

Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez
Bilal Hafeez
We talk economics and markets with leading policymakers and investors.
Episodes
Mentioned books

5 snips
Apr 14, 2023 • 49min
Robert Koenigsberger on What Everyone Gets Wrong About Emerging Markets
Robert Koenigsberger is Founder, Chief Investment Officer and the Managing Partner of the $5bn EM fund, Gramercy. He founded Gramercy in 1998. Robert has 36 years of investment experience dedicated to emerging markets with a specialization in distressed opportunistic credit strategies. He is a member of Gramercy’s Management Team and is Co-Chair of the Risk Management Committee. In this podcast we discuss common misconceptions about EM, illusion of liquidity, the politics of Latin America, and much more. Follow us here for more amazing insights: https://macrohive.com/home-prime/ https://twitter.com/Macro_Hive https://www.linkedin.com/company/macro-hive

Apr 7, 2023 • 44min
Peter Spiller on Value Investing, Navigating Inflation and Delivering 15% Annual Returns
Peter Spiller is the one of the most respected value investors in markets. He is the Founder and CIO of boutique investment house CG Asset Management. Prior to founding CGAM in 2000, Peter was a partner and strategy director at Cazenove & Co Capital Management and a US equity investor at Capel Cure & Myers. Peter has managed Capital Gearing Trust plc since 1982, which has delivered annual returns of 15%. In this podcast we discuss how to measure fair value of equities, understanding impact of tech, why real rates will go negative, and much more. Follow us here for more amazing insights: https://macrohive.com/home-prime/ https://twitter.com/Macro_Hive https://www.linkedin.com/company/macro-hive

Mar 31, 2023 • 37min
Geoff Rubin on 60:40 Portfolios, Endowment Model and Re-Thinking Risk
Geoff Rubin is Senior Managing Director and Chief Investment Strategist at CPP Investments. The Canadian Pension Plan is one of the world’s leading pension managers with over $530bn in assets. Geoff is responsible for designing and implementing CPP Investments’ long-term investment strategy. He joined CPP Investments in 2011, at the inception of the former Total Portfolio Management department. Previously, Geoff held finance roles with Fannie Mae and Capital One Financial where he managed the global balance sheet. In this podcast we discuss fixed income as diversifier, the right way to think about risk, how to insulate against inflation shocks, and much more. Follow us here for more amazing insights: https://macrohive.com/home-prime/ https://twitter.com/Macro_Hive https://www.linkedin.com/company/macro-hive

7 snips
Mar 24, 2023 • 1h 10min
Jim Leitner on Creating a Macro Edge, Trading Options and Carry Trades
This episode is sponsored by Amber Group Jim Leitner serves as President of Falcon Management Corporation and CIO of Falcon Family L.P., a family office. Previously, he worked as a foreign exchange trader at Morgan Guaranty, as Chief Dealer at Bank of America International, as Vice President for proprietary trading at Shearson Lehman and as Managing Director in the Global Trading Department at Bankers Trust. Jim was a member of the Yale Investment Committee from 2004 through to 2010. In this podcast we discuss why inflation could be more persistent, thoughts on bank crises, owning rather than using options, and much more. Follow us here for more amazing insights: https://macrohive.com/home-prime/ https://twitter.com/Macro_Hive https://www.linkedin.com/company/macro-hive

Mar 17, 2023 • 30min
Lindsay Politi on the Silicon Valley Bank Fall-Out, Duration Bubbles and Inflation
Lindsay Politi is Head of Inflation Strategies at One River Asset Management. Lindsay began her career at Wellington Management in Boston where she was head of Global Inflation-linked Investments. In that role she was one of the top TIPS managers by assets, managing over $10 billion in dedicated assets, with a top quintile track record for excess in her peer group. She then joined Tudor Investment Corporation in Greenwich as a discretionary macro investor, translating her inflation strategy onto a macro hedge fund platform. She then joined One River Asset Management in 2018. In this podcast we discuss reframing the bank crisis as a duration bubble, how inflation distorts time, why shelter prices are not falling faster, and much more. Follow us here for more amazing insights: https://macrohive.com/home-prime/ https://twitter.com/Macro_Hive https://www.linkedin.com/company/macro-hive

Mar 10, 2023 • 52min
Niall Ferguson on Cold War 2, Middle East Conflict and Woke Students
Niall Ferguson is the Milbank Family Senior Fellow at the Hoover Institution, Stanford University, and a senior faculty fellow of the Belfer Center at Harvard, where he served for twelve years as the Laurence A. Tisch Professor of History. He is the author of sixteen books. This includes the international bestseller, The Ascent of Money: A Financial History of the World. His most recent book is Doom: The Politics of Catastrophe. In addition to his academic work, he is the founder and managing director of Greenmantle LLC, an advisory firm. In this podcast we discuss the proper way to do historical analysis, the new conflict on AI and quantum, geological risks, and much more. Follow us here for more amazing insights: https://macrohive.com/home-prime/ https://twitter.com/Macro_Hive https://www.linkedin.com/company/macro-hive

Mar 3, 2023 • 1h 4min
Mustafa Chowdhury on Mortgage Risks, Fed Shocks and Derivatives
Mustafa is a rates guru and member of the research team at Macro Hive. Before this, Mustafa was the Head of Rates, FX, and Derivatives at Voya Investments, where he helped manage $40 billion of assets. Prior to that, he was a Managing Director and Head of US Rates and MBS Strategy at Deutsche Bank. And in the 1990s, he was Co-head of Asset-Liability Management at Freddie Mac, where he was responsible for managing one of the world’s largest fixed income derivatives portfolios and trading desks. In this podcast we discuss how financial institutions manage mortgages on their books, what triggered sub-prime/global financial crisis, why households and mortgage markets are safer today than 2008, and much more. Follow us here for more amazing insights: https://macrohive.com/home-prime/ https://twitter.com/Macro_Hive https://www.linkedin.com/company/macro-hive

Feb 24, 2023 • 49min
Timothy Ash on Russia’s Failure, China Intervention and EM Re-Alignment
Timothy Ash is a Senior EM Sovereign Strategist at the $125bn fund, BlueBay, and is widely considered one of the leading experts on Ukraine and Russia. Prior to joining BlueBay, Tim was Head of CEEMEA Credit Strategy at Nomura International. Before this he was Head of EM Research (ex-Africa) at ICBC-Standard Bank until May 2015; Head of Emerging Markets Research at the Royal Bank of Scotland until June 2012; and Head of EMEA fixed income research at Bear Stearns International (later JPMorgan Chase) until April 2008. In this podcast we discuss what caused the collapse of the Soviet Union, why Russia didn’t have a quick victory against Ukraine, China brokering peace deal, and much more. Follow us here for more amazing insights: https://macrohive.com/home-prime/ https://twitter.com/Macro_Hive https://www.linkedin.com/company/macro-hive

Feb 17, 2023 • 46min
Mikihiro Matsuoka on Japan Inflation, BoJ Outlook and Debt Problems
Matsuoka-San is the Chief Economist of SBI Securities in Japan. Before that, he was the Chief Economist for Japan at Deutsche Bank. Overall, he has been involved in macroeconomic analysis at research institutions and financial institutions for the past 30 years. He is known to be one of the leading Japan economists with unique insights on structural issues. Over the years he has been highly ranked in numerous surveys including the Institutional Investor survey. In this podcast we discuss current trends in Japan inflation, outlook on BoJ actions, comparison between Prime Minister Kishida and Abe, and much more. Visit our website here: https://macrohive.com/home-prime/

Feb 10, 2023 • 1h 7min
Richard Oldfield on Value Investing, Warren Buffet and Elon Musk
Richard founded Oldfield Partners in 2004.The firm is a value-style asset management firm with over $4bn in assets under management. Richard was Chairman of the Oxford University Investment Committee and of Oxford University Endowment from the latter’s inception in 2007 until 2014. He holds a BA Hons in History from Oxford University. His book about investing, ‘Simple But Not Easy’, was published in 2007 and new edition was published in 2022. In the podcast, we talk about the trouble with private equity and hedge funds, outlook for value investing, why smaller teams make better investment decisions, and much more.