Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez

Dr. Douglas Greenig, CEO, CIO, and founder of Florin Court Capital, discusses trend-following, volatility scaling, diversification, and the challenges of trading in diverse markets. He also explores the decline of the US as a global superpower, the rise of China, and the potential growth trajectory of Africa in the US-China relationship.

Marc Goldwein, Senior Vice President and Senior Policy Director for the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget, discusses the scale of US debt and deficit, the impact of COVID on spending, trends in healthcare, social security spending, taxes, and more.

US macro outlook, vulnerability of emerging markets, Bank of England meeting, Norges Bank and RBA decisions, indicators and rankings of country vulnerabilities, risks and opportunities in emerging markets

Boris Vladimirov, managing director at Goldman Sachs, discusses macro volatility, fiscal policy, recession risks, market instability, impact of higher interest rates on asset allocation, and AI in finance including the role of data.

Daniel Rock, Assistant Professor of Operations, Information, and Decisions at the Wharton School, discusses the lasting impact of COVID lockdowns on work practices, the reasons behind weak productivity in recent decades, and the importance of digital goods and intangible assets in driving a firm's value. They also share investment advice and recommend influential books and science fiction favorites.

Martin Lueck, Co-founder of Aspect Capital and Research Director, discusses testing hypotheses, ChatGPT and LLMs, the effectiveness of trend as a style, and the impact on portfolios. The podcast also touches on the use of large language models and machine learning in business, B Corp status, involvement in physics, advice for life after university, and influential books.

Jason Halliwell, Head of GMO’s Systematic Global Macro team, discusses equity views, systematic macro, value investing, and the potential impact of AI on productivity. The podcast also explores a systematic approach in value investing for bonds and highlights the influential work of Andrew Smith and GMO researchers.

Barry Eichengreen, Professor of Economics, discusses the rise of global debt, the differences between academic and policy conferences, the currency debate in emerging markets, strategies for reducing debt, the challenges of debt restructurings, and the potential impact of AI on productivity growth.

Phil Suttle, founder of Suttle Economics, discusses US recession risks, AI impact, surprise factory building, Euro-area and UK outlook, US inflation forecast and Fed's response, China's weak housing market, and the future of central bankers.

Dominique Dwor-Frecaut, Senior Macro Strategist for Macro Hive, discusses the Fed's inflation target, the impact of low interest rates, and the housing market. The chapter also explores the relationship between labor market conditions and inflation, as well as the outlook on US growth and the actions of the Federal Reserve.