Lead-Lag Live

Michael A. Gayed, CFA
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Sep 27, 2023 • 55min

Oil, Gas, and Nuclear Energy: Navigating the Current and Future Landscape with Anas Alhajji

Dr. Anas Alhajji discusses the potential for an oil super spike and the factors behind record oil and gas production. They delve into government subsidies, the role of the US, China, Europe, Canada, and Brazil, and the implications of the International Energy Agency's peak demand prediction. They also analyze the accuracy of global data, forecast an oil price spike, and explore nuclear energy's role in achieving climate goals.
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Sep 26, 2023 • 49min

Unveiling Financial Markets and Critiquing Monetary Policies with Rudy Havenstein

Ready to understand the intricacies of the financial markets, or curious to know how monetary policies can drive wealth disparity? Then buckle up, as we welcome Rudy Havenstein, a renowned satirist and financial expert, who challenges conventional wisdom on these topics and more. Together, we'll journey through the most significant economic events of the past century, examining their impact on both the wealthiest and the average citizen alike.Don't miss our candid discussion on current monetary policies like quantitative easing, the risks of debt monetization, and their potential effects on wealth inequality. Rudy delivers an engaging analysis that not only addresses the concerns of seasoned investors but also makes these complex issues accessible to the casual listener. We'll also shed light on the role of social media, the lack of accountability for policymakers, and the undercurrent of propaganda in the financial media.From Rudy's personal experience with censorship on Twitter to his insightful views on Bitcoin and fiat currency, this episode is a treasure trove of fresh perspectives. We wrap up by addressing the elephant in the room – the potential consequences of unchecked economic policies and the subtle ways they touch every aspect of our everyday lives. So whether you're an economics enthusiast or a curious mind, join us in this enlightening conversation that promises to leave you with more questions than answers.ANTICIPATE STOCK MARKET CRASHES, CORRECTIONS, AND BEAR MARKETS WITH AWARD WINNING RESEARCH. Sign up for The Lead-Lag Report at https://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive and get 30% off as a podcast listener.Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.Start your adventure with TableTalk Friday: A D&D Podcast at the link below or wherever you get your podcasts!Youtube: https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLgB6B-mAeWlPM9KzGJ2O4cU0-m5lO0lkr&si=W_-jLsiREjyAIgEsSpotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/75YJ921WGQqUtwxRT71UQB?si=4R6kaAYOTtO2V  Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It’s social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world’s first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today: Support the show
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Sep 26, 2023 • 50min

The Impact of Dollar Standard on Global Economy: Richard Duncan's Perspective

Get ready to have your mind blown by the intricate world of economics as we sit down with renowned economist Richard Duncan. We'll dive deep into the ripple effects of the 2003 Dollar Crisis and the 2008 financial crisis, where we'll be unpacking the role of the Federal Reserve and the concept of quantitative easing. This isn't just about the US economy; the interplay of these elements has had far-reaching impacts on a global scale. Ever wondered how the shift from capitalism to creditism has shaped the American economy? Richard takes us on a fascinating journey, revealing the ins and outs of this economic transformation. From its roots in the Reagan era to its potential future - a multi-trillion dollar investment in cutting-edge technology sectors - we'll probe the benefits and the risks that come with creditism. Richard will also shed light on the impact of the Chicks and Science Act, the rise of China and much more. Lastly, we tackle the dollar standard, a key player in the global economic scene. We'll scrutinize its influence on nations like Vietnam and Taiwan, and explore the strategic role the US has played post World War II. Richard proposes a joint venture model as a way to support promising American entrepreneurs and scientists, a move that promises both short-term profits and a significant boost to human well-being. Don't miss out on this insightful episode, packed with expert commentary and valuable wisdom.ANTICIPATE STOCK MARKET CRASHES, CORRECTIONS, AND BEAR MARKETS WITH AWARD WINNING RESEARCH. Sign up for The Lead-Lag Report at https://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive and get 30% off as a podcast listener.Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.Start your adventure with TableTalk Friday: A D&D Podcast at the link below or wherever you get your podcasts!Youtube: https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLgB6B-mAeWlPM9KzGJ2O4cU0-m5lO0lkr&si=W_-jLsiREjyAIgEsSpotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/75YJ921WGQqUtwxRT71UQB?si=4R6kaAYOTtO2V  Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It’s social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world’s first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today: Support the show
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Sep 25, 2023 • 52min

In-Depth Analysis of Activist Short Selling and ESG Criticisms with Carson Block

Ever wondered what lies beneath the mysterious world of activist short selling? This episode unravels that enigma as we sit down with the insightful Carson Block, founder of Muddy Waters Research. We take a thrilling dive into his intriguing journey, commencing from a self-storage business on the brink of failure in China, through to his international venture into activist short selling. Carson artfully delineates the subtle differences between traditional and activist short selling, using personal anecdotes from his early adventures with the potentially fraudulent Chinese company, Orient Paper.As the conversation progresses, we find ourselves navigating the intricate global ramifications of the COVID-19 pandemic. With keen analysis, we discuss the potential reshuffling of geopolitical alliances and shine a spotlight on Vietnam – a possible beneficiary of this realignment. Assessing the opportunities and hurdles in investing in their stock market is a fascinating exploration. The discourse then segues into a critical review of the real estate market and ESG investing, considering the impacts of US and ECB rate hikes on Vietnam's real estate market and the dubious aspects of 'green' technologies.Lastly, in this enlightening journey, we scrutinize the exploitation of government subsidies by renewable energy companies. We provide an in-depth look into risk management strategies for short selling and round off the discussion with a comical take on the absurdity of capital markets. So, join us for this enlightening conversation, where we offer a fresh perspective on the world of activist short selling, the post-COVID-19 global market landscape, and the contemporary status of ESG investing.ANTICIPATE STOCK MARKET CRASHES, CORRECTIONS, AND BEAR MARKETS WITH AWARD WINNING RESEARCH. Sign up for The Lead-Lag Report at https://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive and get 30% off as a podcast listener.Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult yoStart your adventure with TableTalk Friday: A D&D Podcast at the link below or wherever you get your podcasts!Youtube: https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLgB6B-mAeWlPM9KzGJ2O4cU0-m5lO0lkr&si=W_-jLsiREjyAIgEsSpotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/75YJ921WGQqUtwxRT71UQB?si=4R6kaAYOTtO2V  Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It’s social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world’s first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today: Support the show
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Sep 25, 2023 • 48min

Demystifying Wall Street Risk Modeling and the Role of Bitcoin with Tone Vays

Ever wondered how the fascinating world of Wall Street risk modeling works and its correlation to Bitcoin? Former Wall Street quantitative analyst, Tone Vays, joins us to unravel this intriguing aspect of finance, offering a window into the unpredictable market conditions and the complexity of risk models. Drawing from his rich career on Wall Street, Tone also brings to light his discovery of Bitcoin and the journey that led him to becoming a staunch advocate for this revolutionary cryptocurrency.Continuing on the path of financial enlightenment, we dive headlong into a captivating discussion on Bitcoin as both a private asset and a hedge. Tone juxtaposes Bitcoin with conventional assets like stocks, bonds, and gold, and argues why Bitcoin has remained an unmatched asset since its birth. Together, we delve into the concept of uncomfiscatability, the challenges in achieving self-custody of Bitcoin and the potential implications of ignorance about this digital currency. Furthermore, we examine how government policies could impact Bitcoin's future, a topic that has stirred much debate in the crypto space.But that's not all! We also scrutinize the possible correlations between gold, Bitcoin, and the stock market, reflecting on the 2008 gold crash and its subsequent effect on the global market. Drawing parallels between Bitcoin's behavior during the COVID-19 crisis and the stock market, we ponder over Bitcoin's potential to reach new peak prices in the upcoming year and how its four-year halving cycle influences market trends. Whether you're a seasoned trader or a curious onlooker, this episode is guaranteed to leave you buzzing with fresh insights and perspectives that will reshape your understanding of finance and Bitcoin.ANTICIPATE STOCK MARKET CRASHES, CORRECTIONS, AND BEAR MARKETS WITH AWARD WINNING RESEARCH. Sign up for The Lead-Lag Report at https://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive and get 30% off as a podcast listener.Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments inStart your adventure with TableTalk Friday: A D&D Podcast at the link below or wherever you get your podcasts!Youtube: https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLgB6B-mAeWlPM9KzGJ2O4cU0-m5lO0lkr&si=W_-jLsiREjyAIgEsSpotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/75YJ921WGQqUtwxRT71UQB?si=4R6kaAYOTtO2V  Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It’s social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world’s first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today: Support the show
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Sep 16, 2023 • 53min

Exploring the Mechanisms of the Federal Reserve with Daniel DiMartino Booth and Joseph Wang

Are you ready to unravel the complexities of the financial world? This episode promises to serve you a rich feast of insights as we are joined by Daniel DiMartino Booth, a former advisor to the Federal Reserve, and Joseph Wang, an experienced trader. They lend us their expert lens to examine the Federal Reserve's influence on the bond market, the shifting structure of fixed income markets, and the implications of credit spreads. Joseph's trading anecdotes brilliantly illuminate the importance of comprehending the financial system, while Daniel's admiration for Fed chair Jay Powell validates the profound impact of regulations and ETFs on fixed income markets.We are not stopping just there! As our financial expedition continues, we delve into the potential aftereffects of the Fed's quantitative tightening strategy, and what a treasury-only portfolio might mean. Our guests expertly navigate us through the possible economic waves that a soaring dollar could trigger, particularly on emerging markets. They draw our attention towards the Fed's careful observation of markets beyond headline averages and how wealth effect dynamics, inflation, and consumer spending play crucial roles.Our conversation takes an exciting turn as we scrutinize jobless claims data, the impacts of escalating delinquencies, and the stock market. We also aim our spotlight on the global financial system, dissecting potential risks from smaller banks' loan concentration. Daniel and Joseph help us comprehend the ECB's role in providing stimulus and the repercussions of bond market and inflation on the US economy. Wrapping up our chat, we reflect on France's economic slowdown, the US fiscal policy, and the tidal shift towards increased government spending. This episode is surely an enlightening journey into the world of finance, promising to leave you with a broader understanding of these intricate topics.ANTICIPATE STOCK MARKET CRASHES, CORRECTIONS, AND BEAR MARKETS WITH AWARD WINNING RESEARCH. Sign up for The Lead-Lag Report at https://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive and get 30% off as a podcast listener.Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contStart your adventure with TableTalk Friday: A D&D Podcast at the link below or wherever you get your podcasts!Youtube: https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLgB6B-mAeWlPM9KzGJ2O4cU0-m5lO0lkr&si=W_-jLsiREjyAIgEsSpotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/75YJ921WGQqUtwxRT71UQB?si=4R6kaAYOTtO2V  Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It’s social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world’s first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today: Support the show
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Sep 15, 2023 • 1h 4min

Nvidia Can Take Down The Entire Stock Market: Samantha LaDuc, Jack Gamble, Kashyap Sriram, and Jay Goldberg Discuss

Are you ready to navigate the intricate and often opaque world of financial markets? Join us as we dissect the latest NVIDIA earnings release, the disconnection between AI's narrative and the reality of market movement, and the dampened enthusiasm from institutional desks. We take a hard look at NVIDIA's technical position weigh the implications of a stock that seems to be peaking relative to SPI.Ever heard of CoreWeave? This company recently boasted an earnings beat and has a curious connection with NVIDIA. We dig deep into the origins of CoreWeave, the backgrounds of its founders, and their expertise in financial engineering. This episode also brings to light the potentially intriguing relationship between CoreWeave and NatSource, a company specializing in carbon credits. And let's not forget NVIDIA's past financial misconduct. We'll debate whether negative intent could be lurking within CoreWeave and NVIDIA's partnership.Finally, listen closely as we assess the potential value of NVIDIA and the role of their Dgx Omniverse. We'll explore the demand from the top Hyperscalers in the world and wonder why NVIDIA needs a related party to grow their inventory. We also discuss the risks associated with investing in NVIDIA and explore different ways to hedge those risks. From the idea of shorting to using imperfect hedges, we'll cover it all. So gear up for an insightful journey into the world of NVIDIA, CoreWeave, and the financial markets!ANTICIPATE STOCK MARKET CRASHES, CORRECTIONS, AND BEAR MARKETS WITH AWARD WINNING RESEARCH. Sign up for The Lead-Lag Report at https://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive and get 30% off as a podcast listener.Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.Start your adventure with TableTalk Friday: A D&D Podcast at the link below or wherever you get your podcasts!Youtube: https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLgB6B-mAeWlPM9KzGJ2O4cU0-m5lO0lkr&si=W_-jLsiREjyAIgEsSpotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/75YJ921WGQqUtwxRT71UQB?si=4R6kaAYOTtO2V  Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It’s social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world’s first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today: Support the show
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Sep 14, 2023 • 57min

Navigating the Complex Terrain of US and China Markets with Larry Cheung

If you've ever wondered how to navigate the fast-paced and complex world of US and China markets, look no further than our enlightening conversation with market expert Larry Cheung. Larry brings his deep expertise on the significant differences in analyzing US and China stocks, revealing the necessity for a shorter trading timeframe given the rapid pace of policy changes in China. He also shares his unique DTF model and provides insightful guidance on why China stocks often trade at a discount when compared to their US counterparts.Join us as we shed light on the state of China's economy, looking closely at the country's spending habits and the effects on major corporations like Alibaba, Tencent, and Baidu. We unravel the deflation narratives prevalent in China, discussing strategies to find growth stocks and opportunities for margin expansion. We also delve into the recent initiatives by policymakers aimed at combatting these narratives, including moves to boost real estate sales in top-tier cities. Our journey also takes us into the intricate challenges facing both the US and China. We dissect the impact of their relationship on US Treasury bonds and the TLT ETF, in addition to discussing China's demographic challenges such as youth unemployment and high living costs. Furthermore, we delve into the current state of the US housing market, examining how rising unemployment rates and artificially low supply are creating unfavorable conditions for potential buyers. Finally, we assess the Bank of Japan's monetary policy, the resulting depreciation of the Japanese yen, and its impact on the US debt ceiling and the supply of US Treasuries for the TLT ETF.ANTICIPATE STOCK MARKET CRASHES, CORRECTIONS, AND BEAR MARKETS WITH AWARD WINNING RESEARCH. Sign up for The Lead-Lag Report at https://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive and get 30% off as a podcast listener.Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial adviStart your adventure with TableTalk Friday: A D&D Podcast at the link below or wherever you get your podcasts!Youtube: https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLgB6B-mAeWlPM9KzGJ2O4cU0-m5lO0lkr&si=W_-jLsiREjyAIgEsSpotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/75YJ921WGQqUtwxRT71UQB?si=4R6kaAYOTtO2V  Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It’s social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world’s first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today: Support the show
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Sep 13, 2023 • 45min

Navigating the Unpredictable Seas of Trading with Cheds

Picture the markets as an unpredictable sea, where price and time are the compass that guides us. That's the world of trading, according to our guest Cheds, a seasoned trader with over a decade and a half of invaluable experience. Not only has Cheds successfully navigated the tumultuous waters of trading, but he has also managed to weather the storm of a lymphoma diagnosis, penning two books and a poignant cancer memoir in the process.In this riveting conversation, we pull back the curtain on the psychology of trading. Cheds offers an insider's view on sentiment and opportunity identification, emphasizing the essential role of discipline. As we journey through the complex landscape of trading, we unearth the hidden dangers of relying on algorithms, the importance of honing our instincts, and the critical task of risk management. Whether you're a newbie trader or a seasoned veteran, Ched's insights on the long-term trends of Bitcoin, the principle of capital preservation, and the significance of continuous research and learning are sure to leave you enlightened and inspired.We wrap up our chat with Cheds discussing content creation and the art of executing effective follow-ups. Simplicity is key, says Cheds, as he offers pearls of wisdom on refining trading strategies, using cash as a discipline tool, and seizing unexpected opportunities. We drive home the importance of timely and effective content release and the necessity to conduct follow-up meetings. If you've ever wondered what it takes to succeed in trading, this episode is an unmissable deep-dive into the psyche of one of the most experienced traders in the game. Tune in as we unravel the mysteries of trading success with Cheds.ANTICIPATE STOCK MARKET CRASHES, CORRECTIONS, AND BEAR MARKETS WITH AWARD WINNING RESEARCH. Sign up for The Lead-Lag Report at https://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive and get 30% off as a podcast listener.Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult yoStart your adventure with TableTalk Friday: A D&D Podcast at the link below or wherever you get your podcasts!Youtube: https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLgB6B-mAeWlPM9KzGJ2O4cU0-m5lO0lkr&si=W_-jLsiREjyAIgEsSpotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/75YJ921WGQqUtwxRT71UQB?si=4R6kaAYOTtO2V  Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It’s social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world’s first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today: Support the show
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Sep 10, 2023 • 50min

Understanding the Turbulence of Financial Markets with Gary Shilling

Join us on a captivating journey as we dissect economic predictions and investment strategies with the acclaimed Gary Shilling. In this episode, we go beyond the ordinary and unearth overlooked opportunities that can reshape your investment decisions. We delve into Gary's unique principles for assessing the economy and financial markets, and unveil his predictions that shaped the bond rally in the '80s. A fascinating discourse awaits you as we unravel the intricate interplay of technology, labor, and product pricing.As we continue our exploration, we venture into the potential repercussions of the Industrial Revolution on the workforce and the anticipated implications of artificial intelligence on job security. Are we on the brink of another recession? We analyze the current yield curve and leading indicators to answer this question and investigate the apparent disconnect between the stock market narrative and the reality on the ground. We open a window into consumer behavior, highlighting the hesitation to spend in the current economic climate.Lastly, we rewind to the 1974 recession, breaking down the impact of the Federal Reserve's policy rate and extrapolate the potential effects of a similar downturn on the current economy. Will real estate take a hit? Are layoffs imminent? How will consumer and capital spending be affected? We delve into these pressing questions. Wrapping up, we examine the impact of external crises on the Federal Reserve's policy rate, the potential of a 30% decline in the S&P 500 index, and the susceptibility of stocks in relation to inflation-adjusted yields. This episode is a deep-dive into the dynamics of the economy that you won't want to miss!ANTICIPATE STOCK MARKET CRASHES, CORRECTIONS, AND BEAR MARKETS WITH AWARD WINNING RESEARCH. Sign up for The Lead-Lag Report at https://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive and get 30% off as a podcast listener.Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investStart your adventure with TableTalk Friday: A D&D Podcast at the link below or wherever you get your podcasts!Youtube: https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLgB6B-mAeWlPM9KzGJ2O4cU0-m5lO0lkr&si=W_-jLsiREjyAIgEsSpotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/75YJ921WGQqUtwxRT71UQB?si=4R6kaAYOTtO2V  Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It’s social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world’s first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today: Support the show

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