WTFinance

Matthew Piepenburg, Partner of Von Greyerz AG, discusses the economic disparity between stock market success and the recessionary state of the real economy. They explore the reliance on debt, speculator profits, lack of alternative to the US Dollar, financial repression, and addressing the wealth gap. The conversation highlights historical financial crises, de-dollarization impact, Wall Street tricks, inflation concerns, and the necessity of critical economic analysis.

Interview recorded - 26th of March, 2024On this episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of speaking with Michael Howell. Michael is the CEO of CrossBorder Capital. During our conversation we spoke about Michael's outlook for liquidity, global central bank outlook, why interest rates are not always important, positive outlook for markets in the long term, deficit challenges, assets to perform and more. I hope you enjoy!0:00 - Introduction1:30 - What is Michael’s outlook on liquidity?4:25 - What is the difference between taxes this year?8:55 - Global central bank outlook13:35 - Tax income lower than expected?20:00 - Why is Japanese Yen still weak?24:51 - Global Liquidity Slides - why is interest rate not important?34:28 - Positive outlook for markets?36:16 - Chinese liquidity scenario43:08 - Does China have to devalue?46:03 - Deficit challenges globally47:23 - Assets to perform in current liquidity situation49:48 - One message to takeaway from our conversation?Michael Howell is CEO of CrossBorder Capital, a London-based FCA registered, independent research and investment company that he founded in 1996. Previously he was Head of Research for Baring Securities and Research Director of Salomon Brothers Inc, the US investment bank. The liquidity methodology he pioneered monitors cross-border flows and Central Bank behaviour across some 80 countries world-wide. Liquidity flows are a central part of CrossBorder Capital's asset allocation advice, which is currently provided to major global investors, including institutional asset managers, government agencies, Central Banks and endowment funds. Michael has been in financial markets since 1981 and is a regular conference speaker and media commentator. He graduated from Bristol and London Universities with a finance doctorate, specialising in Fixed Income.Michael Howell -Website - https://crossbordercapital.com/Twitter - https://twitter.com/crossbordercapLinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/michael-howell-357b1416/?originalSubdomain=ukWTFinance -Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/wtfinancee/Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas

Interview recorded - 19th of March, 2024On this episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of welcoming back Rick Rule. Rick is the Former President & CEO of Sprott U.S. Holdings with decades of experience in the commodities business.During our conversation we spoke about the weaponization of the US dollar, Central Banks buying gold, gold price bonanza, whether gold could go to $8000, which commodities benefit and more!0:00 - Introduction1:12 - Outlook on commodity markets?4:08 - Will India and other markets grow as fast as China?6:29 - Which commodities benefit?9:35 - LNG glut coming online in coming years?12:16 - More energy required13:26 - Nuclear to be the best performing clean energy investment?17:23 - What impact does demand have on Uranium?19:55 - Is nuclear the future of energy?21:10 - What is happening in precious metals?24:20 - Evidence of central banks buying gold?26:17 - When will gold price go up?28:42 - Why have Gold Miners not appreciated?32:43 - How is Rick’s positioned?34:15 - One message to takeaway from our conversation?Rick began his career 47 years ago in 1974 in the securities business and has been involved in it ever since. He is known for his expertise in many resource sectors, including agriculture, alternative energy, forestry, oil and gas, mining, and water. In 1990, Rick founded the business now known as Sprott US Holdings” merging in into Sprott Inc. ( SII) in 2011. He retired from Sprott Inc., in 2021, and resigned from the board of directors in 2023, but remains Sprott’s largest shareholder. IMr. Rule is a sought-after speaker at industry conferences, and a frequent contributor to numerous media outlets including CNBC, Fox Business News and BNN. Mr. Rule is actively engaged in private placement markets, through originating and participating in hundreds of debt and equity transactions.Rick Rule - Twitter - https://twitter.com/RealRickRuleLinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/rick-rule-1058921a/Website - https://ruleinvestmentmedia.com/Seminar - https://opptravel.zohobackstage.com/TheRuleSymposiumonNaturalResourceInvesting2024#/?affl=WTFinanceWTFinance -Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/wtfinancee/Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas

Interview recorded - 19th of March, 2024On this episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of welcoming back David Rosenberg. David is the Founder & President of Rosenberg Research & associates.During our conversation we spoke about why the recession is still on horizon despite market strength, whether we're in a new economy, whether the FED are taking the right action, unwinding of private credit markets, which assets to perform and more!0:00 - Introduction2:14 - Why have we not seen a recession yet?4:32 - Are we in a new economy since COVID?12:12 - Will recession impact markets?17:55 - Are higher interest rates stimulatory?25:22 - Recession is not about if, but about when27:32 - Atlanta FED GDP predictions quite accurate32:02 - What should the FED be doing?33:52 - FED cutting bullish scenario?35:37 - Unwinding of private credit markets?41:22 - Which assets to perform?48:07 - One message to takeaway from our conversation?David Rosenberg is the Founder and President of Rosenberg Research & Associates Inc., an economic consulting firm he established in January 2020. He and his team have as their top priority providing investors with analysis and insights to help them make well-informed investment decisions.Prior to Rosenberg Research, David was Chief Economist & Strategist at Gluskin Sheff + Associates Inc. from 2009 to 2019. From 2002 to 2009, he was Chief North American Economist at Merrill Lynch in New York, during which he was consistently ranked in the Institutional Investor All-Star analyst rankings. Prior thereto, he was Chief Economist and Strategist for Merrill Lynch Canada, based out of Toronto, where he and his team placed first in the Brendan Wood survey of Canadian economists for ten years in a row.Mr. Rosenberg is a frequent contributor to most major financial newspapers and publications in North America and makes regular TV appearances in the financial media. He received both a Bachelor of Arts and Masters of Arts degree in Economics from the University of Toronto.David Rosenberg - Website - https://www.rosenbergresearch.com/Twitter - https://twitter.com/EconguyRosieLinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/david-rosenberg-40800219b/WTFinance -Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/wtfinancee/Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas

Interview recorded - 12th of March, 2024On this episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure to welcome back Jim Bianco. Jim Bianco is President and Index Manager at Bianco Advisors. He is also the President of  @BiancoResearch .During our conversation we covered an array of topics, including Jim's outlook on the economy, what actions Powell is likely to take, why the economy is strong but people are struggling, what no interest cuts would have on the markets and how he has positioned himself. I hope you enjoy!0:00 - Introduction1:47 - Economy and markets in next 6/12 months4:00 - What would it take for Powell to cut?6:38 - What impact does liquidity have on the FED’s actions?9:20 - How does election provide Powell with less options?12:55 - What are the main drivers of US economic strength?18:38 - Economy is strong, but average person is struggling. Why?21:30 - Boomers continuing to spend25:05 - What trends will be driving continue economic strength?28:30 - Onshoring in the US30:13 - What impact would no change in interest rates have on stock market?35:55 - Powell hedging his bets?37:05 - What happens if Powell cuts?39:40 - Could 3% inflation and 5% interest rates be ok?42:08 - Fixed vs variable mortgages43:25 - How will you position yourself?47:00 - One message to takeaway from our conversation?Jim Bianco is President and Index Manager at Bianco Research Advisors. He is also the President of Bianco Research LLC. Since 1990, Jim’s commentaries have offered a unique perspective on the global economy and financial markets. Unencumbered by the biases of traditional Wall Street research, Jim has built a decades long reputation for objective, incisive commentary that challenges consensus thinking.Jim appears regularly on CNBC, Bloomberg, and Fox Business, and is often featured in the Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg News, Grants Interest Rate Observer, and MarketWatch. Jim has a Bachelor of Science degree in Finance from Marquette University (1984) and an MBA from Fordham University (1989).Jim Bianco: Research: https://www.biancoresearch.com/visitor-home/ETF: https://www.biancoadvisors.com/X: https://twitter.com/intent/follow?screen_name=biancoresearch&tw_p=followbuttonLinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/james-bianco-117619152/WTFinance -Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/wtfinancee/Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfnTikTok - https://vm.tiktok.com/ZMeUjj9xV/iTunes - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4Linkedin - https://www.linkedin.com/in/anthony-fatseas-761066103/Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas

Interview recorded - 27th of February, 2024Why could the bull market continue for a few more months? What could be the catalyst for institutions to start selling stocks? Outlook on Nvidia, Meta, US dollar and Uranium? We spoke about this and more with Chris Vermeulen. Chris is the Founder & Chief Market Strategist at The Technical Traders. 0:00 - Introduction1:48 - What is Chris currently seeing in the markets?7:29 - Double top in the near future?9:51 - What would make Chris bearish?13:18 - Bearish shift?14:44 - Nvidia & Meta?19:43 - What would it take for Chris to turn short?21:58 - Risk of 50% drawdowns on S&P?23:58 - US Dollar26:33 - Uranium28:08 - Catalyst for switching back to stock market after bottom?30:13 - Chris’ technical analysis approach34:08 - One message to takeaway from our conversation?Chris Vermeulen is a visionary investor who pioneered an industry-breaking method of investing called “Asset Revesting.” Chris introduced this innovative approach in his latest book, “Asset Revesting – How to Exclusively Hold Assets Rising in Value, Profit During Bear Markets, and Continue Building Wealth in Retirement.“Chris’s journey in the financial world began in 1997 at 16. Using his innate talent for trading and risk management, Chris earned enough money to pay for his final year of college, where he earned a business diploma in operations management. He then transitioned into a full-time entrepreneur and trader, achieving financial freedom in his 20s.His expertise in technical analysis led him to create systematic processes that uncover unique trading and investment opportunities. A persistent advocate for managing portfolio risk, Chris has little faith in the buy-and-hold strategy, which often entails holding onto depreciating assets.Chris’s innovative approach to asset allocation emphasizes efficiency, resulting in systems that manage portfolio positions, exhibit low drawdowns, and consistently outperform the markets. His short-term and long-term strategies are perfect for those seeking proven techniques to manage and protect capital.Chris is widely recognized as an exceptional technical trader, possessing profound insight and a keen understanding of market trends. He shares his wisdom in his book “Technical Trading Mastery, Second Edition – 7 Steps to Win with Logic,” further solidifying his reputation as a trailblazer in the financial industry.Chris Vermeulen - Website - https://thetechnicaltraders.com/Twitter - https://twitter.com/TheTechTradersYouTube -   @TheTechnicalTraders  WTFinance -Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/wtfinancee/Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas

Original Interview - 20th of February, 2024On this episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of speaking with Ted Oakley for a third time. Ted is the Founder and current Managing Director of  @OxbowAdvisors .During our conversation we spoke about Ted's thoughts on the market, why we could have reached a market top, what mistakes the FED have made, the divergence between main & wall street and more. I hope you enjoy!0:00 - Introduction0:47 - What is Ted seeing in the markets?1:48 - Negative news currently coming out?2:33 - Did the FED make a mistake in October?3:54 - What do market tops look like?5:34 - Hard to imagine more fiscal support6:17 - How should FED act?7:22 - Where does Ted see markets in 3-6 months?9:27 - Was 2022 a bear market?12:44 - Was the last year a bull market?12:54 - Main street struggling while Wall Street thriving14:27 - How has consumer kept head above the water?16:27 - Largest drivers continuing to grow, is this time different?19:07 - What would Ted see to change perspective on bull market?21:25 - What would Ted own?22:34 - Concern of oil saturation?24:03 - Where will economy be in 2025?26:01 - Does Ted take into account the election?28:27 - One message to take away from our conversation?Ted Oakley is Managing Partner and Founder of Oxbow Advisors.  With more than forty years of experience in advising high net worth clients in the investment industry, Oakley implements the firm’s proprietary investment strategies and the “Oxbow Principles” to provide a unique investment perspective.  He is a frequent guest on FOX Business News, Bloomberg Radio, KITCO News, Cheddar TV, Yahoo Finance, and many more.Mr. Oakley is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) and a Certified Financial Planner (CFP).  He is a member of the Austin Society of Financial Analysts.  He is also a Partner of Herndon Plant Oakley Ltd., an investment company. He is a Board Member of Texas State Aquarium, American Bank, and American Bank Holding Company. Mr. Oakley is a United States Army Veteran.Mr. Oakley began his career in Dallas, Texas, over 35 years ago. He is the author of nine books: You Sold Your Company, $20 Million and Broke, Rich Kids Broke Kids – The Failure of Traditional Estate Planning, Crazy Time – Surviving the First 12 Months after Selling Your Company, Wall Street Lies, Danger Time, My Story, The Psychology of Staying Rich, and Your Money Mentality.Mr. Oakley’s primary philanthropic interest is helping children. He is Chairman Emeritus and Founder of the Foster Angels of South Texas, the largest foster child foundation in South Texas, as well as Chairman Emeritus and Founder of Austin, Texas-based Foster Angels of Central Texas.  Also, President and Founder of Advocates for Foster Children Foundation.Ted Oakley - Website - https://oxbowadvisors.com/Twitter - https://twitter.com/Oxbow_AdvisorsLinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/ted-oakley-08444a32/YouTube -  @OxbowAdvisors  WTFinance - Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes -https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/anthony-fatseas-761066103/Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas

Interview recorded - 12th of February, 2024On this episode of the WTFinance I had the pleasure of speaking with Lyn Alden. Lyn is one of the foremost macro strategists, Founder of Lyn Alden Investment Strategy & author of the book “Broken Money: Why Our Financial System is Failing Us and How We Can Make it Better”.Buy the book here - https://www.amazon.co.uk/Broken-Money-Financial-System-Failing-ebook/dp/B0CGNVNXK2/During this conversation we spoke about what Lyn is currently seeing in the macro environment, the push and pull of fiscal & monetary policies, why stocks are at all-time highs, whether we could be moving into a crack-up boom scenario and more!0:00 - Introduction1:20 - What is Lyn seeing in Macro?4:55 - Push and Pull of Fiscal & Monetary policy8:00 - What prevented liquidity crunch last year?10:35 - What others tools do they have for liquidity?12:26 - Future liquidity scenarios?15:40 - Reducing interest rates while continuing QT?17:16 - Why is the stock market at all time highs?19:09 - What assets to perform?21:45 - Crack up boom?22:48 - Can US continue deficits?25:05 - Could the US move to austerity?28:10 - Deflation vs higher inflation29:50 - Why is our financial system failing us?33:50 - CBDC a risk?37:10 - What impact does higher energy costs have on blockchains?39:29 - Outlook for Crypto & Bitcoin in 2024?42:40 - One message to takeaway from our conversation?Lyn runs an investment research service for both retail and institutional investors at LynAlden.com. Her focus is on fundamental investing with a global macro overlay, with an emphasis on equities, currencies, commodities, and digital assets. Lyn has also worked for over a decade in the aviation industry in a range of roles, starting as an electronics engineer and moving into project and facility management, and engineering finance. Eventually she became the head engineer and head of technical procurement for the facility, before retiring in my 30s. Lyn has a bachelor's in electronics engineering and a master's in engineering management, with a focus on engineering economics and financial modelling. Lyn Alden - Website - https://www.lynalden.com/LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/lynalden/Twitter - https://twitter.com/lynaldencontact?lang=enWTFinance -Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/wtfinancee/Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas

Interview recorded - 5th of February, 2024On this episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of welcoming on Danielle DiMartino Booth. Danielle is the CEO & Chief Strategist for QI Research, a research and analytics firm.During our conversation we spoke about Danielle's thoughts on the markets, what the recent job losses mean for the economy, whether the economy is currently on its last legs, could commercial real estate be another credit event catalyst and what this means for the FED in 2024. I hope you enjoy!0:00 - Introduction1:30 - What is Danielle thoughts about the economy?3:55 - Already in a recession?4:45 - Where will interest rates go?6:00 - Is Powell making a mistake?7:00 - US going the way of China?8:40 - A job hasn’t been created until February 2023?12:20 - Will Powell make bigger cuts?14:10 - Is Powell looking at leading indicators?14:52 - Any unique data points?15:50 - Commercial Real Estate - a catalyst for another credit event?18:40 - What would Danielle do as Chairperson of the FED?20:43 - Cut interest rates while continuing QT?22:22 - Which assets could perform during 2024?25:00 - One message to takeaway from conversation?DiMartino Booth set out to launch a #ResearchRevolution, redefining how market intelligence is conceived and delivered to guide portfolio managers and promote financial literacy. To build QI, she brought together a core team of investing veterans to analyze the trends and provide critical analysis on what is driving the markets – both in the United States and globally.Since their inception in 2015, commentary and data from DiMartino Booth’s The Daily Feather and The Weekly Quill have appeared in other financial sources such as Bloomberg, CNBC, Fox Business, Institutional Investor, Yahoo Finance, The Wall Street Journal, MarketWatch, Seeking Alpha, TD Ameritrade, TheStreet.com, and more.A global thought leader in monetary policy, economics, and finance, DiMartino Booth founded QI Research in 2015.  She is the author of FED UP: An Insider’s Take on Why the Federal Reserve is Bad for America (Portfolio, Feb 2017), a business speaker, and a commentator frequently featured on CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox News, Fox Business News, BNN Bloomberg, Yahoo Finance and other major media outlets.Prior to QI Research, DiMartino Booth spent nine years at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. She served as Advisor to President Richard W. Fisher throughout the financial crisis until his retirement in March 2015. Her work at the Fed focused on financial stability and the efficacy of unconventional monetary policy.DiMartino Booth began her career in New York at Credit Suisse and Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette where she worked in the fixed-income, public equity, and private equity markets. DiMartino Booth earned her BBA as a College of Business Scholar at the University of Texas at San Antonio. She holds an MBA in Finance and International Business from the University of Texas at Austin and an MS in Journalism from Columbia University.Danielle DiMartino Booth - Website - https://quillintelligence.com/Twitter - https://twitter.com/DiMartinoBoothYouTube -  @DanielleDiMartinoBoothQI WTFinance -Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes -https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/anthony-fatseas-761066103/Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas

Simon Hunt, market analyst, discusses economic trends like the potential for an economic depression and catalysts for deflation in 2024. He also touches on the risk of global conflicts, debt-driven growth in China, and the importance of transitioning to real assets like gold and silver amidst a market crash.