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Daily Stock Picks

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Jul 27, 2022 • 42min

How to find stocks to invest in your every day life - LNG is such a no brainer - Market update 7-27-22

$MCD - perfect example of how to invest with my story of $1 drinks $KO - investment - not a trade - and a very good one  $SNOW - still like this $MU - you've gotten your 10% on this trade.  $AMZN and $MSFT - the traders on CNBC make good points - probably not good to hold short term - it’s going to be tough because of the multiples - but if you are investing for more than a year - putting up with short term volatility is your best bet Josh Brown buys $LNG - above $150 is a breakout - he talked about moving LNG over to Europe. We are producing it at $6 and LNG is best positioned to move it over there. He said it’s a supply/demand play - and Cheniere is who fixes the log jam Remember - $BOIL - $CRK and $VET are also nat gas plays $CME - crazy good quarter - $9.30 per share - restaurant sales up 10% ….they are doing incredible with horrifically horrible burritos. I’m not a fan $V - beat - down 2% but nothing that says buy the stock $GOOG missed by 6% but that was priced in $MSFT missed - there’s nothing good in the stock that says buy it now - but good for long term Everything in the market is just blah - there’s nothing that says you have to trade…be patient With $AMZN - wait to see what they say and THEN trade it…no reason to chance things $META - I like it since it’s been down - but again - no need to rush in $AAPL - got a new iPhone - I’m the moron that buys right before the new one comes out and pays full price $BA missed earnings but cash flow is better than expected so the stock is up 4% in pre market Elliot who built a position in pins has now gotten into to $PYPL Nat gas is up to $60 in Europe… $RIO profit falls and cuts guidance on weak sales of iron ore - no reason to keep watching this  $ENPH up 10% on strong earnings VIX at 24 so $UVXY is doing poorly - wants to be at 30 Fed decision today $TQQQ way up in pre market Your plays for day trading  $UPRO - Bull S&P $SPXU - Bear S&P $TQQQ - Bull Nasdaq $SQQQ - Bear Nasdaq $SARK - Bear for high multiple growth  $UVXY - when the VIX rises - typically on large down days
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Jul 26, 2022 • 48min

Earnings are driving volatility which creates opportunities - Market update 7-26-22

$UNH $QCOM $GOOG $META $AAPL $AMZN $XOM $CVX $Pxd $TSLA $RIO $NVDA $BOIL $UCO $LNG - $crk $vet may be better $COST NFL announced they launched NFL plus - but Goodell has said SUnday ticket is moving to an app service and apple is the leader - this will mark the end of linear TV service. $UPRO $SPXU $TQQQ $SQQQ $SARK $IWM from Trendspider is trending on the 50day EMA - IWM is a small cap ETF $Wmt way down after hours dragging down target kohls and amazon with it. Walmart said it now anticipates adjusted earnings per share for the second quarter and full year to decline around 8% to 9% and 11% to 13%, respectively. It had previously expected them to be flat to up slightly for the second quarter and to drop by 1% for the full year. Walmart stock drop is most in 1 day in over 20 years inflation is causing shoppers to spend more on necessities like food and less on items like clothing and electronics This may be an opportunity to buy quality retailers on the dip like $cost $m and imo $TGT may be a buy because it might be a Walmart problem …target may have already been through this $Tslq - should have mentioned yesterday when it was up so much Oil up 2% again Russia is going to slow nat gas flow to 20% …. That’s a 50% drop so Putin is def going to shut this off before winter Dutch contracts on future are $53 per mega watt and we are paying $8 Fed kicks off meeting today and tomorrow is their decision John Oliver show is a master class on inflation Politically the big story is the White House is trying to change the definition of a recession … they are trying to say there’s not one because the consumer thinking there’s a recession could make the last leg fall which would drive us in to a recession with people just thinking we may be in or will have one $Fcx up again Redfin report says 32% want to move to cities Top picks Miami Tampa Phoenix Sacramento Las Vegas Cape Coral San Diego Energy is going to be big because of air conditioning because all these cities are hot $Gs is still up … you should have made your 10% on this $Gm misses earnings rather big … this is a company that can’t do things right at all - chip shortage and China lockdowns are what they blame … they pre announced this a few weeks ago - profit margin was 8% vs 10% last year $Gm is saying their guidance is the same … so no take down of targets or ev estimates. 1 million ev sales in 2025 Only reason to own the stock is for cruise self driving division $Ups beats big - confirms guidance and increases share repurchase - they are bettering the operations of thr business $V tonight might be interesting for the economy $Msft and $GOOG tonight … I like both for long term $Ge better earnings than expected and down big to start and then it came back $Rdbx has taken off again $Revb is crashing $Siga - monkeypx is big $Govx is also up big $Drv - shorting real estate $KO beats earnings and things are positive Sell $Oxy over $60 SCANS $KO $UNH $AMGN $PFE $KDP - right before earnings
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Jul 25, 2022 • 57min

Earnings week - what should you trade this week? Market update 7-25-22

I go over some of the earnings this week: Tuesday - $GOOG and $MSFT Wednesday - $QCOM and $META Thursday - $AAPL and $AMZN Friday - $XOM and $CVX Commodities seem to be turning around and $FXC and $RIO seem to be on an uptrend $SNAP - was it a Snap issue or an overall ad downturn? Did $meta figure this out in Q1 and is that all priced in already?  $KMI - interesting safe 6.7% yield in the energy industry.  $LNG is the best opportunity in the nat gas trade. It's going to continue higher because in the US it's selling at $8 and Europe it's $50 - they will export and make a fortune. $RevB - up 100% in premarket $TSLA - crazy that it's this high - but there are reasons - upcoming split and opening chargers up to all EV's $TQQQ - up at $30 - take your 10% and move if you've had it - I just wonder if 1 earnings report from the big 4's brings this down - it's triple levered $SIGA - monkeypox trade $NIO - great trade - just wonder if it's worth the risk with the China government  $SGML - wow - great buy and hold for Lithium - but really good trade with the algo too $ZIM - at $46
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Jul 21, 2022 • 1h 5min

Tesla Earnings - German Nat Gas Pipeline - Market update 7-21-22

I ramble on quite a bit with EU political issues which should drive energy (both oil and specifically nat gas) up.  I also ramble on about how the Nasdaq is down further than the Dow and S&P so the Nasdaq over the last month has been the one bouncing up.  Some stocks I like now $SNAP - earnings tonight $PINS - private equity getting involved $META $QCOM - wow this has taken off from $124 where I didn't think it would stay  $TSLA - my pivot on this remains $700 - it's running today and I sold 1/2 my lot a few weeks ago at $750, but I think it's going back under $700 soon.  $UNH - buy under $500 - it'll go under that $COST - it's been quite a run - I like this stock because the consumer is not weak $M - I like this one still $FCX - looks weak, but could it turn around if copper rises?  $SHOP - earnings are coming up - it's run 10%  $NEM $TDOC - I go over these for the listener Willy who left me a voice message on Anchor.  $FDX - I like it as a turn around, but I think there are more exciting places to put your money $AA - beat on earnings $CCL - $1B stock offering - diluting shares - never good and other travel stocks will suffer $UAL - weak guidance on crappy service which they said will continue. $AAL said the same exact things - travel stocks are down  $CLF - I still like this one - earnings are coming out later $DVN $OXY $FANG $CVX $XOM $MPLX - I still like energy on it's weakness - supply is just not going to increase $T - beat on earnings, but weak guidance - stock going WAY down. $VZ earnings tomorrow - may be an opportunity and I like Verizon more than ATT.  CROSS UPS: $GOOG $GOOGL  $ARKG $DDOG $OKTA Continue to trade $SQQQ $TQQQ $BOIL $KOLD $UCO $SCO $SPXU
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Jul 20, 2022 • 48min

Nat Gas and Oil - supply will fall short of demand - Did you make your 10% off Netflix earnings? Market update 7-20-22

The German govt is telling the EU they will have to ration nat gas. This is bullish for $BOIL. Nord Stream pipeline getting turned up now.  $NFLX - if you listened and took the trade - you made 10%. It's coming back down to earth now.  China has warned of Pelosi visit - this is bad.  $GS - you have your 10% by now - you're welcome $GOLD - hasn't moved, but it's still oversold. Since it's a commodity - you should worry if we have a recession ahead.  $DRV - you are out in the algo because of yesterday's big day up. I still hold that this has $50 in it though at some point.  $SPXU $SQQQ $TQQQ $UCO $SCO $BOIL $KOLD - watch the trend on charts to trade these. It's too hard to determine daily trend right now.  Cross ups: $ARKK $ETSY $OXY $ORCL $UPS $T $DIS - I like this here - under $100 buy - over $100 sell for your profits $DVN $XOM $CVX $MPLX $FANG - love the oils still  $CALM - egg producer - not sure of their ethics but I will look in to it. Big earnings this year though. 
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Jul 19, 2022 • 51min

Single stock ETF's - Netflix earnings - Market is crazy - 7-19-22 Market update

Thank you to all the listeners, reviewers and especially the supporters of the podcast. I love recording these and the feedback you give so I am humbly saying thank you.  Follow me on Instagram (daily.stock.pick) or Twitter (www.twitter.com/dailystockpick3)  I talk about how the S&P is now trading under it's 50 day moving average for 60 days in a row - not seen since 2008. So we are in a prolonged downturn.  $TWTR - lawsuit about the timing of the lawsuit with Elon happens today  $TSLA - triangle pattern - danger may be ahead - or it's a pop - but I would be leaning towards danger. Don't be afraid of missing out - just stay away until we have a direction from earnings.  $AAPL - tanked the market today and showed their hand on earnings IMO. They will slow hiring and spending in 2023. I think them, $IBM $JNJ earnings will all focus on the strong dollar as a weakness in guidance.  $BOIL - slight pullback - but nat gas is still strong.  $UCO will pull back on the daily - but it's still strong.  $TQQQ may be up today - but I do think $SQQQ is your play for a weekly basis.  $NFLX - it's a coin toss but the options market is indicating a 15% move up or down in the stock with earnings. They have enacted a password sharing fee in South America so this may help revenue, but won't help with increasing subs. $NFLX and $ROKU become targets at some point for a larger merger (think $CMCSA or $AAPL)  $IBM - down on free cash flow disappointment  $ETHE way up - almost 30% $BOIL - up 75% with the algo buy in at $43 Single stock ETF's - $TSLQ $NVDS $PYPT $PYPS - interesting but nothing I would trade right now. 
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Jul 18, 2022 • 55min

Don't sell this rally - should you buy Netflix before earnings? Market update 7-18-22

Tom Lee was on CNBC Friday and said "Don't sell the rally". I'm not sure it's going to be that strong here, but earnings seem to be good.  Covid is back in the news so keep an eye on $MRNA - it's strong now - but look for pullbacks $C was a great call on Friday way up. Still trading at about half of book value - so it's still got room to run.  $BAC earnings - buy under $40 - sell over $40 $XLV $UNH $WGA $CVS - I go over these - but healthcare is a strong sector $UCO - back up - oil is going to be strong here. Remember oil is tied to $DVN $OXY $CVX $XOM $FANG $BOIL has been CRAZY - $KOLD had a great run - now time for Nat Gas to rise in price.  $COST - great retailer - buy under $500 - sell over - $M is a great retailer with earnings coming up $AAPL - great run of recent. It's strong heading in to earnings $NFLX - careful with this one but it might be worth buying before earnings tomorrow.  $TQQQ has been a great trade - I've day traded it. My day trade for a strong market is $TQQQ - for weak markets continue to look at $SPXU $SQQQ $UVXY  $TSLA - under $700 buy - over - sell - upgraded to a buy at $1k price target and Deutche Bank says buy before earnings on Wednesday $TWTR - I like the risk going in to the court case $ORCL - strong steady tech between $70 and $90 $CLF - close to $15 again - I like it heading in to earnings but costs could kill this $OXY - is Buffett going to take this private?  $GOEV - hype play  $GS - should have gotten it under $300 at book value $NVDA - always a good time to buy for long term $GOOG - split went through - 20-1 - look for short term pop
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Jul 15, 2022 • 56min

Free online tools that teach stock chart reading and fundamentals. Plus my stock yesterday paid off! - 7/15/22 Market update

I go over all the places on YouTube that I trust to learn about stock charts and fundamentals.  1) Ziptrader 2) Trendspider U 3) Trading Rush Mac D 4) Focus on RSI, SMA vs. EMA, MacD and later identifying pattersn 5) Develop your own style that you feel comfortable with and try back testing (using Trendspider - sign up through my pinned tweet and support the podcast)  Oil is back in play - $JPM thinks it's $120 soon because of supply  Oil wholesale is back to pre Ukraine war prices - but prices at the pump are not - seems like a global crisis - it will go back up with supply shortening and gas stations are reluctant to reduce the price. $UCO is a good play $OXY - Buffett keeps buying - even at the $60 price  $DVN $XOM $CVX $FANG all have had dips that IMO are buys $WMB - has a 5% yield  $WFC - got beat down by earnings - but Stephanie Link likes it  $MU - great run so far - I think it has $66 if it closes above $60 $BAC - Karen Finermans biggest holding - I like it but it may get beaten down if earnings are as bad as other banks $TQQQ - made money yesterday - looking for more today  $UNH - beat earnings - still has some left in the tank, but don't be greedy $META $GOOG $AAPL - all good long term buys here $TSLA - above $700 again - look to sell if it runs $RIO - get out while you can - this was my mistake $SPXU - good because I do think the market will trend down from here $SQQQ - I'm not buying this just yet - wait for a bad earnings Nasdaq company - then pounce $UVXY - still think the vix goes to 30  $GOEV - this is complete hype - don't hold it over the weekend  $PINS - Elliot Management is now in - look for continued shareholder value in this
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Jul 14, 2022 • 42min

Even when the market is down - trade your way up with inverse ETF's - Market update 7-14-22

Use ETF's like $SPXU $SQQQ $UVXY when the market is down and $TQQQ when the market is up.  $TSLA under $700 again and is back over it.  $CLF - get it with the $14 handle  $JPM - missed on earnings - mainly on investment banking - down big $MS - was down big - missed on investment banking as well - semi recovered $QCOM - great trade so far  $TWTR - looks interesting with their response to Elon $APPH - I like it with the $2 handle before earnings $NFLX - looks interesting if they immediately move everyone to an ad based tier and increase the cost of ad free $DRV - people are holding off on buying real estate - this one is a great tool  Cross ups $HES - it had a cross over the other day - it's oil and earnings are coming up - it's a commodity that's under pressure so it's risky $CLX - with Covid coming back, this might be a good investment - but it's had quite a run. May need a rest. 
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Jul 13, 2022 • 37min

Inflation just killed the market so where can you invest? Market update 7-13-22

Ray Daleo of Bridgewater Capital Hedge fund - they are up 32% YTD which is incredible. ZipTrader Charlie went over his strategy on his video last night - great video and you should watch it.  $BABA - his largest holding $PG is also a large holding - he has large positions in Mega Value (under 17PE) and tons of small positions in medium companies.  $TSLA - under $700 - start buying again $SARK - cross up on the algo - buy it because the ARK funds have been up 20% in the month of June - this is due for a run $TGT and $LOW are still great values here with good dividends while you wait for this to settle down.  $NVDA - get it in the $140's and sit and wait $SPXU $SQQQ $SARK are all great hedges to trade  $TQQQ - get it under $25 because it's going back to $28 $UVXY - still like this to go to $16 soon - the VIX is at 26 and is going to 30.  $APPH - love the business - hate the stock. It's got some catalysts, but if you have gains - take them (that's the overall theme in this market) $GOEV - Canoo - down after the hype run of yesterday $CLF - get it under $15 today heading in to earnings $GS - under $300 is good - it's trading at book value $UCO - $SCO has been the play - I still say oil will have it's day when supply is an issue $BOIL - Nat Gas is exploding again $PXD - $CVX - $XOM - $OXY - $DVN - I think energy earnings will drive these stocks up and potential special dividends with windfalls $AXP - still like this one here - Delta just said business travel was up 20% in the quarter $NFLX - you're out of this one in the algo - but I am starting to think a crackdown on password sharing is a good sign for the stock $PTON - you're out of it but I love the app $TWTR - I think Musk will be forced to buy, but this is a HUGE gamble on a stock that will be in the $20 range with earnings coming up $DRV - love this - a buy in the algo  $UNH - under $500 - buy it before earnings

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