Know Your Risk Podcast

Know Your Risk Radio
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9 snips
Oct 16, 2026 • 48min

They Cut Half Their VIX Hedge—Then VIX Spiked

Markets shrug off rising rates, oil nearing $100, and geopolitical tensions until volatility erupts. The discussion explores leverage, liquidity risks, options positioning, and the pressure facing Big Tech earnings. AI’s massive capital needs, chip and energy bottlenecks, Chinese competition, and rumors of a Tesla–SpaceX combination round out a high-stakes look at the week ahead.
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10 snips
Oct 15, 2026 • 1h 4min

AI Demand Is Booming. Why Are Token Prices Falling?

AI compute demand is surging, yet token prices are sliding, raising questions about hyperscalers, leveraged neoclouds, and the economics of the buildout. The discussion also explores hot inflation data, falling Treasury yields, shorter-term government borrowing, refinancing risks, and market positioning. Additional themes include retail sales, geopolitical oil shocks, chipmakers, Tesla, copper, gold, and international assets.
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4 snips
Oct 14, 2026 • 51min

AI Tokens Are Getting Cheaper. Is That Good News?

Falling AI-token prices collide with surging usage, raising questions about the economics of hyperscale infrastructure and whether AI assets remain undervalued. The discussion also explores a hotter CPI report, a surprising bond rally, market volatility, and the risks facing rates and equities. Shipping attacks, diesel disruptions, oil flows, and escalating Russia-Ukraine tensions add a geopolitical edge.
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10 snips
Oct 14, 2026 • 1h 12min

Rudy Havenstein: Trump Says Inflation Will Pay the Debt. Who Pays?

Rudy Havenstein, a financial commentator and writer focused on monetary policy and inequality, examines inflation as a regressive way to address America’s debt. He explores what official inflation data overlooks, how the Fed supports asset prices, and why wealth inequality fuels political extremism. They also tackle financial illiteracy, education, too-big-to-fail institutions, partisan protectionism, and the risks of war.
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11 snips
Oct 13, 2026 • 53min

The Market Is Splitting in Two—and AI Is Driving the Divide

Markets are splitting between record-setting mega-cap tech and struggling small caps, with AI at the center of the divide. The discussion explores the massive cost of AI infrastructure, hyperscaler accounting, chip and power plays, and crowded Russell 2000 shorts. Energy risks, diesel prices, inflation, interest rates, bond supply, and the growing K-shaped economy add further tension.
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Oct 12, 2026 • 48min

Apple Is Worth $4.5 Trillion. Can the Fundamentals Catch Up?

Chase Taylor, a macro and market analyst covering global markets, energy, rates, and geopolitics, joins the discussion on Apple’s eye-popping $4.5 trillion valuation. They examine whether its growth can support 44-times earnings, how energy disruptions are reshaping oil flows and inflation risks, and why shrinking strategic reserves matter. They also explore narrow market breadth, mega-cap concentration, geopolitical credibility, and the data that could trigger a sharp rotation.
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10 snips
Oct 9, 2026 • 34min

The “Debasement Trade” Is Coming Back. Here’s What That Means

Chase Taylor, a macro and investment analyst at Bulwark Capital Management, explores the possible return of the “debasement trade.” He discusses gold, miners, Asian markets, AI-driven distortions, international capital flows, biotech, diesel policy and escalating energy risks. He also explains why bonds may be nearing a tactical turning point and previews key inflation data.
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10 snips
Oct 8, 2026 • 41min

AI Spending Is Starting to Move Interest Rates

Massive AI spending is moving beyond the tech sector, influencing growth, inflation, and bond yields. The discussion examines OpenAI’s uncertain revenue and financing outlook, the widening gap between investment and sustainable returns, and the future economics of hyperscalers. It also explores oil-market risks, prediction markets, sports betting, and the blurred line between personal freedom and predatory financial incentives.
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Oct 7, 2026 • 51min

Inflation Can Shrink the Debt. What Does That Mean for Your Money?

Inflation’s ability to shrink the real burden of government debt sets the stage for a wider look at fiscal dominance, unconventional policy, and the future of cash. The discussion explores fragile market breadth, extreme equity concentration, reindustrialization costs, geopolitical energy risks, and the staggering scale of AI investment. It closes with questions about trade deficits, real assets, and even the economics of competitive sports.
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16 snips
Oct 6, 2026 • 22min

Oil Is Under $90. Why Is 2027 Pricing Still Climbing?

WTI crude slips below $90, yet 2027 oil contracts keep climbing. Explore the futures curve, tanker disruptions in the Strait, and shifting energy flows. The discussion also covers nuclear-power momentum, washouts in European financials and emerging-market bonds, drone warfare, biotech volatility, and reversal risks in crowded small-cap shorts.

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