Long Story Short

In this look back at 2025, Adam and Andy break down the charts and trends that defined the year. From international equities quietly outperforming U.S. stocks by nearly double, to gold unexpectedly beating Bitcoin, the year delivered some surprises most investors missed.They discuss why bonds finally delivered the returns investors have been waiting for since 2022, what drove the massive AI infrastructure spending boom, and why India's exceptional 2024 performance turned into a flat 2025. The conversation also covers the resiliency of the U.S. economy, including Q3's decade-high GDP growth that caught everyone off guard.We cover:Why international equities pushed 30% while getting little attentionGold outperforming Bitcoin (who had that on their bingo card?)The cautionary tale of India's performance flip from 2024 to 2025How bonds normalized after the brutal 2022 selloffRecord GDP growth in Q3 2025 and what it meansThe staggering AI infrastructure spending numbers from Big TechTax cuts creating stimulus most people haven't fully appreciatedBiggest risks for 2026: AI expectations and cybersecurity threats⏱️ Timestamps: ((01:26) Happy New Year and personal highlights from 2025(02:20) Market recap: The round trip year with near-bear market drama(04:25) International equities quietly dominated 2025(05:40) Gold beats Bitcoin: The commodity surprise of the year(10:51) India's cautionary tale: From hero to zero(12:17) The bond market comeback story(17:20) U.S. economy resilience: Q3's decade-high GDP growth(18:49) AI infrastructure spending reaches staggering levels(20:52) Tax cuts creating underappreciated stimulus for 2026(25:36) Biggest risks for 2026: AI payoff and cybersecurity(29:49) Closing thoughts(30:13) Podcast disclosuresResources:Follow Burney Wealth Management on LinkedIn | www.linkedin.com/company/burneywealthmanagement Follow Adam Newman on Linkedin | www.linkedin.com/in/adam-newman-cfa-cfp%C2%AE-mst-ricp%C2%AE-cepa-48853916/ Follow Andy Pratt on LinkedIn | www.linkedin.com/in/andyjpratt/ Understanding the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA): What High Net Worth Families Need to Know | https://burneywealth.com/blog/understanding-the-one-big-beautiful-bill-act Ep #26: Protecting Your Wealth: A Cybersecurity Guide with Max Alles | https://burneywealth.com/blog/cybersecurity-guide-max-alles-long-story-short-episode-26 #2025Review #MarketRecap #InternationalStocks #BondMarket #WealthManagementThe Burney Company is an SEC-registered investment adviser. Burney Wealth Management is a division of the Burney Company. Registration with the SEC or any state securities authority does not imply that Burney Company or any of its principals or employees possesses a particular level of skill or training in the investment advisory business or any other business. This content is for informational and educational purposes only. It is not intended as personalized investment advice or a recommendation.

Welcome to 2026. In this episode, Adam and Andy kick off the new year by breaking down the financial housekeeping tasks you should tackle in January, plus key tax law changes taking effect this year.They also address the question everyone's asking: Can this bull market keep going? Adam walks through historical data showing that the current 38-month, 90% rally is actually quite average compared to past bull markets that lasted 130+ months with gains exceeding 500%.We cover:Financial housekeeping for the new year (savings, spending, risk assessment)New charitable giving deductions for non-itemizersChanges to itemized charitable deductions based on AGIAffordable Care Act subsidy uncertainty heading into 2026Estate tax exemption increase to $15 million per personHistorical bull market data and what it tells us about 2026Key trends to watch: International stocks, AI development, growth vs. value rotationWhy midterm elections shouldn't drive your investment decisions⏱️ Timestamps: (01:30) Happy New Year and financial housekeeping tips(06:47) Changes to charitable giving deductions in 2026(09:50) Affordable Care Act tax subsidy uncertainty(11:28) Estate tax exemption increases to $15 million(13:10) Can the stock market keep going higher?(18:07) Historical bull market data puts 2026 in perspective(20:33) Themes for 2026: AI, international stocks, and value rotation(25:05) How the new Fed chair and midterm elections factor in(28:12) Podcast disclosuresResources:Follow Burney Wealth Management on LinkedIn | www.linkedin.com/company/burneywealthmanagement Follow Adam Newman on Linkedin | www.linkedin.com/in/adam-newman-cfa-cfp%C2%AE-mst-ricp%C2%AE-cepa-48853916/ Follow Andy Pratt on LinkedIn | www.linkedin.com/in/andyjpratt/ #2026Outlook #MarketOutlook #TaxPlanning #BullMarket #WealthManagementThe Burney Company is an SEC-registered investment adviser. Burney Wealth Management is a division of the Burney Company. Registration with the SEC or any state securities authority does not imply that Burney Company or any of its principals or employees possesses a particular level of skill or training in the investment advisory business or any other business. This content is for informational and educational purposes only. It is not intended as personalized investment advice or a recommendation.

Adam and Andy tackle an important investment decision: how to divide your portfolio across cash, bonds, stocks, and alternatives.They start by explaining the two factors that actually matter for determining asset allocation: your personal risk tolerance and how much income you need from the portfolio. Age-based rules like "subtract your age from 100" completely miss these critical inputs.Then they walk through each building block. Cash is great for emergencies but terrible for long-term investing because of inflation. Bonds offer stability and income but come with credit risk and interest rate risk that many investors don't fully understand. Stocks provide the best long-term inflation protection but require stomaching significant volatility along the way.They finish with alternatives, cutting through the hype to explain when private equity, private credit, and managed futures actually make sense as diversifiers rather than home run swings.We cover:Why your age doesn't determine your appropriate risk levelHow to think about risk tolerance when markets are calm versus during selloffsCash as an emergency fund versus portfolio holdingWhy inflation is the silent wealth killerCredit risk versus interest rate risk in bondsThe inverse relationship between interest rates and bond pricesStock market volatility: what to actually expect each yearHow volatility decreases over longer time horizonsAlternatives as diversifiers, not performance enhancersWhich alternative strategies we use and why⏱️ Timestamps: (01:05) Introducing asset allocation and why it’s important(03:31) The two inputs that determine your allocation(08:10) Should older individuals avoid risk?(09:58) Pros & cons: Cash(16:07) Pros & cons: Bonds(25:53) Pros & cons: Stocks(32:31) Pros & cons: Alternatives(40:19) Podcast disclosuresResources:Follow Burney Wealth Management on LinkedIn Follow Adam Newman on Linkedin Follow Andy Pratt on LinkedIn Ep. #16: The Psychology of Investing: Why We Make Bad Money Decisions Ep. #24: Required Minimum Distributions, The Fear & Greed Index, and Private Equity#AssetAllocation #InvestmentStrategy #PortfolioConstruction #RetirementPlanning #WealthManagement #FinancialPlanningThe Burney Company is an SEC-registered investment adviser. Burney Wealth Management is a division of the Burney Company. Registration with the SEC or any state securities authority does not imply that Burney Company or any of its principals or employees possesses a particular level of skill or training in the investment advisory business or any other business. This content is for informational and educational purposes only. It is not intended as personalized investment advice or a recommendation.

Adam and Andy explain required minimum distributions (RMDs) after fielding countless year-end questions from clients. If you've ever been confused about when RMDs start, how they're calculated, or what happens if you mess them up, this episode covers everything you need to know.The conversation shifts to CNN's Fear & Greed Index hitting "extreme fear" after just a 5% market pullback. They explain why this type of overreaction is exactly why market timing rarely works and how retail investors might actually be getting smarter.They wrap up with a deep dive into private equity: the dispersion between top and bottom managers, why access matters more than most people realize, and when it makes sense as a portfolio diversifier versus a home run swing.We cover:RMD basics: when they start, how to calculate them, and common mistakes to avoidWhy you should consider Roth conversions in the window before RMDs beginQualified charitable distributions as a tax-efficient RMD strategyThe Fear & Greed Index overreacting to normal market volatilityHow Bitcoin's decline is drawing more questions than its rally to $100kPrivate equity's growing accessibility and what that actually meansThe massive performance gap between best and worst PE managersWhy private equity works better as diversification than speculationUnderstanding liquidity constraints in private investments⏱️ Timestamps: (00:57) Andy's Thanksgiving carnitas tradition(02:13) CNN's Fear & Greed Index hits extreme fear on a 5% dip(08:44) RMD mechanics: age requirements and calculation methods(14:21) The spouse age factor and special IRS tables(16:30) Flexibility in RMD timing and withholding strategies(20:22) Qualified charitable distributions explained(21:26) Roth accounts and the pre-RMD conversion window(25:57) Private equity and its role in asset allocation strategies(28:59) The critical importance of manager selection in PE(32:23) Private equity as diversification, not home runs(37:35) Liquidity considerations in private investments(39:15) Podcast disclosuresResources:Follow Burney Wealth Management on LinkedIn | www.linkedin.com/company/burneywealthmanagement Follow Adam Newman on Linkedin | www.linkedin.com/in/adam-newman-cfa-cfp%C2%AE-mst-ricp%C2%AE-cepa-48853916/ Follow Andy Pratt on LinkedIn | www.linkedin.com/in/andyjpratt/ CNN Fear & Greed Index | ​​https://www.cnn.com/markets/fear-and-greed #RetirementPlanning #TaxPlanning #PrivateEquity #RMDs #PortfolioDiversification #WealthManagementThe Burney Company is an SEC-registered investment adviser. Burney Wealth Management is a division of the Burney Company. Registration with the SEC or any state securities authority does not imply that Burney Company or any of its principals or employees possesses a particular level of skill or training in the investment advisory business or any other business. This content is for informational and educational purposes only. It is not intended as personalized investment advice or a recommendation.

Adam and Andy dissect a Wall Street Journal article calling for a prolonged bear market to "fix" investor behavior. Spoiler: the argument falls apart under scrutiny, considering we've had five bear markets since 2008.The conversation shifts to Bitcoin's recent decline from all-time highs and why retail investors might actually be getting smarter about crypto volatility. Then they explore bonds' quiet comeback after the painful 2022 selloff, including why the inverted yield curve finally unwinding is good news for balanced portfolios.They wrap up with 2026 retirement contribution limits and a critical change coming for high earners making catch-up contributions.We cover:Why the "we need a long bear market" narrative is irresponsible financial journalismThe difference between normal bear markets and once-in-a-century crises like 2008Bitcoin dropping from recent highs as investors wait to buy the dipWhy bonds are finally playing their traditional portfolio role againThe inverted yield curve unwinding and what it means for duration strategy2026 retirement contribution limits across 401(k)s, IRAs, and QCDsNew Roth requirement for catch-up contributions if you earn over $150,000Why diversification is making a comeback in 2025⏱️ Timestamps: (01:00) Wall Street Journal's irresponsible bear market article(02:45) The reality of bear market frequency since 2008(07:05) Bitcoin falling after hitting $100,000(11:18) Understanding Bitcoin's value proposition (or lack thereof)(12:30) Bonds making a quiet comeback after 2022's pain(16:44) The inverted yield curve and duration strategy(19:50) Why diversification is back in 2025(22:57) 2026 retirement contribution limits(26:17) New Roth catch-up requirement for high earners(28:07) Thanksgiving plans(29:47) Podcast disclosuresResources:Follow Burney Wealth Management on LinkedIn | www.linkedin.com/company/burneywealthmanagement Follow Adam Newman on Linkedin | www.linkedin.com/in/adam-newman-cfa-cfp%C2%AE-mst-ricp%C2%AE-cepa-48853916/ Follow Andy Pratt on LinkedIn | www.linkedin.com/in/andyjpratt/ Book mention: “1929” by Andrew Ross Sorkin | https://www.amazon.com/1929-Inside-Greatest-History-Shattered-ebook/dp/B0DXMZWTYM?ref_=ast_author_mpb Sample Financial Plan | https://burneywealth.com/sample-financial-plan?hsLang=en Performance Matters: 7 Steps Toward More Effective Investing | https://burneywealth.com/hubfs/lead-magnets/performance-matters-ebook/Performance%20Matters%20-%207%20Steps%20Toward%20More%20Effective%20Investing%20BWM.pdf?hsLang=en Retirement Readiness Checklist | https://burneywealth.com/retirement-checklist?hsLang=en #RetirementPlanning #Bitcoin #BondInvesting #PortfolioDiversification #WealthManagementThe Burney Company is an SEC-registered investment adviser. Burney Wealth Management is a division of the Burney Company. Registration with the SEC or any state securities authority does not imply that Burney Company or any of its principals or employees possesses a particular level of skill or training in the investment advisory business or any other business. This content is for informational and educational purposes only. It is not intended as personalized investment advice or a recommendation.

As Thanksgiving approaches, Andy and Adam tackle money conversations at every life stage. From teaching kindergarteners about spending, saving, and giving to helping retirees navigate Social Security claiming decisions.Andy shares his new allowance system for his 5-year-old, designed to build lifelong financial habits through three buckets: give, save, and spend. The conversation then shifts to creative giving strategies from grandparents, including 401(k)-style matching programs that encourage adult children to save.The second half digs into Social Security strategy, covering the three biggest claiming mistakes and why delaying benefits often makes sense when you view them as longevity insurance rather than a game to win.We cover:How to introduce money concepts to young children using allowancesThe three-bucket system: give, save, and spendCreative multigenerational wealth transfer strategiesWhy taking Social Security at 62 usually costs you (a lot)The importance of viewing Social Security decisions within your overall financial planSocial Security as longevity insurance, not an investment to beatHow spousal benefits work and planning for survivor benefitsWhether Social Security will actually be there when you need it⏱️ Timestamps: (00:55) Teaching kids about money with allowances(04:00) When to start financial education for children(07:40) Creative giving strategies for adult children(14:23) Top three Social Security claiming mistakes(16:38) The steep cost of claiming at 62(21:14) Looking at Social Security within your full financial picture(24:04) Will Social Security be there when you retire?(28:08) Social Security as longevity insurance(33:19) Planning Social Security for couples and survivor benefits(35:45) Podcast disclosuresResources:Follow Burney Wealth Management on LinkedIn | www.linkedin.com/company/burneywealthmanagement Follow Adam Newman on Linkedin | www.linkedin.com/in/adam-newman-cfa-cfp%C2%AE-mst-ricp%C2%AE-cepa-48853916/ Follow Andy Pratt on LinkedIn | www.linkedin.com/in/andyjpratt/ #RetirementPlanning #FinancialLiteracy #SocialSecurity #TaxPlanning #WealthManagementThe Burney Company is an SEC-registered investment adviser. Burney Wealth Management is a division of the Burney Company. Registration with the SEC or any state securities authority does not imply that Burney Company or any of its principals or employees possesses a particular level of skill or training in the investment advisory business or any other business. This content is for informational and educational purposes only. It is not intended as personalized investment advice or a recommendation.

Post-Halloween candy rankings lead into two big topics: life insurance strategies and bubble fears.Adam discusses term versus permanent life insurance, explaining why term policies make sense for most people and when permanent policies might actually fit. He covers laddering strategies, the investment component of permanent policies, and why most people just need pure coverage at the lowest cost.Then Andy takes on the bubble question everyone keeps asking. Using charts on market recoveries, earnings growth, and profitability, he explains why current valuations actually make sense and why the current environment doesn't look like the dot-com era.We cover:Why term life insurance is simpler and cheaper than permanent life insuranceLaddering policies to match different financial obligationsThe investment component of permanent life insuranceWhen permanent policies might make sense (special needs planning, estate taxes)Why people keep asking if we're in a bubbleHow this market recovery compares to past correctionsNvidia versus Cisco - profitability changes everythingWhy analyst expectations track with stock prices todayMagnificent Seven earnings and profitability trendsSeasonality patterns and the Santa Rally effect⏱️ Timestamps: (00:00) Halloween candy power rankings (100 Grand wins)(03:15) Life insurance: term versus permanent explained(04:20) Why term insurance makes sense for most people(06:00) Laddering policies to control costs(09:00) Permanent life insurance and the investment component(14:10) Buy term and invest the difference strategy(15:44) Bubble concerns and cognitive dissonance(18:19) Market recovery comparison charts(21:00) Cisco in 2000 versus Nvidia today(23:00) Earnings growth across all sectors(24:10) Magnificent Seven profitability trends(26:00) Sentiment check - fear versus euphoria(29:22) Seasonality and the Santa Rally(34:00) International diversification finally working(36:00) Podcast disclosuresResources:Follow Burney Wealth Management on LinkedIn | www.linkedin.com/company/burneywealthmanagement Follow Adam Newman on Linkedin | https://www.linkedin.com/in/adam-newman-cfa-cfp%C2%AE-mst-ricp%C2%AE-cepa-48853916/ Follow Andy Pratt on LinkedIn | https://www.linkedin.com/in/andyjpratt/ #LifeInsurance #MarketBubble #InvestingStrategy #RetirementPlanning #WealthManagementThe Burney Company is an SEC-registered investment adviser. Burney Wealth Management is a division of the Burney Company. Registration with the SEC or any state securities authority does not imply that Burney Company or any of its principals or employees possesses a particular level of skill or training in the investment advisory business or any other business. This content is for informational and educational purposes only. It is not intended as personalized investment advice or a recommendation.

Andy dresses up as an index fund for Halloween (yes, really). The costume sparks a conversation about what index funds actually are, why they've dominated recent returns, and what happens when mega-cap stocks stop outperforming.Plus, Adam breaks down three approaches to retirement spending - from detailed spreadsheets to the famous 4% rule to a more flexible guardrails method. They also discuss what rising bear market experience means for different generations of investors.We cover:Why index funds are mostly just the biggest stocks in different sizesThe performance chasing problem with yesterday's winnersSmall cap and value stocks historically outperforming over long periodsThree ways to figure out retirement spending (and why flexibility matters)What the 4% rule actually assumes (and what it misses)The guardrails approach to retirement withdrawalsHow many bear markets different generations have experiencedGifting Roth IRA contributions to young family members⏱️ Timestamps: (00:00) Andy's index fund Halloween costume(02:38) Why index funds have been such a big win for investors(04:45) The concentration problem - when the biggest stocks dominate(06:09) Performance chasing and what happens when mega caps slow down(08:08) Small cap and value premiums over the long run(14:20) Three approaches to retirement spending budgets(16:50) Why detailed budgets never play out exactly as planned(18:50) The 4% rule and what it misses(22:00) The guardrails approach to retirement spending(28:30) Bear markets by generation - experience shapes perspective(33:40) Gifting Roth IRA contributions to kids and grandkids(36:05) Podcast disclosuresResources:Follow Burney Wealth Management on LinkedIn | www.linkedin.com/company/burneywealthmanagement Follow Adam Newman on Linkedin | https://www.linkedin.com/in/adam-newman-cfa-cfp%C2%AE-mst-ricp%C2%AE-cepa-48853916/ Follow Andy Pratt on LinkedIn | https://www.linkedin.com/in/andyjpratt/ #IndexFunds #RetirementPlanning #RetirementSpending #WealthManagement #InvestingStrategyThe Burney Company is an SEC-registered investment adviser. Burney Wealth Management is a division of the Burney Company. Registration with the SEC or any state securities authority does not imply that Burney Company or any of its principals or employees possesses a particular level of skill or training in the investment advisory business or any other business. This content is for informational and educational purposes only. It is not intended as personalized investment advice or a recommendation.

Open enrollment season is here, which means it's time to review your Medicare coverage. Adam walks through the ABCs of Medicare, explains the difference between original Medicare and Medicare Advantage, and shares why even if you're happy with your plan, an annual review matters.Plus, Andy and Adam tackle two common retirement questions: how to reduce those dreaded required minimum distributions, and whether you should pay off your mortgage before retirement (spoiler: the math answer and the peace of mind answer might be different).We cover:Why you should review your Medicare plan every yearOriginal Medicare vs. Medicare Advantage: pros, cons, and who each works best forThe actual costs of Parts A, B, D, and Medigap plansTax diversification strategies to reduce future RMDsRoth conversions and the retirement window of opportunityQualified charitable distributions as an RMD strategyThe mortgage payoff question: when the numbers say one thing but your gut says anotherWhy 2-3% mortgage rates change the math entirely⏱️ Timestamps: (00:34) Episode 19 and keeping track of topics(01:52) Medicare open enrollment: why annual reviews matter(02:58) Status quo bias and Medicare plan reviews(04:27) Original Medicare: Parts A, B, D, and Medigap explained(07:22) Medicare Advantage: lower premiums, more perks, less flexibility(11:05) Who should consider each type of plan(12:19) Healthcare costs in retirement(13:27) RMDs: the required minimum distribution problem(15:02) When RMDs exceed your peak earning years(16:21) Tax diversification: planning ahead to reduce RMDs(20:40) The retirement window for Roth conversions(23:00) Qualified charitable distributions (QCDs)(27:27) The mortgage payoff debate begins(29:44) When debt feels divisive(32:33) The math vs. peace of mind calculation(35:05) Risk tolerance and generational perspectives on debt(37:41) Maintaining flexibility even after payoff(39:15) Don't over-optimize your life(39:00) Podcast disclosuresResources:Follow Burney Wealth Management on LinkedIn | www.linkedin.com/company/burneywealthmanagement Follow Adam Newman on Linkedin | www.linkedin.com/in/adam-newman-cfa-cfp%C2%AE-mst-ricp%C2%AE-cepa-48853916/ Follow Andy Pratt on LinkedIn | www.linkedin.com/in/andyjpratt/ Move Health: Medicare plan review partner | https://movehealth.io/ Ep. #16: The Psychology of Investing | burneywealth.com/blog/behavioral-biases-investing-psychology-episode-16 #Medicare #OpenEnrollment #RMDs #RetirementPlanning #MortgagePayoff #TaxPlanningThe Burney Company is an SEC-registered investment adviser. Burney Wealth Management is a division of the Burney Company. Registration with the SEC or any state securities authority does not imply that Burney Company or any of its principals or employees possesses a particular level of skill or training in the investment advisory business or any other business. This content is for informational and educational purposes only. It is not intended as personalized investment advice or a recommendation.