The HC Commodities Podcast

Guy Winter, a partner at Fasken and advisor for the Critical Minerals Association, dives into the intricate world of tariffs on metals and critical minerals. He discusses how U.S.-China relations shape these tariffs and impact contracts and mergers. Winter also highlights the challenges posed by export controls on rare earth elements and the ripple effects for Western manufacturers. With a keen legal perspective, he explores negotiating trade complexities in a volatile market and the need for adaptable supply chains amid geopolitical tensions.

In Part 2, we continue our discussion on navigating the new Trump Administration. Why are metals and critical minerals central to the administrations agenda? What does it mean to prioritize security over economics and sustainability?  How to manage the inherent internal conflicts between co-existing policies and statements and what the trading opportunities might be for the energy & commodities sector.  We welcome back with Nick Kumleben, the Energy and Commodities Director at Green Mantle, the geopolitical and macro advisory firm that weaves in historical context to help organizations understand the current markets and opportunities within them. 

The commodities sector faces a new and uncertain world.  In this episode, we look at how to understand and how to navigatethe new Trump administration and its impact on domestic and global markets, particularly around energy and commodities using analogies from history.  What is signal…and what is noise.  Our guest is Nick Kumleben. Nick is the energy and commodities director at Greenmantle, the advisory firm founded by Niall Ferguson, focused on geopolitical and macroeconomics, taking a deep understanding of history, to learn the lessons that can be applied to today's world. They advise funds, traders, and governments.For more on experts and advisors that can support decision making in energy & commodities visit: www.encoinsights.com  

Head of Talent Intelligence for HC Group, Amelia Chahal, joins us to discuss their offering and the Global Energy Trading Compensation Report 2025 available for purchase.To register interest in the report visit: https://www.hcgroup.global/energy-trading-reportHC Talent Intelligence provides critical and tailored talent data insights for our clients across global energy and commodities markets. The platform was created to address the growing demand for real-time, accurate, and credible talent market data. Their mission is to help organisations make informed decisions on everything from minor compensation adjustments to large-scale workforce and operational transformations.Our dedicated Talent Intelligence team manages HC Group’s advisory services, including Compensation Data and Advisory; Diversity & Inclusion Studies; Competitive Analysis; Talent Pipelining and Succession Planning; and Talent Analytics & Assessment.For more on HC visit www.hcgroup.global or contact Amelia at achahal@hcgroup.global  

In this episode, we stress test and challenge some of the key recent narratives in the energy world. Will we still see peak oil demand by 2030? Is there under investment in oil production that could lead to energy shocks in our near future? And is the energy transition dead, alive or somewhere in between? Our guest is Jarand Rystad, CEO and founder of Rystad Energy, the independent research and energy intelligence company, providing clients with data, insights, and education that better empowers decision making. 

Today we are focused on China and its oil market. How has their oil sector developed over the last 50 years? Who are the teapot refiners? And how is the market now structured in the wake of COVID, sanctions and the EV revolution? How consequential is China now to global crude pricing and market dynamics? Our guest is Tom Reed, Vice President of China Crude at Argus Media, the independent price reporting agency. Tom has spent a career watching China, understanding the details from this very opaque but consequential market.

The podcast dives into the challenges and uncertainties shaping global commodities, influenced by geopolitical tensions and policy changes. It covers the volatile landscape of oil, gas, and metals, shedding light on emerging opportunities in renewable energy. Reflections from the Financial Times Commodities Global Summit reveal key trends and the evolving dynamics in market operations, emphasizing the potential for innovation despite a backdrop of uncertainty.

In this engaging conversation, Adam Mirick, head of strategy for Prometheus Hyperscale and former head of U.S. power trading at BP, dives into the intense demand for next-gen data centers. He discusses the impact of AI on technology and energy needs, providing insights on how the energy sector is adapting. The talk covers innovative cooling solutions—including advanced immersion cooling—and emphasizes the importance of sustainability in meeting future energy demands. Adam also touches on the economic potential and geopolitical implications of this booming industry.

Today we return to the subject of ESG and sustainability. In the wake of COVID, organizations globally made huge commitments around ESG goals. Sustainability teams were hired and grew rapidly. Today, we face a global vibe shift in the wake of economic realities, political change and shifting policy. What does that mean for ESG? What does that mean for sustainability? The reality is, in part, it's not going away, but it's certainly more focused on organizational goals and driving customer value. Our guest who helps clients with just these types of issues is Anastasia Kuskova, co-founder and CEO of Sirius, a sustainability intelligence platform for metals and mining, working with ArcelorMittal, Freeport, and other majors. She spent 8 years at the European Resources Group as Head of Sustainability and started her career in strategy consulting.www.besirius.io  

Oil Trading remains the preserve of wealthy industry participants. Few organizations have the means and access to trade the myriad OTC contracts that underpin the markets. However, much as we have seen the democratization of equities and FX markets, could oil and its products go the same way?  What would that mean for organizations, individuals, brokers and markets. Our guest is trying to revolutionize the oil market through just that - it's democratization. Greg Newman, founder and CEO of Onyx Group, returns to discuss