The Outlier Trading Podcast

In this engaging discussion, Euan Sinclair, an experienced former institutional/options market maker and author, illuminates the stark differences between retail and institutional trading. He shares insights on how institutional traders think about risk and loss, emphasizing the importance of discipline and structured strategies. Euan also cautions against relying on short-term P&L for evaluating strategies and offers practical methods for managing psychological challenges. He advises traders on sizing positions wisely and recognizing opportunities in market extremes.

Trey J, a community member and trading enthusiast, shares his insights on navigating the market as a beginner. He and Erik dive into the impacts of government shutdown news on market stability and the nuances of delayed data affecting volatility. They explore common pitfalls in trading earnings and discuss how to define 'normal' market behavior. Erik emphasizes the importance of developing intuition through consistent observation and focusing on process over daily profits, offering practical tools for traders at all levels.

In this discussion, Kris Abdelmessih, an options and volatility expert who shares insights on his MoonTower Substack, dives deep into the unpredictable world of volatility. He explains why longer-dated options carry a risk premium and demystifies the concept of 'at-the-forward' pricing. Kris also explores the quirks of delta metrics, revealing why they sometimes don't add up. He emphasizes the importance of intuition versus models in trading strategies, especially in zero-DTE scenarios, and highlights how cognitive biases affect traders' beliefs. It's a must-listen for traders looking to sharpen their strategies!

💡Trade alongside Erik and level up your strategy inside the Outlier Pro Community—get exclusive weekly livestreams, private chat access, market & trade analysis, and more. https://www.patreon.com/OutlierTrading▬ RESOURCES► Free Guide for Beginner Options Traders. https://www.outliertrading.io/guide► Join the FREE Outlier Community. https://www.patreon.com/c/outliertrading/chats► Subscribe to the Outlier Insights Newsletter. https://outliertrading.substack.com/► Listen to the Outlier Podcast. https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLAFDZ3YyC4rSe9h-s9XvtxktSm16-7-9L▬ DISCOUNTS► 50% off Options Omega Backtesting. https://optionomega.com/register/esinvests►50% off the ORATS Platform and Tool Suite! https://orats.com/esinvests► Barchart Premium - Try for Free. https://www.barchart.com/get-barchart-premier?fpr=xaiek► 5% off Unusual Whales Options Flow Platform. http://unusualwhales.com/referral#esinvests▬ VIDEO NOTES#optionstradinghttps://x.com/DaveHcontrarian▬ DISCLAIMERThe content presented is for informational purposes only and any opinions, news, research, analyses, or other information contained are provided as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. Outlier Trading, its affiliates, and employees are not responsible for any investment decisions made based on the information presented. Outlier Trading does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any information presented and is not liable for any losses or damages arising from the use of or reliance on this information. By accessing this content, you acknowledge and agree to these disclosures and terms of use.

💡Trade alongside Erik and level up your strategy inside the Outlier Pro Community—get exclusive weekly livestreams, private chat access, market & trade analysis, and more. https://www.patreon.com/OutlierTrading▬ RESOURCES► Free Guide for Beginner Options Traders. https://www.outliertrading.io/guide► Join the FREE Outlier Community. https://www.patreon.com/c/outliertrading/chats► Subscribe to the Outlier Insights Newsletter. https://outliertrading.substack.com/► Listen to the Outlier Podcast. https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLAFDZ3YyC4rSe9h-s9XvtxktSm16-7-9L▬ DISCOUNTS► 50% off Options Omega Backtesting. https://optionomega.com/register/esinvests►50% off the ORATS Platform and Tool Suite! https://orats.com/esinvests► Barchart Premium - Try for Free. https://www.barchart.com/get-barchart-premier?fpr=xaiek► 5% off Unusual Whales Options Flow Platform. http://unusualwhales.com/referral#esinvests▬ VIDEO NOTES#optionstradinghttps://lossdog.com/▬ DISCLAIMERThe content presented is for informational purposes only and any opinions, news, research, analyses, or other information contained are provided as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. Outlier Trading, its affiliates, and employees are not responsible for any investment decisions made based on the information presented. Outlier Trading does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any information presented and is not liable for any losses or damages arising from the use of or reliance on this information. By accessing this content, you acknowledge and agree to these disclosures and terms of use.

Tom Sosnoff, a seasoned options trader and co-founder of tastytrade, shares insights on trading dynamics and market behavior. He discusses how bond movements shape Federal Reserve decisions and warns against the dangers of politicizing the Fed. Tom highlights the shifting correlations between assets like stocks and gold, and emphasizes a risk-averse approach in his portfolio. He also explains his strategies for managing earnings trades and stresses the importance of discipline over chasing high-risk rewards in trading.

Euan Sinclair, a quant trader and volatility expert, shares his insights on market predictions and the current behavior of the VIX. He discusses the rise of leveraged ETFs and the risks they pose for long-term traders. Euan highlights effective trading strategies, such as delta-hedging and managing rebalancing costs. He emphasizes the importance of mental models and understanding market psychology while cautioning against overconfidence. Finally, he explores the complexities of volatility trading and the factors impacting options pricing.

Wes Grey, the Founder of Alpha Architect and an authority on momentum investing, shares his insights on the power of momentum systems. He emphasizes that blending momentum with valuation diminishes its effectiveness and stresses the importance of simplicity in research. Wes discusses how adaptive weighting can enhance momentum strategies, while cautioning against noise from short-term trades. He also advises retail traders on leveraging their agility in the momentum space and highlights the ongoing relevance of momentum even as market dynamics evolve.

Doomberg, a savvy writer from Doomberg.com, dives deep into the fragility of global systems. He discusses the rising geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and China, focusing on supply chains and energy pricing. The conversation shifts to the transformative impact of AI in the energy sector, particularly in drilling technologies. Doomberg critiques energy policies and their failures, revealing the delicate balance of market dynamics and environmental risks. The talk concludes with predictions about upcoming global events, reflecting a need for strategic foresight.

Kris Abdelmessih, from Moontower AI, shares his expertise in using options volatility to enhance trading strategies. He discusses his pivotal career shift to independent trading, emphasizing the importance of humility and adaptability. Kris highlights how to measure market movements and navigate risk while managing options effectively. He also dives into the often-misunderstood concept of optionality, using real-world examples to illustrate its significance. Tune in for valuable insights on improving trading approaches and understanding market dynamics!