WTFinance

Interview recorded - 12th of February, 2024On this episode of the WTFinance I had the pleasure of speaking with Lyn Alden. Lyn is one of the foremost macro strategists, Founder of Lyn Alden Investment Strategy & author of the book “Broken Money: Why Our Financial System is Failing Us and How We Can Make it Better”.Buy the book here - https://www.amazon.co.uk/Broken-Money-Financial-System-Failing-ebook/dp/B0CGNVNXK2/During this conversation we spoke about what Lyn is currently seeing in the macro environment, the push and pull of fiscal & monetary policies, why stocks are at all-time highs, whether we could be moving into a crack-up boom scenario and more!0:00 - Introduction1:20 - What is Lyn seeing in Macro?4:55 - Push and Pull of Fiscal & Monetary policy8:00 - What prevented liquidity crunch last year?10:35 - What others tools do they have for liquidity?12:26 - Future liquidity scenarios?15:40 - Reducing interest rates while continuing QT?17:16 - Why is the stock market at all time highs?19:09 - What assets to perform?21:45 - Crack up boom?22:48 - Can US continue deficits?25:05 - Could the US move to austerity?28:10 - Deflation vs higher inflation29:50 - Why is our financial system failing us?33:50 - CBDC a risk?37:10 - What impact does higher energy costs have on blockchains?39:29 - Outlook for Crypto & Bitcoin in 2024?42:40 - One message to takeaway from our conversation?Lyn runs an investment research service for both retail and institutional investors at LynAlden.com. Her focus is on fundamental investing with a global macro overlay, with an emphasis on equities, currencies, commodities, and digital assets. Lyn has also worked for over a decade in the aviation industry in a range of roles, starting as an electronics engineer and moving into project and facility management, and engineering finance. Eventually she became the head engineer and head of technical procurement for the facility, before retiring in my 30s. Lyn has a bachelor's in electronics engineering and a master's in engineering management, with a focus on engineering economics and financial modelling. Lyn Alden - Website - https://www.lynalden.com/LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/lynalden/Twitter - https://twitter.com/lynaldencontact?lang=enWTFinance -Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/wtfinancee/Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas

Interview recorded - 5th of February, 2024On this episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of welcoming on Danielle DiMartino Booth. Danielle is the CEO & Chief Strategist for QI Research, a research and analytics firm.During our conversation we spoke about Danielle's thoughts on the markets, what the recent job losses mean for the economy, whether the economy is currently on its last legs, could commercial real estate be another credit event catalyst and what this means for the FED in 2024. I hope you enjoy!0:00 - Introduction1:30 - What is Danielle thoughts about the economy?3:55 - Already in a recession?4:45 - Where will interest rates go?6:00 - Is Powell making a mistake?7:00 - US going the way of China?8:40 - A job hasn’t been created until February 2023?12:20 - Will Powell make bigger cuts?14:10 - Is Powell looking at leading indicators?14:52 - Any unique data points?15:50 - Commercial Real Estate - a catalyst for another credit event?18:40 - What would Danielle do as Chairperson of the FED?20:43 - Cut interest rates while continuing QT?22:22 - Which assets could perform during 2024?25:00 - One message to takeaway from conversation?DiMartino Booth set out to launch a #ResearchRevolution, redefining how market intelligence is conceived and delivered to guide portfolio managers and promote financial literacy. To build QI, she brought together a core team of investing veterans to analyze the trends and provide critical analysis on what is driving the markets – both in the United States and globally.Since their inception in 2015, commentary and data from DiMartino Booth’s The Daily Feather and The Weekly Quill have appeared in other financial sources such as Bloomberg, CNBC, Fox Business, Institutional Investor, Yahoo Finance, The Wall Street Journal, MarketWatch, Seeking Alpha, TD Ameritrade, TheStreet.com, and more.A global thought leader in monetary policy, economics, and finance, DiMartino Booth founded QI Research in 2015.  She is the author of FED UP: An Insider’s Take on Why the Federal Reserve is Bad for America (Portfolio, Feb 2017), a business speaker, and a commentator frequently featured on CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox News, Fox Business News, BNN Bloomberg, Yahoo Finance and other major media outlets.Prior to QI Research, DiMartino Booth spent nine years at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. She served as Advisor to President Richard W. Fisher throughout the financial crisis until his retirement in March 2015. Her work at the Fed focused on financial stability and the efficacy of unconventional monetary policy.DiMartino Booth began her career in New York at Credit Suisse and Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette where she worked in the fixed-income, public equity, and private equity markets. DiMartino Booth earned her BBA as a College of Business Scholar at the University of Texas at San Antonio. She holds an MBA in Finance and International Business from the University of Texas at Austin and an MS in Journalism from Columbia University.Danielle DiMartino Booth - Website - https://quillintelligence.com/Twitter - https://twitter.com/DiMartinoBoothYouTube -  @DanielleDiMartinoBoothQI WTFinance -Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes -https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/anthony-fatseas-761066103/Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas

Simon Hunt, market analyst, discusses economic trends like the potential for an economic depression and catalysts for deflation in 2024. He also touches on the risk of global conflicts, debt-driven growth in China, and the importance of transitioning to real assets like gold and silver amidst a market crash.

Interview recorded - 19th of January, 2023Substack - https://rubino.substack.com/On this episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of welcoming back John Rubino. John was the Founder of dollarcollapse.com, author/co-author of 5 books and has a great Substack.During our conversation we spoke about whether good news is bad for the markets, Deja vu of back end of 2022, unwinding of 40 years of economic exuberance, mass bankruptcies, whether the FED has pivoted and if US government obligations can be repaid. I hope you enjoy!0:00 - Introduction1:11 - What is John seeing in economy & markets in 2024?6:12 - Is bad news good news for the markets?9:34 - Deja vu, similar to end of 2022?12:32 - Unwinding of 40yrs of Exuberance? 15:24 - Mass Bankruptcies19:37 - What drove inflation the past few years?22:39 - Has the FED pivoted?26:24 - Trump hostile to FED28:59 - Large deficits for foreseeable future31:14 - Can the obligations been paid for?38:59 - One message to takeaway from our conversation?John Rubino is a former Wall Street financial analyst and author or co-author of five books, including The Money Bubble: What To Do Before It Pops and Clean Money: Picking Winners in the Green-Tech Boom. He founded the popular financial website DollarCollapse.com in 2004 and sold it in 2022.John's newsletter provides actionable advice, based on a couple of premises:- The financial world is spinning out of control and will get considerably worse before it gets better.- There are things we can do to improve our odds of surviving and thriving as the chaos unfolds.John Rubino - Substack - https://rubino.substack.com/LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/john-rubino-a952146/WTFinance - Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes -https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/anthony-fatseas-761066103/Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas

Gerald Celente, Founder/Director of the Trends Research Institute and Publisher of the Trends Journal, discusses trends in 2024, the potential for World War III, Synthetic Devolution, which assets to perform during this period, and the importance of a peaceful fight for freedom and doing our best for humanity.

Interview recorded - 10th of January 2024On this episode of the WTFinance podcast I have the pleasure of welcoming back David Hunter for a 4th time. David is a contrarian macro strategist with 49 years of experience on Wall Street. During this conversation we spoke about David's thoughts in 2024, why we will see the largest stock market rally in history, what this means for inflation, what causes the stock market rally, whether the FED can save the market and more. I hope you enjoy!0:00 - Introduction0:56 - What Will Happen in 2024?2:13 - Biggest rally in history9:03 - Broad market rally?9:28 - Inflation impact on markets?10:48 - Institutional Investors to drive market14:13 - S&P500 breaking all-time highs?15:48 - Stocks Up, Dollar Down & Energy Down?18:38 - Which industries in cyclicals to perform?22:08 - Catalyst for the peak then crash?31:13 - Would Powell increase interest rates?32:48 - Underlying economic issues35:48 - Japan precursor for globe38:18 - How do equities perform during high inflation?41:08 - Will FED be unable to save market?46:28 - One message to takeaway from our podcast?Investment professional with 25 years of investment management experience and 20 years as a sell-side strategist with strong expertise in macroeconomic analysis and portfolio management. My strong macro capabilities combined with a contrarian philosophy have allowed me to forecast economic cycles and spot market trends well ahead of the consensus. Intellectually honest, independent thinker comfortable with charting a course apart from the crowd. Accomplished stock picker and value-oriented portfolio manager.David Hunter - Twitter - https://twitter.com/DaveHcontrarianLinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/david-hunter-668ba015/WTFinance -Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes -https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/anthony-fatseas-761066103/Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas

Interview recorded - 5th of January, 2024On this episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of welcoming back Henrick Zeberg for the first interview of the year! Henrik is a Macro Economist, the Founder and Publisher of the Zeberg Report. During our conversation we spoke about Henrik's Outlook for 2024, why stock market will continue to rip until April this year, the impending recession similar to 2008, what assets will benefit during recession and stagflation afterwards and more. I hope you enjoy!0:00 - Introduction3:28 - Henrik's Outlook for 2024?5:13 - The Business Cycle8:50 - Disconnect between Economic Indicators?12:48 - Henrik’s 2024 Timeline15:11 - Supply Chain Shock?18:43 - US Fiscal Capacity?22:58 - Risk-On Assets25:28 - What would influence Henrik to shift from bullish to bearish?26:43 - Repeat of 200831:03 - Back to easy money after recession?32:18 - Positions after top?35:53 - One message to takeaway from conversation?Henrik Zeberg is a Macroeconomist (M.Sc. Econ) from the University of Copenhagen. He is a Business Cycles student, Elliott Wave practitioner, and Chartist. You can find out more about his newsletter on his Website.Henrik Zeberg - Newsletter - https://www.thezebergreport.com/Twitter - https://twitter.com/HenrikZebergWTFinance -Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/wtfinancee/Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas

Interview recorded -  19th of December, 2023This week I had the pleasure of welcoming back David Hay - Co-Chief Investment Officer of Evergreen Gavekal.During our conversation we talked about the David's current thoughts on markets, whether we are in a new bull market or bear rally, assets David is currently watching and more. I hope you enjoy!0:00 - Introduction0:45 - Current thoughts on markets3:05 - Preventing Trump returning to power?6:20 - FED providing maximum optionality?9:20 - Consensus skewed to bullish side11:10 - Do we understand the impact QT has on markets?14:05 - Long End of Bond Market to help FED?15:15 - New bull market or bear rally? 19:20 - Opportunities in small caps?24:47 - Case for Strong US Economy?27:00 - What attracted David to Emerging Markets Debt?29:20 - What else is David watching?33:05 -  Industries that are out of love36:37 - One message to takeaway from our conversation?David Hay acquired the majority interest in Evergreen Gavekal (at the time, Evergreen Capital Management) in 2002. He continues to serve his long-time clients and acts as Co-Chief Investment Officer with special emphasis in macro-economic research.  David has been employed in the securities industry since 1979 when he joined Dean Witter Reynolds, now Morgan Stanley. He rose to the position of Senior Vice President in 1983. In 1985 he was the youngest member to be elected to Dean Witter’s elite Chairman’s Council. David and his team joined Smith Barney in 1990 and were instrumental in establishing the Portfolio Advisory Program. Fulfilling the positions of Senior Vice President, Senior Portfolio Manager and Director, David also served on the Smith Barney Directors Advisory Group, gaining valuable experience in merger integration and client service enhancement.  In 2022, David released his highly anticipated book, Bubble 3.0:  Who blew it and how to protect yourself when it blows apart. The book explores why he believes the financial markets are headed toward a third iteration of past market rotations. Accordingly, he believes there are a number of investment areas/asset classes poised to benefit from what he has begun referring to as “The New World Disorder”.  David currently spends the winter months in Indian Wells, Ca., with his wife, Mindy, and two dogs, Nova and Roscoe.  In early June, they will be moving into their new home in Liberty Lake, Wash.David Hay Interviews - Haymaker as Host interview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EnDy6SGoG00MicroNuclear explanatory video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fb2Op0mWlUwDavid Hay - Twitter - https://twitter.com/Haymaker_0Website - https://evergreengavekal.com/Substack - https://haymaker.substack.com/WTFinance -Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/wtfinancee/Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas

Interview recorded - 15th of December, 2023On this episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of welcoming back Grant Williams for a third time!.During our conversation we spoke about what Grant is seeing in markets, whether the FED are hedging their bets, have they vanquished inflation, what is happening with gold, the everything bubble, politics and more. Hope you enjoy!0:00 - Introduction0:23 - Grants opinion on Macro?2:32 - FED Hedging bets?4:35 - Strong conviction until you don’t5:42 - Investors shaped by good times 7:50 - FED reaction time has reduced8:40 - risk they could lose more credibility?12:20 - Became well know after going off Gold Standard14:55 - Inflation16:50 - Similarities to Greenspan cutting in 1990’s?19:20 - What is Grant seeing with Gold?23:19 - Investors diversifying with gold?24:30 - risk of consensus?26:55 - How does Grant look at risk?31:04 - All assets are going up32:10 - Trump vs Biden in 2024?36:26 - More controversary & polarisation around the world38:25 - Inflation amplifying issues since 2008 41:50 - Social unrest in the 70’s?42:30 - How will wealth be diverted?45:50 - Taxing unrealised gains48:41 - One message to takeaway from our conversation?Grant Williams, much to his dismay, has logged over 35 years in finance. During that time, he’s lived and worked in seven major financial centres from London to Sydney, building the kind of network that many others can only dream about.He began his career in the Japanese equity market in the mid-1980s, before a three-year posting to Tokyo ensured he had a ringside seat as the twin bubbles in equities and real estate burst simultaneously and spectacularly at the end of 1989. After a short stint back in London, Grant relocated once again, this time to New York, where he spent 7 years. Subsequent postings have taken him to Hong Kong, Sydney, Singapore, and the Cayman Islands.Currently, he is a senior advisor to Matterhorn Asset Management AG https://goldswitzerland.com/ in Switzerland, and a portfolio and strategy advisor to Vulpes Investment Management https://www.vulpesinvest.com/ in Singapore.Back in 2014, Grant’s ambition to bring the most intelligent, engaging, and original people in finance to a wider audience led him to co-found Real Vision https://www.realvision.com/, an on-demand internet-based financial media platform.Grant’s twin Real Vision interview series, 'In Conversation With…' and 'On The Road' raised the bar for financial content – engaging and educating viewers in equal measure and helping them learn the secrets behind a group of extraordinary investors’ success.Long before Real Vision, however, Grant was guiding people around the fringes of finance with his regular newsletter, Things That Make You Go Hmmm… https://www.grant-williams.com/ttmygh_newsletters/, a publication which, from humble beginnings as a daily note to a few friends and colleagues, has grown into one of the most widely-read financial publications in the world.Grant Williams - Website - https://www.grant-williams.com/Twitter - https://twitter.com/ttmyghWTFinance -Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/wtfinancee/Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfnTikTok - https://vm.tiktok.com/ZMeUjj9xV/iTunes - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4Linkedin - https://www.linkedin.com/in/anthony-fatseas-761066103/Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas

George Robertson, a veteran of the Fixed Income industry, challenges the existence and influence of the Federal Reserve. He discusses the impact of the 2008 financial crisis on the Fed, the shift in their approach to monetary policy, and potential consequences of leveraged assets. The podcast also analyzes recent market exuberance, explores market crises, and emphasizes the importance of open debate and discourse in the economy.