The Investopedia Express with Caleb Silver cover image

The Investopedia Express with Caleb Silver

Latest episodes

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Mar 10, 2025 • 13min

Tech Gets Corrected Triggering the Titanic Syndrome

Another week of selling as the stock market suffers its worst week since early September sending the Nasdaq into correction territory and triggering the very rare and very dangerous Titanic Syndrome. Plus, the headline numbers and the Fed Chair both say the economy is in a good place, but that depends where you live inside of it. We break down the Good, the Bad, and the Ugly inside the economy today, and explain why 'stagflation' is back in the conversation.LINKS FOR SHOW NOTEShttps://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/stagflation.asphttps://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnowhttps://www.investopedia.com/fed-chair-powell-confirms-wait-and-see-approach-to-rate-cuts-11693204https://www.investopedia.com/job-market-bounced-back-in-february-11692802https://www.investopedia.com/terms/h/hindenburgomen.asp Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
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Mar 3, 2025 • 15min

Momentum Loses its MoJo, and the Risk Trade Gets Wrecked

February was a short and brutal month across the capital markets as the momentum trade into Big Tech and A.I. stocks reversed, leaving a pile-up of major losses across investors' favorite stocks. The White House dropped a new executive order to build a 'Strategic Crypto Reserve', breathing some bullishness back into the beleaguered crypto patch, and Wall Street has dusted off an old, but risky strategy called 'Portable Alpha', to find the next moonshot stocks.LINKS FOR SHOW NOTES:https://www.investopedia.com/what-to-expect-in-the-markets-this-week-11687706https://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/portablealpha.asphttps://www.investopedia.com/trump-says-canada-mexico-tariffs-will-take-effect-next-week-china-rate-to-double-11687476https://www.economy.com/economicview/analysis Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
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Feb 24, 2025 • 14min

Sentiment Shaken, Stocks Stirred, and Retail Traders Rush In

A swift drop in investor and consumer sentiment rattled the ‘Immaculate Rotation’ from growth to value stocks, sending the stock market off of record highs. But that hasn’t stopped retail traders from rushing back into the stock market at levels approaching 2021 highs in search of dips across mega cap tech, A.I. and consumer discretionary stocks. Is our timing as bad as it was during Roaring Kitty’s heydays? Plus, Warren Buffett’s annual shareholder letter dropped Saturday with its usual dose of wisdom and humility. But it’s hard to be humble when your holding companies generated $47 billion in operating profit last year, and you are sitting on $343 billion in cash.https://www.investopedia.com/what-to-expect-in-the-markets-this-week-11683487https://www.investopedia.com/berkshire-hathaway-earnings-q4-fy24-warren-buffett-11684624https://www.investopedia.com/featured/original/investopedia-explainshttps://www.bespokepremium.com/interactive/research/think-big-blog/https://www.vandaresearch.com/news/https://berkshirehathaway.com/2024ar/2024ar.pdf Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
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Feb 17, 2025 • 13min

The Bull Goes Global, and Welcome to the Age of Electricity

Stocks snapped a two-week, battling through tariff and inflation headlines, to come within a fraction of all-time highs. What's driving the market higher now, what's different about today's rally, and why are global stocks spiking in the age of American Exceptionalism? Plus, welcome to the age of Electricity as demand to power the data centers and robotics revolution is set to soar to new heights, bringing power stocks along with it. And, the most important words being spoken on earnings conference calls tell us a lot about the precarious mental state of corporate America. One of the most important is in Latin.LINKS FOR SHOW NOTEShttps://www.iea.org/news/growth-in-global-electricity-demand-is-set-to-accelerate-in-the-coming-years-as-power-hungry-sectors-expandhttps://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/price-earningsratio.asphttps://www.investopedia.com/what-to-expect-in-the-markets-this-week-11679263https://www.investopedia.com/terms/o/operatingearnings.asphttps://www.tker.co/https://bilello.blog/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
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Feb 10, 2025 • 14min

The Securitization of the "America First" Agenda

Investors are bracing for more political chaos after last week's tariff wars which tripped up sentiment, sending the dollar higher and Gold to record levels. Why the strong dollar is pinching corporate profits inside the biggest companies in the world, and what they are saying about it. Plus. The President's holding company just announced the registration of new ETFs and SMAs that track his "America First" agenda. While conflicts of interest and the executive branch of government have always had a cosy relationship, we've never seen this kind of securitization of America's policies. And, new tax proposals are about to hit Congress where the real fight over America's fiscal future is about to get interesting, including the potential closure of the carried interest loophole.LINKS FOR SHOW NOTEShttps://russellinvestments.com/us/blog/us-tariffs-potential-implicationshttps://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/Issues/2025/01/17/world-economic-outlook-update-january-2025https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2025/02/06/3022027/0/en/Trump-Media-Registers-Trademarks-for-Truth-Fi-Investment-Vehicles.htmlhttps://www.investopedia.com/terms/c/carriedinterest.asphttps://www.congress.gov/bill/118th-congress/senate-bill/2463/texthttps://www.investopedia.com/these-two-assets-will-have-the-best-returns-under-trump-per-investopedia-s-readers-8787190https://www.investopedia.com/what-to-expect-in-the-markets-this-week-8786864 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
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Feb 3, 2025 • 15min

DeepSeek, A.I., Tariffs, and the Future of Economic Security

A jam-packed January full of news also brought DeepSeek into the future of A.I. conversation, deep-seating Nvidia as the world's most valuable company, and calling into question the hundreds of billions of dollars of spending by Big Tech on semiconductors to control the future. The Fed punted on interest rates, as expected, but now new tariffs on Canada, Mexico and China threaten to upend the effects of monetary policy and bring more inflation to our doorsteps. Plus, scholars take shots at the Efficient Market Hypothesis, and ask whether passive investing has actually made the stock market inefficient.LINKS FOR SHOW NOTEShttps://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/02/imposing-duties-to-address-the-flow-of-illicit-drugs-across-our-national-border/https://www.investopedia.com/trump-tariffs-enacted-saturday-what-you-need-to-know-8783771https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3821263https://www.investopedia.com/terms/e/efficientmarkethypothesis.asphttps://www.investopedia.com/what-to-expect-in-the-markets-this-week-8783286 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
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Jan 27, 2025 • 14min

The Upcoming Showdown at the Fed, and Making Cents out of Eliminating the Penny

Delve into the impact of executive actions sparking record stock highs and shifts in market dynamics. Explore the contentious debate around the penny's future, its production costs, and the lessons learned from Canada's previous elimination. As the Federal Reserve prepares to meet, consider the implications of interest rate decisions on the economy. Plus, a look at the rise of nuclear energy stocks driven by AI and how dark pools are changing trading transparency. The financial landscape is evolving, and there's much to discuss!
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Jan 20, 2025 • 12min

The New Economic Policy Playbook and the Future of TikTok

It's a newer, faster version of The Express, and we break down the path of economic policies promised by the incoming Trump administration, including what's likely to happen, and what might get challenged. Plus, the future of TikTok in the U.S. is changing by the minute, but recent developments and the seating arrangement at the inauguration tell us that the popular social video app isn't going anywhere. And, get used to hearing about the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act of 1930, and watch for new amendments to the 95-year old piece of legislation.LINKS FOR SHOW NOTEShttps://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/smoot-hawley-tariff-act.asphttps://www.investopedia.com/what-to-expect-in-the-markets-this-week-8776336https://www.investopedia.com/trump-has-promised-these-major-economic-actions-on-day-one-8776775https://www.bloomberg.com/features/2024-trump-day-one-agenda/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
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Jan 13, 2025 • 32min

Reasons to Remain Bullish as the Bond Vigilantes Circle

Despite the recent and relentless rise in Treasury bond yields and a sell off in the stock market, Dr. Ed Yardeni, President of Yardeni Research, remains one of the most bullish strategists out there. Yardeni, who coined the term "Bond Vigilantes", outlines the risks, probabilities and opportunities facing investors today, and explains why he sees the S&P 500 topping 10,000 by the end of the decade. Plus, expensive stocks have pushed the equity risk premium to historical lows, but those hoping for it to rise better be careful what they wish for.LINKS FOR SHOW NOTESwww.investopedia.com/what-to-expect-in-the-markets-this-week-877192https://www.investopedia.com/hiring-surprisingly-surged-in-december-8772350https://classic.foodandwine.com/https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/FOMC20180926tealbooka20180914.pdfhttps://yardeni.com/https://yardeni.com/quicktakes/https://www.investopedia.com/bond-vigilante-6386194 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
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Jan 6, 2025 • 35min

What to Expect Across the Capital Markets in 2025

Following back to back years of twenty-percent plus gains for the stock market, what should investors expect in 2025 as a new administration moves into Washington D.C., the U.S. economy continues to grow and consumers are feeling as confident as they have in years? Liz Young Thomas, SoFi's Head of Investment Strategy, rejoins The Express to share her outlook for 2025, including the biggest risks and opportunities on the horizon. Plus, 2024 was the second year in a row where retail investors beat the market. What would it take for a three-peat?LINKS FOR SHOW NOTEShttps://www.sofi.com/article/investment-strategy/liz-looks-at-the-2025-outlook/https://www.investopedia.com/terms/j/januaryeffect.asphttps://www.investopedia.com/what-to-expect-in-the-markets-this-week-8768364https://www.vandaresearch.com/news/https://www.bespokepremium.com/interactive/research/think-big-blog/https://www.instagram.com/lizthomasstrat/?hl=en Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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