point in time. Your capital may be at risk.The services described in this podcast are provided by Deutsche Bank AG or by its subsidiaries and/or affiliates in accordance with appropriate local legislation and regulation. Deutsche Bank AG is subject to comprehensive supervision by the European Central Bank (“ECB”), by Germany’s Federal Financial Supervisory Authority (BaFin) and by Germany’s central bank (“Deutsche Bundesbank”). Brokerage services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Securities Inc., a broker-dealer and registered investment adviser, which conducts investment banking and securities activities in the United States.Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. is a member of FINRA, NYSE and SIPC. Lending and banking services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Trust Company Americas, member FDIC, and other members of the Deutsche Bank Group.The products, services, information and/or materials referred to within this podcast may not be available for residents of certain jurisdictions. © 2025 Deutsche Bank AG and/or its subsidiaries. All rights reserved. This podcast may not be used, reproduced, copied or modified without the written consent of Deutsche Bank AG. 030620 030121

Developments in U.S. tariff policy suggest that, when markets have a strong reaction, the White House is prepared to change course, says the Private Bank’s Global Chief Investment Officer, Christian Nolting. “Of course, this was denied by Washington, but I would be surprised if they really don’t look at it,” he says, noting that this applies more to bonds than it does to stocks.In the week ahead, “the number I’m really watching out for on the macro side in the U.S. is, believe it or not, the nonfarm payrolls,” Christian says, adding that this is in part because the April jobs report will be the first data to hint at how the economy adjusted after tariffs entered the picture on April 2.For more investing insights, please visit deutschewealth.com.In Europe, Middle East and Africa as well as in Asia Pacific this material is considered marketing material, but this is not the case in the U.S. No assurance can be given that any forecast or target can be achieved. Forecasts are based on assumptions, estimates, opinions and hypothetical models which may prove to be incorrect. Past performance is not indicative of future returns.Performance refers to a nominal value based on price gains/losses and does not take into account inflation. Inflation will have a negative impact on the purchasing power of this nominal monetary value. Depending on the current level of inflation, this may lead to a real loss in value, even if the nominal performance of the investment is positive. Investments come with risk. The value of an investment can fall as well as rise and you might not get back the amount originally invested at any point in time. Your capital may be at risk.The services described in this podcast are provided by Deutsche Bank AG or by its subsidiaries and/or affiliates in accordance with appropriate local legislation and regulation. Deutsche Bank AG is subject to comprehensive supervision by the European Central Bank (“ECB”), by Germany’s Federal Financial Supervisory Authority (BaFin) and by Germany’s central bank (“Deutsche Bundesbank”). Brokerage services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Securities Inc., a broker-dealer and registered investment adviser, which conducts investment banking and securities activities in the United States.Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. is a member of FINRA, NYSE and SIPC. Lending and banking services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Trust Company Americas, member FDIC, and other members of the Deutsche Bank Group.The products, services, information and/or materials referred to within this podcast may not be available for residents of certain jurisdictions. © 2025 Deutsche Bank AG and/or its subsidiaries. All rights reserved. This podcast may not be used, reproduced, copied or modified without the written consent of Deutsche Bank AG. 030620 030121

Tariff moves from the U.S. administration have continued to hold centre stage, and "it has been a very volatile period,” notes Deepak Puri, the Private Bank’s Chief Investment Officer for the Americas. "The baseline of what that means for the macro environment is still to be determined”, Deepak says. “The market is still in a wait-and-watch mode."Earnings season has gotten started in the U.S., and a policy decision is expected from the European Central Bank in the week ahead. But tariff concerns are likely to hold the limelight for the time being. "I expect the tariff situation to be an overhang on markets for some time.”

The Trump administration has rolled out its global tariffs and markets have slumped in response, but "it's our job to keep calm and invest in a very disciplined way", says Dr. Dirk Steffen, the Private Bank's EMEA CIO. "It's really important to focus on risk management these days", Dirk says, adding that diversification and potential hedges are hot topics.Earnings season is coming up, and minutes from the Federal Reserve’s recent meeting are due in the week ahead, but corporate reports economic data could be drowned out by tariff headlines for now. "The next few weeks at least will be very volatile", Dirk says.

In this week’s PERSPECTIVES podcast, we look ahead to “Liberation Day” – the term used by President Donald Trump to describe Wednesday, April 2, when he is expected to make a new major announcement on tariffs.Deepak Puri, our Chief Investment Officer for the Americas, expects this announcement will focus on reciprocal tariffs, designed to match the import tariffs other countries currently place on U.S. goods. He also discusses sectoral tariffs and secondary tariffs and what they could mean for global markets.Whatever is announced this week, “markets are going to remain on edge", Deepak predicts, adding that “we’re now facing the peak of policy uncertainty with regards to trade and tariffs.” He explains that markets need to establish a baseline cost of tariffs, measuring their economic impact. In the short term, these costs will be double-edged: “One [aspect] will be increasing price pressure for US consumers and the second aspect will be lower growth.”Finally, it’s an important week from a macro perspective, as we will receive the most recent snapshot of the U.S. labour market and ISM data for both manufacturing and services in the U.S.For more investing insights, please visit deutschewealth.com.In Europe, Middle East and Africa as well as in Asia Pacific this material is considered marketing material, but this is not the case in the U.S. No assurance can be given that any forecast or target can be achieved. Forecasts are based on assumptions, estimates, opinions and hypothetical models which may prove to be incorrect. Past performance is not indicative of future returns.Performance refers to a nominal value based on price gains/losses and does not take into account inflation. Inflation will have a negative impact on the purchasing power of this nominal monetary value. Depending on the current level of inflation, this may lead to a real loss in value, even if the nominal performance of the investment is positive. Investments come with risk. The value of an investment can fall as well as rise and you might not get back the amount originally invested at any point in time. Your capital may be at risk.The services described in this podcast are provided by Deutsche Bank AG or by its subsidiaries and/or affiliates in accordance with appropriate local legislation and regulation. Deutsche Bank AG is subject to comprehensive supervision by the European Central Bank (“ECB”), by Germany’s Federal Financial Supervisory Authority (BaFin) and by Germany’s central bank (“Deutsche Bundesbank”). Brokerage services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Securities Inc., a broker-dealer and registered investment adviser, which conducts investment banking and securities activities in the United States.Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. is a member of FINRA, NYSE and SIPC. Lending and banking services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Trust Company Americas, member FDIC, and other members of the Deutsche Bank Group.The products, services, information and/or materials referred to within this podcast may not be available for residents of certain jurisdictions. © 2025 Deutsche Bank AG and/or its subsidiaries. All rights reserved. This podcast may not be used, reproduced, copied or modified without the written consent of Deutsche Bank AG. 030620 030121

Rarely does a week go by without tariffs being in the spotlight. In this week’s PERSPECTIVES podcast, we asked Christian Nolting, our Global Chief Investment Officer, what he expects them to mean for investors."The uncertainty of tariffs is not helpful for growth," he said, noting that professional investors have very different views, and therefore a range of expectations for tariffs, worldwide. “We expect tariffs at the higher end for Europe, as we have seen with Mexico and Canada,” he added. However, he does see opportunities for negotiations down the road. Christian also walked us through his expectations for future rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, following the widely expected decision to keep rates unchanged at last week’s meeting. “Central banks are still a bit concerned about inflation – a view we fully share,” he said, adding that it's "important for markets in this environment that central banks do not add more volatility."For more investing insights, please visit deutschewealth.com.In Europe, Middle East and Africa as well as in Asia Pacific this material is considered marketing material, but this is not the case in the U.S. No assurance can be given that any forecast or target can be achieved. Forecasts are based on assumptions, estimates, opinions and hypothetical models which may prove to be incorrect. Past performance is not indicative of future returns.Performance refers to a nominal value based on price gains/losses and does not take into account inflation. Inflation will have a negative impact on the purchasing power of this nominal monetary value. Depending on the current level of inflation, this may lead to a real loss in value, even if the nominal performance of the investment is positive. Investments come with risk. The value of an investment can fall as well as rise and you might not get back the amount originally invested at any point in time. Your capital may be at risk.The services described in this podcast are provided by Deutsche Bank AG or by its subsidiaries and/or affiliates in accordance with appropriate local legislation and regulation. Deutsche Bank AG is subject to comprehensive supervision by the European Central Bank (“ECB”), by Germany’s Federal Financial Supervisory Authority (BaFin) and by Germany’s central bank (“Deutsche Bundesbank”). Brokerage services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Securities Inc., a broker-dealer and registered investment adviser, which conducts investment banking and securities activities in the United States.Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. is a member of FINRA, NYSE and SIPC. Lending and banking services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Trust Company Americas, member FDIC, and other members of the Deutsche Bank Group.The products, services, information and/or materials referred to within this podcast may not be available for residents of certain jurisdictions. © 2025 Deutsche Bank AG and/or its subsidiaries. All rights reserved. This podcast may not be used, reproduced, copied or modified without the written consent of Deutsche Bank AG. 030620 030121

The private bank is standing by its positive market outlook for the next 12 months, and "it will be an earnings-driven market", says Dr Dirk Steffen, the Private Bank's EMEA CIO. Double-digit earnings growth remains a possibility and, while major U.S. stock indices have recently entered correction territory, Dirk says the U.S. economy ought to "regain some footing" after its recent soft patch.Meanwhile, a Federal Reserve policy decision is due this week and, even after a recent softening of U.S. inflation figures, Dirk does not expect the central bank will move quickly to bring down interest rates. "We remain in the camp of higher for longer.”For more investing insights, please visit deutschewealth.com.In Europe, Middle East and Africa as well as in Asia Pacific this material is considered marketing material, but this is not the case in the U.S. No assurance can be given that any forecast or target can be achieved. Forecasts are based on assumptions, estimates, opinions and hypothetical models which may prove to be incorrect. Past performance is not indicative of future returns.Performance refers to a nominal value based on price gains/losses and does not take into account inflation. Inflation will have a negative impact on the purchasing power of this nominal monetary value. Depending on the current level of inflation, this may lead to a real loss in value, even if the nominal performance of the investment is positive. Investments come with risk. The value of an investment can fall as well as rise and you might not get back the amount originally invested at any point in time. Your capital may be at risk.The services described in this podcast are provided by Deutsche Bank AG or by its subsidiaries and/or affiliates in accordance with appropriate local legislation and regulation. Deutsche Bank AG is subject to comprehensive supervision by the European Central Bank (“ECB”), by Germany’s Federal Financial Supervisory Authority (BaFin) and by Germany’s central bank (“Deutsche Bundesbank”). Brokerage services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Securities Inc., a broker-dealer and registered investment adviser, which conducts investment banking and securities activities in the United States.Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. is a member of FINRA, NYSE and SIPC. Lending and banking services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Trust Company Americas, member FDIC, and other members of the Deutsche Bank Group.The products, services, information and/or materials referred to within this podcast may not be available for residents of certain jurisdictions. © 2025 Deutsche Bank AG and/or its subsidiaries. All rights reserved. This podcast may not be used, reproduced, copied or modified without the written consent of Deutsche Bank AG. 030620 030121

Much of the recent market volatility can be attributed to the wave of on-again-off-again tariff threats from the U.S., which "always result in a big risk-off knee jerk", says Stefanie Holtze-Jen, the Private Bank's APAC CIO. But she notes that while we see China retaliating with tariffs of its own, "it looks very much like they want to negotiate, rather than escalate."The week ahead “will not be boring”, Stefanie says, as we will receive a wealth of data, including Chinese producer and consumer prices. On the tariff front, she notes that Chinese retaliatory tariffs on U.S. agricultural goods are due to take effect, and a deadline is approaching for the U.S. to apply tariffs on some European Union metals.For more investing insights, please visit deutschewealth.comIn Europe, Middle East and Africa as well as in Asia Pacific this material is considered marketing material, but this is not the case in the U.S. No assurance can be given that any forecast or target can be achieved. Forecasts are based on assumptions, estimates, opinions and hypothetical models which may prove to be incorrect. Past performance is not indicative of future returns.Performance refers to a nominal value based on price gains/losses and does not take into account inflation. Inflation will have a negative impact on the purchasing power of this nominal monetary value. Depending on the current level of inflation, this may lead to a real loss in value, even if the nominal performance of the investment is positive. Investments come with risk. The value of an investment can fall as well as rise and you might not get back the amount originally invested at any point in time. Your capital may be at risk.The services described in this podcast are provided by Deutsche Bank AG or by its subsidiaries and/or affiliates in accordance with appropriate local legislation and regulation. Deutsche Bank AG is subject to comprehensive supervision by the European Central Bank (“ECB”), by Germany’s Federal Financial Supervisory Authority (BaFin) and by Germany’s central bank (“Deutsche Bundesbank”). Brokerage services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Securities Inc., a broker-dealer and registered investment adviser, which conducts investment banking and securities activities in the United States.Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. is a member of FINRA, NYSE and SIPC. Lending and banking services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Trust Company Americas, member FDIC, and other members of the Deutsche Bank Group.The products, services, information and/or materials referred to within this podcast may not be available for residents of certain jurisdictions. © 2025 Deutsche Bank AG and/or its subsidiaries. All rights reserved. This podcast may not be used, reproduced, copied or modified without the written consent of Deutsche Bank AG. 030620 030121

The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge inched down at the end of last week, but "the main topic remains, for me, inflation", says the Private Bank’s global Chief Investment Officer, Christian Nolting. Prices are still rising more quickly than the central bank would like. Still, "the good news is this came in line with expectations of the market", Christian says.Meanwhile, Christian considers the reasons that European stock indexes have outperformed their U.S. counterparts this year. And in the week ahead he says he’ll be watching U.S. nonfarm payrolls, the European Central Bank’s policy decision, and China’s National People’s Congress.For more investing insights, please visit deutschewealth.comIn Europe, Middle East and Africa as well as in Asia Pacific this material is considered marketing material, but this is not the case in the U.S. No assurance can be given that any forecast or target can be achieved. Forecasts are based on assumptions, estimates, opinions and hypothetical models which may prove to be incorrect. Past performance is not indicative of future returns.Performance refers to a nominal value based on price gains/losses and does not take into account inflation. Inflation will have a negative impact on the purchasing power of this nominal monetary value. Depending on the current level of inflation, this may lead to a real loss in value, even if the nominal performance of the investment is positive. Investments come with risk. The value of an investment can fall as well as rise and you might not get back the amount originally invested at any point in time. Your capital may be at risk.The services described in this podcast are provided by Deutsche Bank AG or by its subsidiaries and/or affiliates in accordance with appropriate local legislation and regulation. Deutsche Bank AG is subject to comprehensive supervision by the European Central Bank (“ECB”), by Germany’s Federal Financial Supervisory Authority (BaFin) and by Germany’s central bank (“Deutsche Bundesbank”). Brokerage services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Securities Inc., a broker-dealer and registered investment adviser, which conducts investment banking and securities activities in the United States.Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. is a member of FINRA, NYSE and SIPC. Lending and banking services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Trust Company Americas, member FDIC, and other members of the Deutsche Bank Group.The products, services, information and/or materials referred to within this podcast may not be available for residents of certain jurisdictions. © 2025 Deutsche Bank AG and/or its subsidiaries. All rights reserved. This podcast may not be used, reproduced, copied or modified without the written consent of Deutsche Bank AG. 030620 030121