WTFinance

Interview recorded - 11th of September 2023On this episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of welcoming back  @stevenvanmetre5087 - Money Manager & YouTuber. During our conversation we spoke about whether US banks are insolvent, whether the FED can save the markets, if this crash will be worse than 2008, what we will see internationally and assets that will perform well during a recession. I hope you enjoy!0:00 - Introduction3:37 - Are US banks insolvent?7:37 - Can the FED bailout banks?11:24 - Treasury issuing bonds14:12 - Reverse repo to help increase liquidity?16:12 - FED to save the markets?17:57 - Will inflation be higher for longer?23:41 - Will this crash be worse than 2008?27:05 - Will it be the end of our current debt cycle?29:46 - The price to pay for borrowing31:29 - Dollar strength during this period?33:26 - What are we seeing internationally?36:37 - Changing measurements of GDP measurement38:42 - Assets that will perform well during this recession?40:36 - One message to takeaway from our conversation?Steven Van Metre, Certified Financial Planner™ Professional, (CA Insurance License #0D45202 & Investment Advisory Representative with Atlas Financial Advisors, Inc., a Registered Investment Advisory firm.) is the inventor and manager of Portfolio Shield™, the creator of Momentum Timer Pro™, and the President of Steven Van Metre Financial.Steven Van Metre - YouTube -  @stevenvanmetre5087  Portfolio Shield - https://stevenvanmetre.com/portfolio-shield/Website - https://stevenvanmetre.com/Twitter - https://twitter.com/MetreStevenWTFinance -Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/wtfinancee/Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas

Interview recorded - 8th of September, 2023On this episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of speaking with Randy Woodward, Managing Director in the Fixed Income Capital Markets division at Raymond James Financial.During our conversation we spoke about what is happening in the markets, why the bank collapses occurred, how the FED changed forever under Bernanke, whether inflation will remain higher for longer and potential for a commercial real estate crisis. I hope you enjoy!0:00 - Introduction3:04 - What is Randy watching in markets/economy?6:20 - Inverted yield curve?8:50 - How are banks fairing with unrealised losses?16.30 - Central banks can do anything?19:15 - Saving the financial system at all costs23:50 - Banks missing out on higher revenues30:00 - Will inflation be transitory or higher for longer?35:30 - Global countries going to cut faster than US37:48 - What is currently happening in commercial real estate?46:40 - Companies defaulting on real estate48:55 - Could Commercial Real Estate be another 2008 crisis?52:20 - Ben Bernanke changed the markets54:42 - One message to takeaway from our conversation?Randy Woodward is a Managing Director in the Fixed Income Capital Markets division at Raymond James Financial. Randy has unique experience and depth of knowledge in the fixed income industry.Randy began his career at Bloomberg from 1988 to 1995, working in a range of areas including training, editorial, programming, and sales. Randy became a fixed income broker in 1995, and has developed a proven track record of helping institutional clients manage safe and sound bond portfolios. Given his unique skill set, Randy provides his clients an advanced service that no other broker can offer. Whether they have access to a Bloomberg or rely on brokers for screen shots, it’s imperative they understand in detail the screens that are provided to them, and more importantly, they need to understand what can be manipulated, altered, or omitted.Randy’s primary objective as a broker is to not only “protect” his clients, but also to educate them on how to better protect themselves, as well as making better investment decisions and executions.Randy Woodward: Twitter - https://twitter.com/TheBondFreakWTFinance -Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/wtfinancee/Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas

Interview recorded - 31st of August, 2023On this episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of welcoming back Bob Elliott - CEO & CIO of Unlimited Funds.During our conversation we spoke about what Bob is currently seeing in the markets, whether this could lead to a 50% decrease in stock markets, whether this would also happen globally and more. 0:00 - Introduction1:09 - What is Bob currently seeing in the markets?3:04 - What are the cracks Bob is seeing?7:37 - Shortage in long end bonds?9:34 - What type of recession could we see?12:28 - Hard to stop a recession13:39 - What would happen with increasing unemployment?16:41 - Could the stock market drop 50%?18:14 - How far could markets drop?24:25 - Deflation and pivot or inflation and higher for longer?30:34 - Collapse or slow tightening?33:29 - What is happening globally?38:04 - Anything positive in the markets?40:45 - One message to takeaway?Bob Elliott is the Co-Founder, CEO & CIO of Unlimited, which uses machine learning to create index replication ETFs of 2&20 style alternative investments like hedge funds, venture capital & private equity. Prior to founding Unlimited, Bob was a Senior Investment Executive at Bridgewater Associates where he served on the Investment Committee (G7) and created investment strategies across equities, fixed income, credit, exchange rates, and commodities, including many used in the flagship Pure Alpha Fund. He also built and led Ray Dalio’s personal investment research team for almost a decade. He’s the author of hundreds of Bridgewater’s widely read Daily Observations and directly counselled some of the world’s foremost policy makers and institutional investor on economic and investing issues. Bob has also served as an advisor and executive at several startups including CircleUp, an investment company focused on early-stage consumer brands. There he revamped the investment strategy for the company’s $150mln venture funds leveraging big data approaches to improve decision making. He was also the co-founder of GiveWell, a startup charity evaluator which now directs more than $500mln in annual contributions. Bob holds a BA in History and Science from Harvard. Bob Elliott - Website - https://www.unlimitedfunds.com/Twitter - https://twitter.com/bobeunlimited?s=21&t=bEWfVJjh6KcziPA0zpyEPALinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/ttoillebobWTFinance -Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/wtfinancee/Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas

Interview recorded - 31st of August, 2023On this episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of welcoming back Dr Anas Alhajji - a world-renowned energy markets expert, researcher, author, and a speaker.During our conversation we spoke about the current state of the energy market, how China has a lot of control, whether oil could push $100, if the US can save Europe from an energy crisis again and more!0:00 - Introduction1:40 - Overview of energy markets?9:30 - US benefited from European energy reliance11:20 - China will have control over energy prices15:35 - The China issue17:10 - Saudi Floor price and China ceiling price25:42 - Can China push Oil price lower?27:04 - Price target for oil 2023?28:20 - Gabon impact on oil markets32:45 - Could further instability have an impact on oil markets?34:16 - Natural resource economics46:39 - Will Europe be ok this winter?49:52 - Other energy costs increase?54:59 - One message to takeaway from our conversation?Dr. Anas F. Alhajji is a world-renowned energy markets expert, researcher, author, and a speaker with more than 900 papers, articles and columns to his credit. He advises governments, companies, financial institution and investors on various energy markets issues. He focuses on oil and gas market outlook, energy geopolitics, energy security, and the impact of disruptive technologies on the supply and demand of energy.Before his recent role as a Managing Partner at Energy Outlook Advisors LLC, he was the former Chief Economist of NGP Energy Capital Management. He led the Firm’s macro-analysis of the oil, natural gas and related markets as well as the overall economic environment. He was responsible for the short-term and long term outlooks for oil, natural gas, NGLs, and LNG markets.Dr. Alhajji’s articles appeared in numerous countries in more than 10 languages, and his work is cited in over 60 books. He has addressed numerous companies, institutions, and national and international organizations. He also serves on the board of several energy-related publications. He is a contributing editor for the one of the industry’s premier publications: World Oil. He is also the moderator of the industry’s oldest virtual Forum: Oil, Gas, & Energy Law (OGEL)Prior to joining NGP, Dr. Alhajji taught economics at the University of Oklahoma (1995 to 1997), the Colorado School of Mines (1997 to 2001), and Ohio Northern University (2001 to 2008), where he held the George Patton Chair of Business and Economics. Dr. Alhajji taught courses in economics, energy economics and policy, and energy geopolitics.Dr. Alhajji was educated in Syria, Saudi Arabia, and the United States. He holds M.A. in Economics, and a Ph.D. in Economics from the University of Oklahoma, with a specialization in energy economics and policy. He received many awards including the Teaching Excellence Award and the Outstanding Mentor Award in addition to many prizes in woodworking.Dr Anas Alhajji - Website - https://www.anasalhajji.com/Twitter - https://twitter.com/anasalhajjiLinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/anas-alhajji/Substack - https://afalhajji.substack.com/Attaqa - https://attaqa.net/WTFinance -Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/wtfinancee/Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas

Interview recorded - 31st of August 2023On this episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of speaking with David Rosenberg - Founder & President of Rosenberg Research & associates.During our conversation we spoke about why we have seen strong markets throughout 2023, similarities between 2008 and today, whether we could see a deep recession and what this means for assets moving forward. I hope you enjoy!0:00 - Introduction1:32 - Why have we seen strong markets in 2023?4:27 - Have you been surprised about consumer strength?9:39 - Similarities between today and 2008?16:47 - All linked to employment22:42 - Unemployment back to the mean?23:57 - Will it be a deep recession?35:52 - Jay Powell late to the cutting party?42:17 - How will assets react to a recession?49:55 - One message to take away from our conversation?David Rosenberg is the Founder and President of Rosenberg Research & Associates Inc., an economic consulting firm he established in January 2020. He and his team have as their top priority providing investors with analysis and insights to help them make well-informed investment decisions.Prior to Rosenberg Research, David was Chief Economist & Strategist at Gluskin Sheff + Associates Inc. from 2009 to 2019. From 2002 to 2009, he was Chief North American Economist at Merrill Lynch in New York, during which he was consistently ranked in the Institutional Investor All-Star analyst rankings. Prior thereto, he was Chief Economist and Strategist for Merrill Lynch Canada, based out of Toronto, where he and his team placed first in the Brendan Wood survey of Canadian economists for ten years in a row.Mr. Rosenberg is a frequent contributor to most major financial newspapers and publications in North America and makes regular TV appearances in the financial media. He received both a Bachelor of Arts and Masters of Arts degree in Economics from the University of Toronto.David Rosenberg - Website - https://www.rosenbergresearch.com/Twitter - https://twitter.com/EconguyRosieLinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/david-rosenberg-40800219b/WTFinance -Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/wtfinancee/Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas

Interview Recorded - 29th of August, 2023On this episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of speaking with Andy Constan, CEO & CIO of Damped Spring Advisor.During our conversation we spoke about Andy's thoughts on Jackson Hole, while higher interest rates will drive down both stocks and bonds, what this means for unemployment, what would change Andy's opinion and whether this could lead to further issues with banks. I hope you enjoy!0:00 - Introduction1:43 - Overview of Andy’s thoughts and Jackson Hole8:35 - How is there a shortage of government debt?11:03 - Duration moving during uncertainty12:42 - Treasury raising funds14:09 - Reverse Repo continue to pick up slack moving forward?18:50 - Will employment slowly change or require a catalyst?20:40 - Could student payment re-introduction impact inflation?21:30 - Do individuals have to lose their job?23:04 - What would have to change to change Andy’s perspective?25:14 - Parallels to 2008?27:25 - What will happen internationally?28:49 - Dollar to continue to strengthen?30:06 - Further issues in banks ?32:28 - One message to takeaway from our conversation?Andy has spent the past 35 years investing and trading global markets. Over the last 12 years, he has developed strong expertise in Macro investing working at Bridgewater Associates as an Idea Generator and most recently at Brevan Howard as Chief Strategist. Andy spent the first part of his career at Salomon Brothers and its successor companies. After 17 years at Salomon and as the Head of Global Equity Derivatives, Andy left and started two relative value hedge funds specializing in Multi-Asset Volatility Arbitrage and Capital Structure Arbitrage. Throughout his career, Andy has developed a keen cutting edge understanding of systematic quantitative research and investment while also deeply appreciating the importance of the insights that arise from discretionary investing strategies.Andy Constan - Twitter - https://twitter.com/dampedspringLinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/andyconstan/Website - https://dampedspring.com/WTFinance -Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes -https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4Linkedin - https://www.linkedin.com/in/anthony-fatseas-761066103/Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas

Interview recorded - 24th of August, 2023On this episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of speaking with  @CyrusJanssen - An International Speaker, Business Consultant, Content Creator and China Insider.During our conversation we spoke about the history of US/China relations, what was the catalyst for deterioration, the impact of COVID-19 China isolation, where the conflict would go on the current trajectory and what needs to change to improve relations. I hope you enjoy!0:00 - Introduction2:28 - History of US/China relationship7:38 - Conflict with intellectual property in 2010’s and why conflict escalated?10:19 - World trade organisation has no control11:35 - Product IP theft an issue?12:45 - When did the relationship start to deteriorate? 18:11 - Further hawkishness in both countries?20:45 - Isolation between both countries24:11 - Hong Kong suffered from expats leaving25:03 - On current trajectory, where does US/China conflict go? 28:44 - China also decoupling?35:01 - Can China shift to a consumption economy?39:33 - What need to change to create perfect US/China relations?47:33 - One message to takeaway from our conversation?Cyrus Janssen is a geopolitical analyst, investor, speaker, and social media influencer with over 1 million fans across his social media platforms. Born in the United States, Cyrus lived abroad for 15 years in China and Canada and enjoys sharing cultural and geopolitical insights from his travels to over 60+ countries. Based in Las Vegas, Nevada, Cyrus is the CEO of FastForward Marketing, a social media and consulting company helping brands in North America and Asia connect and build profitable social media campaigns.Cyrus Janssen - YouTube -  @CyrusJanssen  Website - https://www.cyrusjanssen.com/Twitter - https://twitter.com/thecyrusjanssenWTFinance -Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/anthony-fatseas-761066103/Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas

Interview recorded - 23rd of August, 2023On this episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of speaking with  @gcelente - the Founder/Director of the Trends Research Institute and Publisher of the Trends Journal.During our conversation we spoke about whether a recession can be avoided, why th0:00 - Introduction1:32 - Have the FED avoided the recession?7:57 - What has caused this situation?11:40 - Equities and Gold going up 15:36 - What is the catalyst?17:04 - Market volatility to permeate throughout economy?26:22 - Key trends throughout 2023 and 2024?29:02 - Is there a way to avoid global crisis?31:26 - High risk of China/Taiwan conflict?33:11 - Are parts of the world that will thrive in the future?35:11 - Message to takeaway from our conversation?Gerald Celente is the Founder/Director of the Trends Research Institute and Publisher of the weekly Trends Journal magazine. He is the author of the highly acclaimed and best-selling books “Trend Tracking” and “Trends 2000” (Warner Books). With a 43-year track record of identifying, tracking, and forecasting trends, Celente is world-renowned as today’s #1 Trend Forecaster. Celente has earned the reputation as a trusted name in trends for his many accurate forecasts; among them, the 1987 Stock Market crash, Dot com bust, “Gold Bull Run,” “Panic of ‘08,” the rise of organic foods, and the popularity of gourmet coffee long before Starbucks was a household name. Celente, who developed the Globalnomic methodology to identify, track, forecast, and manage trends, is a political atheist. Unencumbered by political dogma, rigid ideology, or conventional wisdom, Celente, whose motto is “Think for Yourself,” observes and analyzes current events forming future trends for what they are – not for how he wants them to be. A true American Patriot, Celente owns three pre-Revolutionary stone buildings on the most historic corner in America, where the seeds of Democracy were sown, Colonial Kingston, New York’s first Capitol. Self-described as a “Warrior for the Prince of Peace,” Gerald Celente is also the Founder “Occupy Peace & Freedom,” a not-for-profit movement to honor the Constitution and Bill of Rights and restore Freedoms.Gerald Celente - Journal - https://trendsjournal.com/YouTube -  @gcelente  Twitter - https://twitter.com/geraldcelenteWTFinance -Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes -https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/anthony-fatseas-761066103/Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas

Interview recorded - 23rd of August, 2023On todays episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of speaking with Simon Hunt.During our conversation we talked about whether the FED have saved the economy, what a global collapse could look like, why this could lead to higher inflation for longer, the potential for market instability, a commodity super cycle and more!0:00 - Introduction1:00 - Have the FED saved the economy?9:45 - Higher inflation and a recession?10:50 - What type of global collapse?12:02 - What will happen in China?14:48 - Will Europe be the worst effected?17:43 - The risk of Germany, Russia and China?20:00 - Minor recession followed by severe recession?21:10 - What happens to the markets?21:50 - What happens after the instability?24:30 - Commodity super cycle?27:40 - BRICS precious metal commodity?28:50 - Is it possible for these countries to de-dollarize?31:28 - Can the current economy survive with a gold-backed currency?32:48 - Assets to protect wealth during this period?33:50 - One message to takeaway from our conversation?Simon Hunt began his career in 1956 in Central Africa as a PA to the Chairman of Rhodesian Selection Trust, one of the two large copper companies in what was then Northern Rhodesia, now Zambia.In 1961 he came back to London and joined Anglo American Corporation of South Africa as a PA to one of the Board Directors, followed by being part of a small sales and marketing team for copper. From there, he helped start up a new copper development organisation, CIDEC, financed by copper producers, which he then joined, focusing on conducting end-use studies of copper in Europe.He then went into the City to gain financial experience and founded Brook Hunt in 1975. He was instrumental in setting up the company’s cost studies and end-use analyses. He appeared as material witness and consultant in two ITC anti-dumping cases in 1978 and 1984, winning both at the commission level.He has spent 2-4 months every year in China since 1993 and until a few years ago would be visiting some 80 wire and cable and brass mill factories across the country every year. He now restricts these factory visits to a smaller number, all of which he has known for many years. He also spends many weeks each year traveling around Asia.The focus of the company’s services is on the global economy, including the changing geopolitical and financial structures, China’s economy and its copper sector, and then the global copper industry as each part is interconnected.Simon is the author of the “Frontline China Report Service,” which is marketed by the TIS Group. The Service provides regular reports on China’s economy, politics, and financial outlook.Simon established this company in January 1996.Simon Hunt -Website - https://www.simon-hunt.com/Email - simon@shss.comWTFinance -Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes -https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/anthony-fatseas-761066103/Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas

Interview recorded - 17th of August, 2023On this episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of welcoming back Ted Oakley - Managing Partner and Founder of Oxbow Advisors.During our conversation we spoke about what Ted is currently seeing, whether the market has peaked, how higher interest rates has struggled and what sectors Ted is looking to rotate into. I hope you enjoy!0:00 - Introduction1:19 - What is Ted seeing in the economy?4:14 - A lot has changed over the past 2 years5:44 - Markets peaked?6:58 - What is Ted’s thoughts on inflation?9:23 - Will there be a depression moving forward?10:44 - Higher interest rates to cause bankruptcies?11:49 - Could the FED cut rates at record levels?13:39 - How has Ted’s portfolio changed over the past few months?16:34 - How can you be patient during turbulent times?19:32 - How big could the reversal be?22:44 - What sectors has Ted rotated into?24:44 - Sectors that are unloved?26:19 - What is Ted seeing among the property market?30:34 - One message to takeaway from our conversation?Ted Oakley is Managing Partner and Founder of Oxbow Advisors.  With more than forty years of experience in advising high net worth clients in the investment industry, Oakley implements the firm’s proprietary investment strategies and the “Oxbow Principles” to provide a unique investment perspective.  He is a frequent guest on FOX Business News, Bloomberg Radio, KITCO News, Cheddar TV, Yahoo Finance, and many more.Mr. Oakley is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) and a Certified Financial Planner (CFP).  He is a member of the Austin Society of Financial Analysts.  He is also a Partner of Herndon Plant Oakley Ltd., an investment company. He is a Board Member of Texas State Aquarium, American Bank, and American Bank Holding Company. Mr. Oakley is a United States Army Veteran.Mr. Oakley began his career in Dallas, Texas, over 35 years ago. He is the author of nine books: You Sold Your Company, $20 Million and Broke, Rich Kids Broke Kids – The Failure of Traditional Estate Planning, Crazy Time – Surviving the First 12 Months after Selling Your Company, Wall Street Lies, Danger Time, My Story, The Psychology of Staying Rich, and Your Money Mentality.Mr. Oakley’s primary philanthropic interest is helping children. He is Chairman Emeritus and Founder of the Foster Angels of South Texas, the largest foster child foundation in South Texas, as well as Chairman Emeritus and Founder of Austin, Texas-based Foster Angels of Central Texas.  Also, President and Founder of Advocates for Foster Children Foundation.Ted Oakley - Website - https://oxbowadvisors.com/Twitter - https://twitter.com/Oxbow_AdvisorsLinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/ted-oakley-08444a32/YouTube -  @OxbowAdvisors  WTFinance - Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes -https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/anthony-fatseas-761066103/Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas