Know Your Risk Podcast

Know Your Risk Radio
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Nov 21, 2025 • 36min

The Risks of Overly Optimistic Forecasts

Zach and Chase explore the dangers of overly optimistic forecasts in financial markets. They argue that unrealistic projections can lead to market corrections, especially when ignoring economic fundamentals. A deep dive into NVIDIA reveals that actual customer ROI matters more than flashy quarterly results. They discuss the bubble risks in hyperscaler CapEx, investor psychology, and the potential pitfalls of inflated valuations. The conversation also touches on the impact of AI on the job market and the sustainability of tech investments.
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Nov 19, 2025 • 42min

This Irrational and Misleading Market

November 19 2025 - Zach expresses his strong skepticism about the current state of the market, particularly focusing on Nvidia's stock performance and growth projections. He highlights the disconnect between market reactions and actual company performance, emphasizing a critical view of revenue growth expectations.
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Nov 18, 2025 • 56min

Nvidia Earnings and Stim Checks

Zach and Chase dive into the psychology behind shorting momentum stocks, revealing the thrill and risks involved. They evaluate the current state of AI investments and the implications of government stimulus checks on market dynamics. The hosts debate the future of NVIDIA amid investor skepticism and discuss the evolving landscape of cryptocurrency, including meme coins and stablecoins. Their insights on market sentiment and the importance of tight stop losses make for a fascinating conversation about navigating today’s investment challenges.
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Nov 17, 2025 • 39min

A Bubble in the Tech Sector?

November 17, 2025 - Zach and Chase discuss various themes including ghost stories, market vulnerabilities, AI bubbles, investment strategies, and the importance of diversification. They delve into the current market trends, the significance of hedging, and the dynamics of global markets.
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Nov 14, 2025 • 15min

Energy Trends and Their Market Impact

November 14, 2025 - Chase provides a comprehensive analysis of the current market conditions, highlighting significant volatility and trends across various sectors, including energy, commodities, and technology. He discusses the implications of quality stocks underperforming, the evolving sentiment around AI investments, and the rising bond volatility, all while emphasizing the importance of upcoming market data.
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Nov 13, 2025 • 21min

The Future of AI Funding

November 13, 2025 - Chase delves into the recent financial maneuvers in the AI sector, particularly focusing on Masayoshi Son's decision to sell Nvidia shares to fund OpenAI. This shift raises questions about the sustainability of funding in AI and the implications of such financial strategies on the industry.
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Nov 11, 2025 • 37min

Exploring the 50-Year Mortgage

November 11, 2025 -  Zach discusses the ongoing challenges in the marketplace and emphasizes the importance of understanding how these issues will be addressed in the future. He highlights that the market is not done facing problems, and the approach to tackling them will evolve rather than cease.
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Nov 10, 2025 • 41min

50-Year Mortgages Could Lead to a Housing Boom

November 10, 2025 - Zach discusses the implications of 50-year mortgages on the housing market, the potential benefits of a recession in addressing economic issues, and the political dynamics surrounding the cost of living. He emphasizes the need to focus on structural issues rather than merely stimulating demand to effectively tackle the rising cost of living.
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Nov 7, 2025 • 39min

Good Investing Rules to Follow

November 7, 2025 - Zach and Chase discuss the intricacies of investing, particularly focusing on the importance of understanding valuations and the associated risks. They emphasize the need to sometimes overlook risks when valuations are extreme and to think financially about asset performance. Zach shares insights on how to assess risk in asset management and the rules that can lead to successful investment outcomes.
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Nov 6, 2025 • 32min

AI Sector Shows Downturn

November 6, 2025 - Zach and Chase discuss the current state of the market, focusing on index performance and the volatility in the AI sector. They analyze the recent downturn in AI stocks, the implications of financing trends, and the competitive landscape between the US and China in technology. The conversation also touches on the challenges faced in AI development, the importance of manufacturing for national security, and the need for strategic investments in the future.

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