Lead-Lag Live

Michael A. Gayed, CFA
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Nov 29, 2024 • 38min

Laks Ganapathi on Short Selling Tactics, Management Quality Pitfalls, and Political Shifts Impacting Investment Strategies

Laks Ganapathi, a seasoned strategist from Unicus Research, specializes in short selling and deep investigative analysis. He shares fascinating insights on navigating stocks influenced by Reddit trends and AI. By examining the SolarEdge case, he highlights the importance of recognizing discrepancies between claims and reality. Laks also tackles the critical role of management quality, citing Stellantis and the airline sector. Political shifts under Trump's policies could reshape investment strategies, impacting sectors from tech to private prisons.
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Nov 28, 2024 • 47min

Doug Peta on Rethinking Equity Exposure, Labor Market Trends, and Defensive Investment Strategies in Uncertain Times

Doug Peta, Chief US Investment Strategist at BCA Research, shares his expertise in navigating economic uncertainty. He discusses the importance of reconsidering equity exposure amidst potential recessions and analyzes labor market trends, highlighting the implications of the JOLTS report. Peta also dissects the influence of tax cuts and immigration policy on the economy. Furthermore, he emphasizes defensive investment strategies, explaining how to adjust portfolios for stability and risk management in volatile times.
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Nov 27, 2024 • 54min

Axel Merk on Post-Election Market Dynamics, Cryptocurrency Regulations, and Gold Mining Sector Resilience

Join Axel Merk, the Founder and CIO of Merk Investments, as he dives into the fascinating interplay between politics and market dynamics. He discusses how a Trump victory can reshape financial landscapes and the unexpected advantages for Australian gold miners amid currency shifts. The conversation navigates the evolving cryptocurrency regulations and the potential for a Bitcoin reserve. With gold prices resilient at $2,700, Axel highlights investment strategies that encourage diversification, especially in the thriving gold mining sector.
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Nov 26, 2024 • 47min

Pierre Ferragu on AI Wealth Gap Implications, Industry Shifts, and Chip Market Competition Dynamics

In this engaging conversation with Pierre Ferragu, a tech industry expert and founder of New Street Research, the potential of AI to widen the wealth gap takes center stage. He provocatively introduces the concept of 'Artificial Stupidity,' challenging conventional beliefs. The discussion unfolds around the fierce competition in the semiconductor market, particularly spotlighting NVIDIA's dominance and Intel's struggles. With insights on Taiwan's TSMC and China's rise in AI, this dialogue navigates the intricate dynamics of innovation and market rivalry.
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Nov 25, 2024 • 30min

Chris Browne on Democracy-Driven Investment Strategies, Global Market Shifts, and Emerging Opportunities in Democratic Regions

Join Chris Browne, Chief Investment Officer at Democracy Investments, as he reveals the power of democracy-driven investment strategies using the Economist Democracy Index. He discusses the advantages of investing in democratic nations like Norway and Japan over authoritarian regimes such as China and Russia. Chris outlines how geopolitical shifts affect market trends, and the opportunities they create, especially in the Eurozone. Discover the benefits of international diversification and the intriguing valuation differences compared to the U.S. market.
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8 snips
Nov 21, 2024 • 42min

Marco Papic on Geopolitical Trilemmas, Fiscal Policies Impact, and Navigating Investment Challenges

Discover the intricate dance between geopolitics and investment strategies with our esteemed guest, Marco Papic, a seasoned expert in the field. Our conversation unravels how fiscal policies and international tensions shape financial markets, especially in the context of the U.S. and its evolving relationship with major powers like China and Russia. Marco introduces the concept of a geopolitical trilemma, presenting the multifaceted challenges faced by policymakers today and their ripple effects on commodity markets.We delve into the economic landscape under Trump's presidency, exploring the potential ramifications of fiscal policy shifts. With an imminent era of larger deficits and economic stimulus, we dissect the impact on bond yields, inflation forecasts, and the broader global economy. Our discussion highlights the cautious optimism surrounding a softer US dollar, rising bond yields, and their potential to reshape the US stock market and foreign investment trends. This narrative extends to emerging markets and commodities, posing significant questions for global investors.In the final chapter, we navigate the complexities of Trump's influence on global markets and international relations. Comparing the distinct approaches of Trump and Obama, we consider the strategic implications for NATO and Ukraine. The episode also turns an eye towards Trump's policies on China and the potential economic repercussions. Engaging with these geopolitical dynamics, we aim to provide investors with the tools to better understand and navigate today's complex global landscape, ensuring a more comprehensive grasp of the intricate ties between politics and investment.The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.Start your adventure with TableTalk Friday: A D&D Podcast at the link below or wherever you get your podcasts!Youtube: https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLgB6B-mAeWlPM9KzGJ2O4cU0-m5lO0lkr&si=W_-jLsiREjyAIgEsSpotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/75YJ921WGQqUtwxRT71UQB?si=4R6kaAYOTtO2V  Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It’s social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world’s first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today: Support the show
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Nov 20, 2024 • 1h 10min

Fiscal Dominance Challenges, Bitcoin and Gold Market Dynamics, and the Impact of High-Interest Rates on Monetary Policy Strategies

Lyn Alden, a renowned macro analyst, joins Jim Bianco, an experienced market analyst, and Peter Schiff, a well-known financial commentator, to explore pressing economic dynamics. They tackle the complexities of fiscal dominance and its constraints on monetary policy, especially amid rising debt. The conversation shifts to the roles of Bitcoin and gold in today's market—debating Bitcoin's value versus its speculative nature and examining how geopolitical tensions influence gold. Their insights reveal intertwined futures for these pivotal assets in a challenging economy.
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Nov 17, 2024 • 48min

James Fishback on Rethinking Quotas, Retail Investing Impact, and Advocating Meritocracy in Business Practices

Join us as we challenge the status quo with James Fishback, founder of Azoria Partners, as he questions whether racial and gender quotas in hiring are truly beneficial for businesses. James shares his journey in the investment world and his dedication to crafting affordable investment opportunities for everyone, while celebrating the power of retail investors who are reshaping the financial landscape. Discover how these retail investors are using trend-spotting savvy to rival traditional Wall Street giants and learn why James believes skill and expertise should be the cornerstones of hiring practices.We take a critical look at the struggles of traditional Wall Street models to adapt to the modern era, particularly in recognizing the potential of trailblazers like Palantir, NVIDIA, and Tesla. The conversation moves to trading apps like Robinhood and Webull, assessing how they've revolutionized investor behavior and inadvertently fueled impulsive decisions. Strategies to counteract these behavioral biases are shared, and we urge for a return to a merit-based system free from political interference, where decisions are driven by capability and not quotas.In our exploration of diversity and meritocracy, we acknowledge the complexity of these themes within large corporations. The conversation scrutinizes how some companies may sacrifice performance for social agendas through forced diversity initiatives. James shares insights and personal reflections on promoting merit-based hiring beyond mainstream media, inspired by his grandmother's pragmatic and strategic investment approach. Follow our newsletter and social media for ongoing insights into market and geopolitical trends, and join us as we advocate for a shift toward genuine meritocracy in business practices.The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.Start your adventure with TableTalk Friday: A D&D Podcast at the link below or wherever you get your podcasts!Youtube: https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLgB6B-mAeWlPM9KzGJ2O4cU0-m5lO0lkr&si=W_-jLsiREjyAIgEsSpotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/75YJ921WGQqUtwxRT71UQB?si=4R6kaAYOTtO2V  Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It’s social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world’s first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today: Support the show
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Nov 16, 2024 • 34min

Matt Markiewicz on Leveraged ETF Strategies, Market Volatility Cautions, and Long-Term Investment Horizons

Discover the complex world of leveraged and inverse ETFs with Wall Street veteran Matt Markiewicz from TradrETFs, who brings 27 years of industry insight to the table. Get ready to unravel the intricacies behind these financial instruments designed for short-term amplified returns, and understand why they may not be the best fit for long-term investments. Matt, with his extensive experience at iShares and beyond, shares how smaller players like TradrETFs navigate a space dominated by giants like BlackRock and Vanguard, offering unique perspectives and innovative strategies.Our conversation sheds light on common misconceptions about leveraged products, likening leverage to financial tools we use every day, such as mortgages, while highlighting the need for caution, particularly amid market volatility. We explore the dynamics of the ETF industry, where understanding daily resets and compounding effects becomes crucial for effective investment management. Matt also delves into the mechanics of ETFs, including the use of swaps for leverage and the significance of diversifying counterparties to mitigate risks during financial downturns.Looking to the future, Matt presents new horizons for ETFs beyond equities, especially in treasury investments. TradrETFs is pioneering new paths by offering products that aim to deliver consistent leveraged returns over a month, aligning with longer-term investment goals. From semiconductor exposure to international investor needs, this episode is packed with insights and practical advice for both seasoned investors and those new to leveraged ETFs. Engage with us in this enlightening conversation and gain a deeper understanding of how these financial products can fit within a diversified portfolio.DISCLAIMER – PLEASE READ: This is a sponsored episode for which Lead-Lag Publishing, LLC has been paid a fee. Lead-Lag Publishing, LLC does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information provided in the episode or make any representation as to its quality. All statements and expressions provided in this episode are the sole opinion of TradrETFs and Lead-Lag Publishing, LLC expressly disclaims any responsibility for action taken in connection with the information provided in the discussion. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.Start your adventure with TableTalk Friday: A D&D Podcast at the link below or wherever you get your podcasts!Youtube: https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLgB6B-mAeWlPM9KzGJ2O4cU0-m5lO0lkr&si=W_-jLsiREjyAIgEsSpotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/75YJ921WGQqUtwxRT71UQB?si=4R6kaAYOTtO2V  Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Support the show
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Nov 15, 2024 • 50min

Phil Wool on Emerging Market Anomalies, Quantamental Strategies, and Active vs Passive Investment Dynamics

Uncover the secrets behind the world's most dynamic markets with Phil Wool, the head of portfolio management and chief research officer at Rayliant Global Advisors. Navigate the intriguing differences between developed and emerging markets, and learn how Rayliant Global Advisors leverages behavioral finance and market anomalies to craft innovative strategies. Phil Wool shares his deep expertise, focusing on how these anomalies present unique opportunities, particularly in markets where retail investors have a profound impact, such as China, Korea, and Taiwan.Gain insights into how emerging markets like Korea's family-owned conglomerates, known as Chaebols, shape the investment landscape with their distinctive governance structures. Explore the debate surrounding active versus passive investment strategies, and understand how systematic approaches can exploit opportunities in both efficient and less mature markets. Phil Wool offers a peek into the strategic decisions behind Rayliant's active ETFs and their potential to capitalize on market inefficiencies often overlooked by traditional indices.Discover the intricacies of quantamental strategies and the role of strategic partnerships, such as the collaboration with Sumitomo Mitsui DS Asset Management for a Japan fund. Examine the broader implications of geopolitical shifts and economic growth in emerging markets beyond China, particularly in India and Taiwan. This episode promises a comprehensive understanding of emerging markets, offering a unique perspective on how to navigate these complex and vibrant economies for potential alpha.DISCLAIMER – PLEASE READ: This is a sponsored episode for which Lead-Lag Publishing, LLC has been paid a fee. Lead-Lag Publishing, LLC does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information provided in the episode or make any representation as to its quality. All statements and expressions provided in this episode are the sole opinion of Rayliant and Lead-Lag Publishing, LLC expressly disclaims any responsibility for action taken in connection with the information provided in the discussion. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other finanStart your adventure with TableTalk Friday: A D&D Podcast at the link below or wherever you get your podcasts!Youtube: https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLgB6B-mAeWlPM9KzGJ2O4cU0-m5lO0lkr&si=W_-jLsiREjyAIgEsSpotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/75YJ921WGQqUtwxRT71UQB?si=4R6kaAYOTtO2V  Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It’s social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world’s first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today: Support the show

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