Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez

Alberto Gallo, Chief Investment Officer and Co-founder at Andromeda Capital Management, discusses the market focus on rate cuts, the importance of the new fiscal regime, inflation risks, political factors, populist policies, private equity, market complacency, and the intersection of markets and technology.

Henry Ritchotte, Founder of RitMir Ventures, discusses dealing with the 2008 financial crisis, running a bank as a COO, why European banks haven't surpassed US banks, and more.

Julia Azari, Professor in the Department of Political Science at Marquette University, discusses Presidential powers in foreign and domestic policy, constitutional constraints on presidential power, and the Democrats' struggle with the white working class vote. The podcast also covers Biden's potential policies, Trump's reelection chances, and advice for young individuals entering the workforce.

Dominique Dwor-Frecaut, Chief US economist and macro strategist, discusses the Fed's shift in view on interest rates, the impact of supply shocks on inflation and unemployment, the reasons behind the Fed's decision to cut rates, the fiscal deficit and its impact on markets, and personal interests and TV shows.

In this podcast, Professor Chris Rauh discusses the challenges of predicting conflicts, highlighting the importance of distinguishing between conflict prevention and predicting the first outbreak. He also explores the use of AI and machine learning, such as topic modeling, to predict conflicts using news stories. Additionally, he shares insights on his research on parenting styles and their impact on children's development. The episode concludes with advice for students transitioning into the real world and recommendations for books that have influenced the speakers.

John Floyd, former Head of Macro Strategies and Chairman/CIO of Floyd Plus Currency Fund, discusses finding asymmetric returns, dealing with losses, meta lessons from 2023, risks and differentiation between US and China, trades, personal investment advice, finding passion, embracing non-traditional sources, influential books on markets, and ways to stay connected.

Niall Ferguson discusses historical analysis, the new conflict on AI and quantum, geological risks, Cold War II, India's position in relation to China and the US, geopolitical risks and potential crises, and the shift in culture at universities.

Bilal Hafeez, CEO and Head of Research at Macro Hive, discusses the biggest surprises of 2023, the importance of covering oil and China, and understanding the drivers of US growth. The podcast also explores recent changes in the Bank of Japan, the correlation between equities and bonds, and interesting developments and outlook for 2024. Additionally, the speaker provides analysis and predictions for 2024, focusing on Grace One analysis and the significance of AI. The podcast concludes with a discussion on violence, movie recommendations, and anime series.

Liang Ding, currency strategist, China economist, portfolio manager, and quant analyst, discusses the state of the Chinese economy in 2023, challenges faced by migrant workers, China's housing market shift, and the economic outlook for next year.

Shiloh Bates, CIO of Flat Rock Global, discusses everything about CLOs, from definitions to their performance. He shares his career journey, explains cash flow in bankruptcy, and differentiates CLOs from HY bonds. Bates also talks about writing a book on CLO investing and the benefits of reading practitioner-authored books.