Complex Systems with Patrick McKenzie (patio11) cover image

Complex Systems with Patrick McKenzie (patio11)

Latest episodes

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Sep 19, 2024 • 1h 22min

Decisions Nobody Made, policy edition, with Dave Guarino

In this discussion, Dave Guarino, a software engineer and former director of CalFresh, shares insights on the convoluted nature of public assistance programs like SNAP. They explore how confusing application processes alienate those in need and why user-centric design is often overlooked in policy-making. Delving into bureaucratic inefficiencies, Guarino emphasizes the necessity for better feedback loops and accountability within government agencies. The conversation also highlights innovative solutions for improving services for economically disadvantaged populations.
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Sep 12, 2024 • 53min

True Crime, banking edition

Patrick McKenzie, an insightful essayist on financial systems, joins media entrepreneur Erik Torenberg for a deep dive into the banking world. They tackle the three stages of money laundering—placement, layering, and integration—and how banks have become reluctant de facto law enforcers. Their conversation highlights the unintended consequences of stringent regulations on economic growth and inclusivity, questioning the balance between preventing crime and supporting legitimate financial activities. It’s an eye-opening discussion on the complexities of modern banking.
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Sep 5, 2024 • 1h 36min

That time we accidentally created national healthcare infrastructure, with Dave Kasten

Dave Kasten, a key player in the VaccinateCA initiative, shares his journey of mobilizing volunteers to provide crucial vaccine distribution information during the pandemic. He discusses the challenges of transforming chaotic communication into structured systems and the importance of tech in public health. Kasten emphasizes the disconnect between governmental processes and tech innovation, exploring the nuances of public health communication and the role of youth in advocacy. Their conversation offers a compelling look at how collaboration can reshape healthcare infrastructure.
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Aug 29, 2024 • 1h 11min

The mad science of drilling the earth with Austin Vernon

Austin Vernon, a petroleum engineer, dives deep into the fascinating world of drilling technology and fracking economics. He unpacks the evolution of drilling techniques, emphasizing the shift to horizontal drilling and advanced fracking methods. Austin reveals the unique funding models in the industry and talks about the complexities of mineral rights intertwined with local politics. The conversation also highlights how innovations in drilling are influencing emerging fields like geothermal energy extraction.
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Aug 22, 2024 • 1h 24min

Balancing control and chaos: cybernetics, fraud, and modern organizations with Dan Davies

Dan Davies, author of 'Lying for Money' and 'The Unaccountability Machine,' discusses the intersection of cybernetics and modern organizational dynamics. He dives into how organizations evolve and the pitfalls of insulating decision-makers from reality. The conversation highlights the complexities of analyzing systems, the interplay between technology and human judgment, and the systemic roots of financial fraud. Additionally, Dan shares insights from his journey to authorship, revealing the challenges and motivations behind writing nonfiction.
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Aug 15, 2024 • 1h 25min

Energy economics and rocket science with Casey Handmer

Casey Handmer, a rocket scientist turned CEO of Terraform Industries, explores the revolutionary potential of solar power and synthetic natural gas. He shares insights on NASA's bureaucratic challenges and compares SpaceX's efficiency in innovation. The conversation also tackles the complexities of energy systems, urging for localized production and discussing the ecological impacts of renewable energy. With his unique background, Casey emphasizes the importance of innovation and strategic policy in shaping a sustainable energy future.
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Aug 8, 2024 • 1h 26min

Bet on it: Zvi Mowshowitz on professional gambling, trading, and AI futures

Zvi Mowshowitz, a professional Magic: The Gathering player, sports gambler, and AI journalist, shares his eclectic journey from games to finance. He discusses insights on market inefficiencies and the strategies used in sports betting versus formal trading. Zvi critiques public health communication during COVID-19, reflecting on the importance of accurate data and trust. The conversation also touches on the transformative potential of AI in various sectors and the crucial role of consistent practice in achieving excellence.
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Aug 1, 2024 • 52min

Betting on the future via prediction markets, with Stephen Grugett of Manifold

Stephen Grugett, co-founder of Manifold, dives into the captivating world of prediction markets. He explains how these markets harness collective intelligence to make forecasts that often outshine traditional polls. The conversation touches on the role of social dynamics, user engagement, and even the influence of bots. Grugett shares insights on the evolution of Manifold’s systems, debates on capital efficiency, and the excitement surrounding predicting events like geopolitical incidents. It's a fascinating blend of philosophy and practical applications!
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Jul 25, 2024 • 1h 7min

Reporting on tech with Kelsey Piper

Kelsey Piper, a journalist for Vox’s Future Perfect, talks with Patrick McKenzie about equity irregularities at OpenAI and the social function of equity in tech. They discuss the frosty relationship between tech and media, editorial policies, media relations, and historical media practices in the modern tech industry.
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Jul 18, 2024 • 51min

Writing the first draft of financial history with Byrne Hobart

Byrne Hobart joins Patrick McKenzie to discuss the toxicity of 30-year mortgages, finance newsletter dynamics, applying rationalist epistemics to hedge funds, and the joy of learning about an industry from scratch. They explore tax inefficiency in investments, competitive advantages in finance writing, evolution of web scraping, and monetization strategies of online travel agencies.

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