Lead-Lag Live

Mike Green, Chief Strategist at Simplify Asset Management, dives into ETF innovation and the risks of passive investing. He discusses how recent regulatory changes have transformed markets, sparking growth in active ETFs. Mike highlights potential dangers of passive models impacting market valuations. The conversation shifts to the IPO landscape, relevant economic theories, and the roles of gold and Bitcoin as alternative assets. He also scrutinizes China's economic challenges and the dynamics between debt and GDP, offering insights into future market trends.

David Keller, a market sentiment and trends expert, shares his insights on how investor psychology influences market movements. He discusses effective ways to measure sentiment, revealing the biases in surveys and the significance of trend following. Keller highlights recent shifts towards defensive sectors like utilities and the implications for investors. He also offers strategic advice on investing in gold and silver during turbulent times, stressing their role as low-correlation assets. Get ready to refine your investment strategies with his expert guidance!

David Nelson, a former recording artist turned finance professional at Belpointe Asset Management, shares his unique perspective on market dynamics. He discusses the intriguing parallels between market rhythms and musical progressions, shedding light on credit markets' vital role in economic signals. Nelson explores global de-dollarization, highlighting challenges for the U.S. dollar amidst rising debts and geopolitical tensions. He also delves into the impact of AI on investment strategies and the evolving landscape of portfolio management.

Join Peter Boockvar, an expert in corporate bond research and investment management, as he breaks down the drivers of market volatility. He discusses shifts in market sentiment, the impact of earnings reports from major tech companies, and the significance of CPI on Fed rate cuts. Peter explores inflation trends and their implications for investment strategies, highlighting undervalued sectors like European energy stocks and precious metals. Additionally, he analyzes the influence of the yen carry trade and offers insights into navigating today's complex financial landscape.

Danny Moses, an insightful investor known for his pivotal role during the Big Short era, shares his thoughts on why gold is a key safeguard against economic turmoil. He discusses the impact of geopolitical tensions and overreliance on central banks, stressing gold's long-term value compared to cryptocurrencies. Danny highlights challenges like rising oil prices affecting global consumers and provides insights on managing recession risks and the U.S. debt ceiling. Listeners will gain valuable investment strategies in sectors like online gambling, cannabis, and the hidden risks of private credit.

What if you could navigate market volatility like a pro? Join us as we sit down with Katie Stockton, a Chartered Market Technician from Fairlead Strategies, who shares her expert insights on the recent spike in market volatility and its profound implications. Katie walks us through the transition from long-term bullish trends to a more cautious neutral stance, and what it means for future market pullbacks and opportunities. Learn about the pivotal shift in market leadership from high beta growth stocks to more stable value stocks, and how this balance is playing out between large caps and small/mid-caps.Sector dynamics are also under the spotlight as Katie highlights the potential revival in the energy and materials sectors. Hear about the promising signals from energy ETFs like XLE, OIH, and XOP, and the recovery prospects for base metals, especially copper. We also explore gold's unique bullish setup in the current commodity cycle and compare the defensive roles of healthcare and utilities sectors in today's market. Katie's breakdown offers a comprehensive view of sector shifts and how investors can position themselves to take advantage of these trends.Active management in volatile markets is a focal point as Katie explains how active managers can outperform through effective risk management and drawdown mitigation. Discover the significant role of technical analysis in identifying market trends and managing risk, particularly when fundamental factors take a backseat. Gain insights into the shifting dynamics of small cap and large cap benchmarks, the influence of the dollar's strength on market sectors, and the incorporation of international equity markets. This episode is packed with valuable advice and strategies, making it essential listening for any investor looking to navigate these turbulent times with confidence.The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.Start your adventure with TableTalk Friday: A D&D Podcast at the link below or wherever you get your podcasts!Youtube: https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLgB6B-mAeWlPM9KzGJ2O4cU0-m5lO0lkr&si=W_-jLsiREjyAIgEsSpotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/75YJ921WGQqUtwxRT71UQB?si=4R6kaAYOTtO2V  Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It’s social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world’s first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today: Support the show

Join Mike Silva, a market analyst and the creative mind behind the YouTube channel 'Figuring Out Money', as he delves into the complexities of market volatility. Discover how recent spikes in the VIX affect trading strategies and the role of technical analysis in risk management. Mike highlights the importance of understanding gamma levels and offers insights into trading inverse ETFs. The discussion also covers the impact of economic events on market behavior, plus tips for navigating high-volatility periods and optimizing your trading approach.

Lyn Alden, an expert in engineering and finance, dissects the complexities of the Yen Carry trade, tackling the controversial $20 trillion estimate. She sheds light on the dynamics of the US dollar system and its implications for global markets. Topics include the cyclical nature of international markets, the impact of interest rates, and the Treasury's strategic bond buybacks. Her insights on fiscal dominance and Buffett's investment strategies reveal how to navigate economic uncertainty, making for a captivating and enlightening discussion.

Ever wondered how to strategically navigate the financial market, toggling between being bold and being boring? We promise you’ll gain invaluable insights as we sit down with Mike Larson, the Editor-in-Chief and VP at Money Show. Mike shares his journey from Weiss Ratings to his current influential role, shedding light on his strategic approach to market cycles. Learn how major economic downturns differ from shorter-term market events and the implications of central bank actions, particularly the Fed's maneuvers. Discover how market volatility, events in Japan, and the carry trade dynamic draw parallels to past crises and what that means for today's financial landscape. Mike explains the resilience of the S&P 500 amidst VIX spikes and examines whether changes in options trading are tilting market dynamics. We also discuss the shifting performance of market leaders and what this could indicate for future trends. Don’t miss Mike's analysis of gold and silver investments, with a focus on central bank purchasing trends and the potential impacts of Fed policy shifts.Finally, gain a deeper understanding of the interplay between geopolitical risks and oil prices, and the fascinating potential for small cap outperformance during bear markets. We cover internal U.S. politics, insights from the Money Show conference, and the changing sentiment among investors. This episode is a treasure trove of perspectives on market dynamics, economic indicators, and strategic investment approaches, all from one of the industry's seasoned experts.The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.Start your adventure with TableTalk Friday: A D&D Podcast at the link below or wherever you get your podcasts!Youtube: https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLgB6B-mAeWlPM9KzGJ2O4cU0-m5lO0lkr&si=W_-jLsiREjyAIgEsSpotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/75YJ921WGQqUtwxRT71UQB?si=4R6kaAYOTtO2V  Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It’s social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world’s first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today: Support the show

What if today's market turbulence signals the onset of another financial crisis akin to 1987, 1998, or 2008? Join me, Michael Gayed, Publisher of The Lead-Lag Report, as I engage in a profound discussion with Axel Merk, an authority in the gold industry. We dissect current market conditions, compare them with past crises, and uncover the diverse profiles of gold investors—from dollar skeptics to diversification seekers. Axel underscores the necessity of a well-rounded investment toolkit to navigate the unpredictability of financial markets, urging you to expand your comfort zone and prepare for the future.Unravel the intricate relationship between Federal Reserve policies and market narratives in our compelling conversation. We scrutinize the Fed's prioritization of systemic risk over stock market valuations, the complexities of forecasting economic recessions, and the crucial role of credit spreads. Delving into the significance of timely yet limited jobs reports and the rapid shifts driven by media, Axel and I explore the unique market dynamics during slower summer months and the inherent challenges of economic predictions in a tightening monetary landscape.Expand your global perspective as we analyze Japan's precarious financial situation and its potential worldwide impact, including rising borrowing costs and fiscal hurdles. We explore China's strategic gold purchases amid sanctions, the ramifications of increasing credit card delinquencies, and the evolving global economic landscape influenced by China's ascent. Reflecting on skepticism in investment trends and the enduring value of gold in diverse portfolios, I invite you to follow my live insights on Twitter for real-time financial market updates.The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.Start your adventure with TableTalk Friday: A D&D Podcast at the link below or wherever you get your podcasts!Youtube: https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLgB6B-mAeWlPM9KzGJ2O4cU0-m5lO0lkr&si=W_-jLsiREjyAIgEsSpotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/75YJ921WGQqUtwxRT71UQB?si=4R6kaAYOTtO2V  Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It’s social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world’s first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today: Support the show