BlueDot Narrated

BlueDot Impact
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Jan 4, 2025 • 18min

Imitative Generalisation (AKA ‘Learning the Prior’)

Audio versions of blogs and papers from BlueDot courses. This post tries to explain a simplified version of Paul Christiano’s mechanism introduced here, (referred to there as ‘Learning the Prior’) and explain why a mechanism like this potentially addresses some of the safety problems with naïve approaches. First we’ll go through a simple example in a familiar domain, then explain the problems with the example. Then I’ll discuss the open questions for making Imitative Generalization actually work, and the connection with the Microscope AI idea. A more detailed explanation of exactly what the training objective is (with diagrams), and the correspondence with Bayesian inference, are in the appendix.Source:https://www.alignmentforum.org/posts/JKj5Krff5oKMb8TjT/imitative-generalisation-aka-learning-the-prior-1Narrated for AI Safety Fundamentals by Perrin Walker of TYPE III AUDIO.---A podcast by BlueDot Impact.
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Jan 4, 2025 • 17min

Two-Turn Debate Doesn’t Help Humans Answer Hard Reading Comprehension Questions

Audio versions of blogs and papers from BlueDot courses. Using hard multiple-choice reading comprehension questions as a testbed, we assess whether presenting humans with arguments for two competing answer options, where one is correct and the other is incorrect, allows human judges to perform more accurately, even when one of the arguments is unreliable and deceptive. If this is helpful, we may be able to increase our justified trust in language-model-based systems by asking them to produce these arguments where needed. Previous research has shown that just a single turn of arguments in this format is not helpful to humans. However, as debate settings are characterized by a back-and-forth dialogue, we follow up on previous results to test whether adding a second round of counter-arguments is helpful to humans. We find that, regardless of whether they have access to arguments or not, humans perform similarly on our task. These findings suggest that, in the case of answering reading comprehension questions, debate is not a helpful format.Source:https://arxiv.org/abs/2210.10860Narrated for AI Safety Fundamentals by Perrin Walker of TYPE III AUDIO.---A podcast by BlueDot Impact.
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Jan 4, 2025 • 12min

Worst-Case Thinking in AI Alignment

Audio versions of blogs and papers from BlueDot courses. Alternative title: “When should you assume that what could go wrong, will go wrong?” Thanks to Mary Phuong and Ryan Greenblatt for helpful suggestions and discussion, and Akash Wasil for some edits. In discussions of AI safety, people often propose the assumption that something goes as badly as possible. Eliezer Yudkowsky in particular has argued for the importance of security mindset when thinking about AI alignment. I think there are several distinct reasons that this might be the right assumption to make in a particular situation. But I think people often conflate these reasons, and I think that this causes confusion and mistaken thinking. So I want to spell out some distinctions. Throughout this post, I give a bunch of specific arguments about AI alignment, including one argument that I think I was personally getting wrong until I noticed my mistake yesterday (which was my impetus for thinking about this topic more and then writing this post). I think I’m probably still thinking about some of my object level examples wrong, and hope that if so, commenters will point out my mistakes.Original text:https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/yTvBSFrXhZfL8vr5a/worst-case-thinking-in-ai-alignmentNarrated for AI Safety Fundamentals by Perrin Walker of TYPE III AUDIO.---A podcast by BlueDot Impact.
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Jan 4, 2025 • 14min

Compute Trends Across Three Eras of Machine Learning

Audio versions of blogs and papers from BlueDot courses. This article explains key drivers of AI progress, explains how compute is calculated, as well as looks at how the amount of compute used to train AI models has increased significantly in recent years.Original text: https://epochai.org/blog/compute-trendsAuthor(s): Jaime Sevilla, Lennart Heim, Anson Ho, Tamay Besiroglu, Marius Hobbhahn, Pablo Villalobos.A podcast by BlueDot Impact.
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Jan 4, 2025 • 8min

How to Get Feedback

Audio versions of blogs and papers from BlueDot courses. Feedback is essential for learning. Whether you’re studying for a test, trying to improve in your work or want to master a difficult skill, you need feedback.The challenge is that feedback can often be hard to get. Worse, if you get bad feedback, you may end up worse than before.Original text:https://www.scotthyoung.com/blog/2019/01/24/how-to-get-feedback/Author:Scott YoungA podcast by BlueDot Impact.
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Jan 4, 2025 • 10min

Public by Default: How We Manage Information Visibility at Get on Board

Audio versions of blogs and papers from BlueDot courses.I’ve been obsessed with managing information, and communications in a remote team since Get on Board started growing. Reducing the bus factor is a primary motivation — but another just as important is diminishing reliance on synchronicity. When what I know is documented and accessible to others, I’m less likely to be a bottleneck for anyone else in the team. So if I’m busy, minding family matters, on vacation, or sick, I won’t be blocking anyone.This, in turn, gives everyone in the team the freedom to build their own work schedules according to their needs, work from any time zone, or enjoy more distraction-free moments. As I write these lines, most of the world is under quarantine, relying on non-stop video calls to continue working. Needless to say, that is not a sustainable long-term work schedule.Original text:https://www.getonbrd.com/blog/public-by-default-how-we-manage-information-visibility-at-get-on-boardAuthor:Sergio NouvelA podcast by BlueDot Impact.
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Jan 4, 2025 • 3min

Writing, Briefly

Audio versions of blogs and papers from BlueDot courses.(In the process of answering an email, I accidentally wrote a tiny essay about writing. I usually spend weeks on an essay. This one took 67 minutes—23 of writing, and 44 of rewriting.)Original text:https://paulgraham.com/writing44.htmlAuthor:Paul GrahamA podcast by BlueDot Impact.
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Jan 4, 2025 • 7min

Being the (Pareto) Best in the World

Audio versions of blogs and papers from BlueDot courses.This introduces the concept of Pareto frontiers. The top comment by Rob Miles also ties it to comparative advantage.While reading, consider what Pareto frontiers your project could place you on.Original text:https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/XvN2QQpKTuEzgkZHY/being-the-pareto-best-in-the-worldAuthor:John WentworthA podcast by BlueDot Impact.
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Jan 4, 2025 • 15min

How to Succeed as an Early-Stage Researcher: The “Lean Startup” Approach

Audio versions of blogs and papers from BlueDot courses.I am approaching the end of my AI governance PhD, and I’ve spent about 2.5 years as a researcher at FHI. During that time, I’ve learnt a lot about the formula for successful early-career research.This post summarises my advice for people in the first couple of years. Research is really hard, and I want people to avoid the mistakes I’ve made.Original text:https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/jfHPBbYFzCrbdEXXd/how-to-succeed-as-an-early-stage-researcher-the-lean-startup#ConclusionAuthor:Toby ShevlaneA podcast by BlueDot Impact.
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Jan 4, 2025 • 11min

Planning a High-Impact Career: A Summary of Everything You Need to Know in 7 Points

Audio versions of blogs and papers from BlueDot courses.We took 10 years of research and what we’ve learned from advising 1,000+ people on how to build high-impact careers, compressed that into an eight-week course to create your career plan, and then compressed that into this three-page summary of the main points.(It’s especially aimed at people who want a career that’s both satisfying and has a significant positive impact, but much of the advice applies to all career decisions.)Original article:https://80000hours.org/career-planning/summary/Author:Benjamin ToddA podcast by BlueDot Impact.

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