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Lead-Lag Live

Latest episodes

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Aug 26, 2024 • 53min

Andreas Steno Larsen on Dollar-Yen Carry Trade Turmoil, Chinese Liquidity Trends, and US Construction Sector Risks

Join Andreas Steno Larsen, creator of Steno Signals and a seasoned expert in foreign exchange and investment banking, as he navigates the recent upheaval in the dollar-yen carry trade. He discusses the significant leverage macro hedge funds have taken and the looming implications of Japan's potential QE shift. The conversation shifts to explore the limited role of Chinese banks and liquidity trends affecting global markets, as well as challenges in the gold market and the US construction sector. Andreas provides insightful forecasts and strategic implications for investors.
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Aug 25, 2024 • 55min

Mike Green on ETF Innovation, Passive Investing Risks, and the Future of Alternative Assets

Mike Green, Chief Strategist at Simplify Asset Management, dives into ETF innovation and the risks of passive investing. He discusses how recent regulatory changes have transformed markets, sparking growth in active ETFs. Mike highlights potential dangers of passive models impacting market valuations. The conversation shifts to the IPO landscape, relevant economic theories, and the roles of gold and Bitcoin as alternative assets. He also scrutinizes China's economic challenges and the dynamics between debt and GDP, offering insights into future market trends.
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Aug 23, 2024 • 51min

David Keller on Sentiment Shifts, Defensive Sector Trends, and Gold's Strategic Importance

David Keller, a market sentiment and trends expert, shares his insights on how investor psychology influences market movements. He discusses effective ways to measure sentiment, revealing the biases in surveys and the significance of trend following. Keller highlights recent shifts towards defensive sectors like utilities and the implications for investors. He also offers strategic advice on investing in gold and silver during turbulent times, stressing their role as low-correlation assets. Get ready to refine your investment strategies with his expert guidance!
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Aug 22, 2024 • 43min

David Nelson on Credit Markets, Global De-Dollarization, and AI's Market Impact

David Nelson, a former recording artist turned finance professional at Belpointe Asset Management, shares his unique perspective on market dynamics. He discusses the intriguing parallels between market rhythms and musical progressions, shedding light on credit markets' vital role in economic signals. Nelson explores global de-dollarization, highlighting challenges for the U.S. dollar amidst rising debts and geopolitical tensions. He also delves into the impact of AI on investment strategies and the evolving landscape of portfolio management.
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Aug 21, 2024 • 50min

Peter Boockvar on Market Volatility Drivers, CPI Implications, and Inflationary Investment Strategies

Join Peter Boockvar, an expert in corporate bond research and investment management, as he breaks down the drivers of market volatility. He discusses shifts in market sentiment, the impact of earnings reports from major tech companies, and the significance of CPI on Fed rate cuts. Peter explores inflation trends and their implications for investment strategies, highlighting undervalued sectors like European energy stocks and precious metals. Additionally, he analyzes the influence of the yen carry trade and offers insights into navigating today's complex financial landscape.
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Aug 20, 2024 • 52min

Danny Moses on Gold's Role in Economic Stability, Geopolitical Tensions, and Future Investment Risks

Danny Moses, an insightful investor known for his pivotal role during the Big Short era, shares his thoughts on why gold is a key safeguard against economic turmoil. He discusses the impact of geopolitical tensions and overreliance on central banks, stressing gold's long-term value compared to cryptocurrencies. Danny highlights challenges like rising oil prices affecting global consumers and provides insights on managing recession risks and the U.S. debt ceiling. Listeners will gain valuable investment strategies in sectors like online gambling, cannabis, and the hidden risks of private credit.
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Aug 19, 2024 • 48min

Katie Stockton on Market Volatility, Sector Shifts, and Technical Analysis for Active Management

What if you could navigate market volatility like a pro? Join us as we sit down with Katie Stockton, a Chartered Market Technician from Fairlead Strategies, who shares her expert insights on the recent spike in market volatility and its profound implications. Katie walks us through the transition from long-term bullish trends to a more cautious neutral stance, and what it means for future market pullbacks and opportunities. Learn about the pivotal shift in market leadership from high beta growth stocks to more stable value stocks, and how this balance is playing out between large caps and small/mid-caps.Sector dynamics are also under the spotlight as Katie highlights the potential revival in the energy and materials sectors. Hear about the promising signals from energy ETFs like XLE, OIH, and XOP, and the recovery prospects for base metals, especially copper. We also explore gold's unique bullish setup in the current commodity cycle and compare the defensive roles of healthcare and utilities sectors in today's market. Katie's breakdown offers a comprehensive view of sector shifts and how investors can position themselves to take advantage of these trends.Active management in volatile markets is a focal point as Katie explains how active managers can outperform through effective risk management and drawdown mitigation. Discover the significant role of technical analysis in identifying market trends and managing risk, particularly when fundamental factors take a backseat. Gain insights into the shifting dynamics of small cap and large cap benchmarks, the influence of the dollar's strength on market sectors, and the incorporation of international equity markets. This episode is packed with valuable advice and strategies, making it essential listening for any investor looking to navigate these turbulent times with confidence.The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.Today's sponsor is CBDX, home of premium, legal THC gummies. Perfect for relaxation, creativity, or unwinding after a long day, these delicious gummies deliver the quality you can trust. With fast discreet shipping and great flavors, CBDX makes enjoying THC easy and hassle-free.Visit CBDX.com and use code LEADLAG to save on your first order!  Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It’s social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world’s first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today: Support the show
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Aug 16, 2024 • 53min

Mike Silva on Market Volatility Analysis, Risk Management Techniques, and Trading Strategies During Recessions

Join Mike Silva, a market analyst and the creative mind behind the YouTube channel 'Figuring Out Money', as he delves into the complexities of market volatility. Discover how recent spikes in the VIX affect trading strategies and the role of technical analysis in risk management. Mike highlights the importance of understanding gamma levels and offers insights into trading inverse ETFs. The discussion also covers the impact of economic events on market behavior, plus tips for navigating high-volatility periods and optimizing your trading approach.
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Aug 13, 2024 • 51min

Lyn Alden on Yen Carry Trade Misestimations, US Dollar System Insights, and Global Market Dynamics

Lyn Alden, an expert in engineering and finance, dissects the complexities of the Yen Carry trade, tackling the controversial $20 trillion estimate. She sheds light on the dynamics of the US dollar system and its implications for global markets. Topics include the cyclical nature of international markets, the impact of interest rates, and the Treasury's strategic bond buybacks. Her insights on fiscal dominance and Buffett's investment strategies reveal how to navigate economic uncertainty, making for a captivating and enlightening discussion.
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Aug 12, 2024 • 50min

Mike Larson on Market Cycles, Fed Actions, and Gold Investment Strategies

Ever wondered how to strategically navigate the financial market, toggling between being bold and being boring? We promise you’ll gain invaluable insights as we sit down with Mike Larson, the Editor-in-Chief and VP at Money Show. Mike shares his journey from Weiss Ratings to his current influential role, shedding light on his strategic approach to market cycles. Learn how major economic downturns differ from shorter-term market events and the implications of central bank actions, particularly the Fed's maneuvers. Discover how market volatility, events in Japan, and the carry trade dynamic draw parallels to past crises and what that means for today's financial landscape. Mike explains the resilience of the S&P 500 amidst VIX spikes and examines whether changes in options trading are tilting market dynamics. We also discuss the shifting performance of market leaders and what this could indicate for future trends. Don’t miss Mike's analysis of gold and silver investments, with a focus on central bank purchasing trends and the potential impacts of Fed policy shifts.Finally, gain a deeper understanding of the interplay between geopolitical risks and oil prices, and the fascinating potential for small cap outperformance during bear markets. We cover internal U.S. politics, insights from the Money Show conference, and the changing sentiment among investors. This episode is a treasure trove of perspectives on market dynamics, economic indicators, and strategic investment approaches, all from one of the industry's seasoned experts.The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.Today's sponsor is CBDX, home of premium, legal THC gummies. Perfect for relaxation, creativity, or unwinding after a long day, these delicious gummies deliver the quality you can trust. With fast discreet shipping and great flavors, CBDX makes enjoying THC easy and hassle-free.Visit CBDX.com and use code LEADLAG to save on your first order!  Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It’s social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world’s first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today: Support the show

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